Texas Winter 2013-2014

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aggiecutter
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#1701 Postby aggiecutter » Sat Dec 07, 2013 5:23 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
409 PM CST SAT DEC 7 2013

...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY
MORNING...

.AREAS OF SLEET AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN THIS AFTERNOON WILL SPREAD
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TONIGHT...AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE THAT WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SOME LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT...AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1702 Postby srainhoutx » Sat Dec 07, 2013 5:25 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:Water vapor imagery is suggesting a developing baroclinic leaf and strengthening over Mexico as Iift increases ahead of the short wave over Nevada. Some light precip is reaching the ground here in SE Texas as upglide is increasing from the Gulf.

I guess I wasn't imagining it then. I couldn't even see it, but "felt" it and thought it was just the wind. Can definitely tell we have a good deal more moisture in the air than we did early this morning. This "conversation" almost sounds familiar doesn't it Steve? Deja vu? :froze:


We had some 'sprinkles' up here this morning when those heavier returns were passing by, David. What catches my eye is the amount of moisture excepted Monday night/early Tuesday after the next re enforcing shot of 'colder air passes. Clearly the models have under estimated the strength of the surfaces temps. I struggled to make it to a toasty 35F here today.
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#1703 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Dec 07, 2013 5:35 pm

@BigJoeBastardi: ECWMF ensembles last 2 runs have gone to a much colder US pattern than its Thursday weeklies implied for week 3/4 ( Christmas into New Yrs
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1704 Postby somethingfunny » Sat Dec 07, 2013 5:54 pm

I only lost power for about 75 minutes, amazingly. South Garland is a mess. It seems like we got more ice and less sleet than most of DFW, though at least we didn't get as much as Paris did...

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My big red sugargum survived... barely.

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This is the power line and/or fire hazard leading to my house:

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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1705 Postby orangeblood » Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:31 pm

Fort Worth is an absolute mess, most all secondary roads are an ice rink and even 4 wheel drive isn't doing you much good. Stay put if you're in Tarrant County
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#1706 Postby somethingfunny » Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:44 pm

Yeah, the only good news for Garland is since we didn't see much sleet, the roads aren't really in terrible shape at all. There's patches of ice on them, but they aren't solid skating rinks like I've seen photos of out west and north of here. Of course you can't drive through a tree blocking the road...in a lot of cases (example: Garland Road between Northwest Hwy and 635) the trees along the side of the road are drooping so far down it looks like they're fused to the right lane of the road. In other cases the entire tree came down across the road, mostly side streets.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1707 Postby katheria » Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:48 pm

:uarrow:

call the city road department tomorrow,(said they would be open) they came and cleared the road of my tree ... they cut it up and threw it in my yard, but atleast the street is clear :)
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1708 Postby SouthernMet » Sat Dec 07, 2013 7:00 pm

Looks like some light frozen precip is developing right over dfw, very light (dry air), but won't help the road conditions
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1709 Postby iorange55 » Sat Dec 07, 2013 7:04 pm

Just took a walk and there is a very uncomfortable freezing mist falling. I hope it doesn't keep up all night.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1710 Postby Ntxw » Sat Dec 07, 2013 7:10 pm

Horror stories doesn't end there, DFW airport is a not a pleasant experience. Lots of people have been there for a long time and are still stuck. I live by the airport and it's typically very noisy, you can hardly hear a thing but sirens from emergency vehicles.
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#1711 Postby funster » Sat Dec 07, 2013 7:17 pm

Freezing fog for tonight since we have not experienced all precip types yet :--)

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 423 PM CST SAT DEC 7 2013/
BIGGEST ISSUES FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE: HOW QUICKLY/HOW MUCH
WILL TEMPERATURES CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING TOMORROW AFTERNOON...AND
WHAT DO THE LONGER TERM TEMPERATURE TRENDS MEAN FOR THE ULTIMATE
MELTING OF OUR ICE?

ALL OF NORTH TEXAS REMAINED IN THE DEEP FREEZE TODAY...WITH MID
AFTERNOON READINGS ONLY MANAGING THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S WEST OF A
SHERMAN TO TEMPLE LINE. THE EASTERN COUNTIES OF OUR CWA WERE ONLY
SLIGHTLY BETTER...REACHING THE UPPER 20S-AROUND 30 AS OF 3 PM.
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WE CONTINUE TO RECEIVE REPORTS OF
SIGNIFICANT AND HAZARDOUS ICING ON MANY ROADWAYS ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. THE COUNTIES CLOSER TO THE RED RIVER REMAIN HIT THE
HARDEST...BOTH IN TERMS OF SEVERE TRAVEL IMPACTS AND POWER
OUTAGES.

