Texas Winter 2025-2026
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.-
Stratton23
- Category 5

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- Location: Katy, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Ntxw no kidding! Sleet/ ICE all the way down to houston on this run, looks like a shortwave rounds the west coast ridge, very interesting
1 likes
- starsfan65
- Category 2

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- Location: Garland,Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
It does look interesting.Stratton23 wrote:Ntxw no kidding! Sleet/ ICE all the way down to houston on this run, looks like a shortwave rounds the west coast ridge, very interesting
1 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Just want to remind everyone - or perhaps stats curse - that in 128 years every single winter at DFW or predecessor has received a trace of snow. Every. Single. One. Let’s not panic.
3 likes
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
00z Euro doesnt dig the system as much as the GFS , but still has light snow in north and eastern texas
3 likes
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
All kinds of potential ahead... And no every run isn't gonna catch them
No reason to panic or get upset if a run doesn't show it 10 days ou
Theres not been a winter here with no accumulation since 1904 and we're not about to start this year
No reason to panic or get upset if a run doesn't show it 10 days ou
Theres not been a winter here with no accumulation since 1904 and we're not about to start this year
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#neversummer
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HockeyTx82
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- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Quixotic wrote:Just want to remind everyone - or perhaps stats curse - that in 128 years every single winter at DFW or predecessor has received a trace of snow. Every. Single. One. Let’s not panic.
.
There's a first time for everything
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
That's the most active I've seen the GEFS for next weekend. The 0z GFS had a full blown snowstorm here next Saturday
Something is coming for sure
Something is coming for sure
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#neversummer
- wxman22
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
There’s enough consistency in the models that I’m starting to buy into the shortwave on the 17th. The question is, will it be able to tap into moisture and will temps be cold enough to support a storm.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
wxman22 wrote:There’s enough consistency in the models that I’m starting to buy into the shortwave on the 17th. The question is, will it be able to tap into moisture and will temps be cold enough to support a storm.
Definitely gonna be legit snow in Kansas and the Panhandle today. It's been awhile
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#neversummer
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HockeyTx82
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- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Oh wow, how did I forget.........
1 year ago today we had that really good snow storm in Ponder that I live streamed for you all. My photos just showed up on my time line.
I forgot just how much snow we got.
https://www.youtube.com/live/oNiT64lKME ... Cf0hJicyW-
1 year ago today we had that really good snow storm in Ponder that I live streamed for you all. My photos just showed up on my time line.
I forgot just how much snow we got.
https://www.youtube.com/live/oNiT64lKME ... Cf0hJicyW-
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
cstrunk wrote:SPC has a Day 5 (Friday) threat area outlined along the Mississippi River Valley, which lines up more with the GFS. The Euro has the system a bit slower, which could extend some severe risk farther west into deep East Texas. Something to watch before any potential winter activity afterward.
Well look at that. Day 1 slight risk in deep east Texas.
1 likes
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton23 wrote:Ntxw no kidding! Sleet/ ICE all the way down to houston on this run, looks like a shortwave rounds the west coast ridge, very interesting
Seriously? You're going to believe one outlier run of the GFS nearly 10 days out? At the same time, the EC has high pressure dominating Texas, not even any precip. These fantasy winter storms are common in the long-range GFS. Looks like another fantasy.
Meanwhile, I'll enjoy one last 80 degree day here in Houston before getting out my electric blanket and space heater for temps in the 40s and 50s. That will make five 80+ deg days so far this month. I'm still thinking we may see 90 degrees in February, as in other "6" years like 1986 and 1996. Come on, 90s!!

1 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
wxman57 wrote:Stratton23 wrote:Ntxw no kidding! Sleet/ ICE all the way down to houston on this run, looks like a shortwave rounds the west coast ridge, very interesting
Seriously? You're going to believe one outlier run of the GFS nearly 10 days out? At the same time, the EC has high pressure dominating Texas, not even any precip. These fantasy winter storms are common in the long-range GFS. Looks like another fantasy.
Meanwhile, I'll enjoy one last 80 degree day here in Houston before getting out my electric blanket and space heater for temps in the 40s and 50s. That will make five 80+ deg days so far this month. I'm still thinking we may see 90 degrees in February, as in other "6" years like 1986 and 1996. Come on, 90s!!![]()
Well, to be fair, it has showed that scenario more than once….
2 likes
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TomballEd
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
wxman57 wrote:Stratton23 wrote:Ntxw no kidding! Sleet/ ICE all the way down to houston on this run, looks like a shortwave rounds the west coast ridge, very interesting
Seriously? You're going to believe one outlier run of the GFS nearly 10 days out? At the same time, the EC has high pressure dominating Texas, not even any precip. These fantasy winter storms are common in the long-range GFS. Looks like another fantasy.
Meanwhile, I'll enjoy one last 80 degree day here in Houston before getting out my electric blanket and space heater for temps in the 40s and 50s. That will make five 80+ deg days so far this month. I'm still thinking we may see 90 degrees in February, as in other "6" years like 1986 and 1996. Come on, 90s!!![]()
Tropical influences in Texas weather in January would be cool if it happens. There is weak Euro support for the GFS/GEFS showing EPac tropical development. Nothing big, but January!
0 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
12z gfs bit east this round. Dream run for the eastern US especially the southeast.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Ntxw wrote:12z gfs bit east this round. Dream run for the eastern US especially the southeast.
I’ve noticed the CPC thinks it’ll be mainly east of us as well.
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Canadian sends tpv lobe into the upper midwest and a big front with it through.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Stratton23
- Category 5

- Posts: 3213
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: Katy, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Ntxw yeah, CMC gets close to the right setup for wintry fun, also looks like the GFS keeps the - EPO in place where it was eroding it a couple days ago, must be seeing the fast switch to P7
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Lagreeneyes03
- Category 2

- Posts: 583
- Joined: Mon Dec 09, 2013 10:53 am
- Location: Luxurious Lake Grapevine
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
wxman57 wrote:Stratton23 wrote:Ntxw no kidding! Sleet/ ICE all the way down to houston on this run, looks like a shortwave rounds the west coast ridge, very interesting
Seriously? You're going to believe one outlier run of the GFS nearly 10 days out? At the same time, the EC has high pressure dominating Texas, not even any precip. These fantasy winter storms are common in the long-range GFS. Looks like another fantasy.
Meanwhile, I'll enjoy one last 80 degree day here in Houston before getting out my electric blanket and space heater for temps in the 40s and 50s. That will make five 80+ deg days so far this month. I'm still thinking we may see 90 degrees in February, as in other "6" years like 1986 and 1996. Come on, 90s!!![]()
May as well move right into the 90's as it seems any worthwhile winter isn't in the cards for us. I feel storm season wasn't very active last year and fall storm season was almost nonexistent. Hopefully 2026 will be more interesting
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