Texas Winter 2017-2018

[Brent]

What does this mean for any severe weather chances pre-cold front?

definitely not here if the GFS is right

[stormlover2013]

We won’t know till next wed/Thursday my friends

[South Texas Storms]

Latest Euro Weeklies look active through early January as well. Chances continue to increase that we will see an extended stretch of cold and wet weather late December into early January.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I dont get excited about hurricanes hitting me 9 days out, not doing that with this system either!

[ThunderSleetDreams]

This explains a lot

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/941 ... 14304?s=17

[EnnisTx]

I'm sorry folks, but I see no reason to get excited about an ice storm that would devastate a large part of the State..... Snow yes, ice .... No!!!!

[sphelps8681]

I'm sorry folks, but I see no reason to get excited about an ice storm that would devastate a large part of the State..... Snow yes, ice .... No!!!!

Me either. Ice is not your friend!!

[starsfan65]

I'm sorry folks, but I see no reason to get excited about an ice storm that would devastate a large part of the State..... Snow yes, ice .... No!!!!

Me either. Ice is not your friend!!

Snow is your friend!!!!

[cheezyWXguy]

What does this mean for any severe weather chances pre-cold front?

definitely not here if the GFS is right

I’m curious about this too, could you provide some detail?

[Cpv17]

I would expect the temperatures to look more like what the CMC is showing right now for next Friday’s front compared to the GFS.

[orangeblood]

Latest Euro Weeklies look active through early January as well. Chances continue to increase that we will see an extended stretch of cold and wet weather late December into early January.

Yep, but then they really blow torch the country starting around the 2nd week in January, going to a ++EPO. I look at this as a positive sign as the weeklies have been pretty useless beyond week 2 lately

[South Texas Storms]

Latest Euro Weeklies look active through early January as well. Chances continue to increase that we will see an extended stretch of cold and wet weather late December into early January.

Yep, but then they really blow torch the country starting around the 2nd week in January, going the a ++EPO. I look at this as a positive sign as the weeklies have been pretty useless beyond week 2 lately

Definitely. Just look at the previous run from Monday. It showed TX having above normal temps and below normal precip over the next 3 weeks. Big change with today's run.

[Yukon Cornelius]

Y’all keep some of that winter weather up here along the river! No bad ice though.

[sphelps8681]

:D

Ha! That doesn't look cold, to me. When I think of cold (1983, 1989) I think of single-digit temps in Houston with the high <32F for 5 straight days. Highs here only in the mid 20s. That's cold! And I love it cold, by the way.

Have you been hacked?

lol right!!!!I have never in 6 years heard these words lol.I do recall in Feb 2011 while I still lived in Sugarland,before moving to Wyoming him uttering the words this one is gonna hurt.

I think he has been drinking out of the wrong bottle.

https://cdn-fastly.hometalk.com/media/2 ... ze=344x215

[Ntxw]

I think the severe solution is still on the table. The EPS has continued the drum of strengthening the Alaskan block as time nears. The cold anomalies overwhelms the North American continent after Christmas. The only place that might escape barely is the far southeast coast.





Plenty of members and room for the OP guidance to take the stronger route as better resolution approaches. So as crazy as some runs have been, it's not the upper bound yet. I'd consider preparing for multiple days sub freezing and ice/snow storms, this is the best signal in some years. Definitely since 2013/2014.

[aggiecutter]

I wouldn't wish that 18Z GFS ice storm on my worst enemy.

Reminds me of the old saying:"Be careful what you wish for." I found the pic below on a local Texarkana news organization Facebook page:

[Ntxw]

The thing to watch for, as I continue to mention , is going to be the massive high pressure domes. That will give you a better inclination of the kind of push of cold than any surface temperature map. Once you start seeing 1055mb+ range you know we are in trouble. If that Alaskan ridge heads more poleward into the arctic circle of Alaska, that's when it becomes less of an excitement and more worry.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

I wouldn't wish that 18Z GFS ice storm on my worst enemy.

Reminds me of the old saying:"Be careful what you wish for." I found the pic below on a local Texarkana news organization Facebook page:

I member

[Quixotic]

New Year’s Eve 1978. SW Dallas County. We had thunderstorms at 20 degrees. Went to bed and were awakened by a big boom around 3 AM. Transformers blowing. All the trees split in half. Icicles hanging to the ground from two stories up. No power for 6 days. It’s exciting the first day or two. But after being stuck in a house with 9 other people and an inability to go outside because of all the power lines in starts to suck really quickly. Ice storms are awful.

[Ntxw]

Looks like FW has been using some analogs!



Rightfully so. Just about every analog there is in the pattern suggest blue norther. As mentioned in a previous post, look for the deep blue and purple from the CPC right down the middle of the country later next week.