PATCHY VERY LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW...AND EVEN SOME FREEZING
DRIZZLE...CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF NORTH TEXAS...IN RESPONSE TO
SOME WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT OCCURRING ACROSS THE REGION. BASED ON
RADAR/SATELLITE AND SHORT-TERM MODELS...BELIEVE THIS VERY LIGHT
PRECIPITATION WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST MIDNIGHT...THEN FIZZLE OUT.
NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

WITH PLENTY OF ICE ON THE GROUND AND SLACK WINDS...THERE WILL BE A
POTENTIAL FOR FOG FORMATION OVER MOST OF THE CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DIDN`T MENTION ANY DENSE FOG...BUT THAT COULD BECOME A CONCERN BY
DAYBREAK IN A FEW LOW LYING AREAS. UNFORTUNATELY...ANY FOG THAT
DEVELOPS WOULD BE OF THE FREEZING VARIETY...AND THIS COULD BE AN
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON ANY PAVEMENT AREAS OR OTHER SURFACES
THAT HAD MANAGED TO CLEAR TO THIS POINT. TRAVELERS LATE TONIGHT
WILL NEED TO KEEP THIS IN MIND IF THEY DO ENCOUNTER FOG.

OUR FIRST CHANCE AT SOME SUNSHINE WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON
SUNDAY...AS DRIER AIR AND WEAK SUBSIDENCE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.
THERE WAS A SUBSTANTIAL VARIATION IN HIGH TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE FOR
SUNDAY...AND IN GENERAL LEANED TOWARD THE COOLER GFS OUTPUT.
DESPITE THE SUNSHINE AND RETURN TO LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW BY
AFTERNOON...THINK ANY MELTING/SUBLIMATION OF EXTENSIVE ICE FIELD
WILL RETARD TEMPERATURES FROM REACHING MUCH BEYOND THE LOWER TO
MIDDLE 30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES...WITH UPPER 30S
TO NEAR 40 POSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH.

THE MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE WILL LIKELY STILL BE HAZARDOUS OR AT
LEAST CHALLENGING IN MANY AREAS...WITH MORNING LOWS ONCE AGAIN
DIVING BELOW FREEZING AT MOST LOCATIONS. SOME ADDITIONAL MELTING
WILL OCCUR IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT INCREASED CLOUD COVER AHEAD OF
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE DIVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL ONCE
AGAIN RETARD A STRONG TEMPERATURE REBOUND. A COLD FRONT WILL ALSO
PUSH THROUGH THE CWA EARLY MONDAY...PROVIDING RENEWED COLD
ADVECTION AND FURTHER RETARDING OUR AFTERNOON READINGS. MOISTURE
AND ASCENT WILL NOT BE OVERLY SUBSTANTIAL WITH THIS NEXT
SHORTWAVE...BUT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN THE SMALL POPS
FOR THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST ZONES MONDAY NIGHT. BELIEVE THE GREAT
BULK OF ANY PRECIPITATION WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN...BUT WITH
PRE-DAWN TEMPERATURES TUESDAY HOVERING AT OR JUST BELOW
FREEZING...WILL NEED TO MENTION SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THESE
AREAS.

WEATHER FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE BENIGN BY
COMPARISON...AND WARMER DAY BY DAY. THE NEXT POTENTIAL FOR RAIN
WILL BE LATE THURS NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...AS THE NEXT IN A
SERIES OF WEAK SHORTWAVES TRANSITING THE MEAN CYCLONIC FLOW
ROTATES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1712 Postby katheria » Sat Dec 07, 2013 7:49 pm

just went outside here in NE garland just to check , heavy mist is coming down pretty good
roads are going to be a mess again in the morning here, we were almost clear

1 missing precip type for us here we didnt get any snow LOL
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#1713 Postby aggiecutter » Sat Dec 07, 2013 7:50 pm

Light freezing rain and sleet currently falling in Texarkana with a temperature of 29. Cars, trees, and power lines already have a thin coat of ice on them.
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#1714 Postby gboudx » Sat Dec 07, 2013 7:56 pm

Light mist in NW Rockwall county.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1715 Postby ludosc » Sat Dec 07, 2013 8:00 pm

orangeblood wrote:Fort Worth is an absolute mess, most all secondary roads are an ice rink and even 4 wheel drive isn't doing you much good. Stay put if you're in Tarrant County


yep. went out a couple of hours ago with my roommate to help his girlfriend who had spun out on a hill and was stuck. We got there a few minutes later (was very close to my house) and another car had already hit hers. We got that car moved out of the way and I got into her car to try and move it and more cars started coming down the hill. Fast forward about 10 minutes later and there were 8 cars all piled up in a wreck and I just sat there and went along for the ride haha.
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1716 Postby SouthernMet » Sat Dec 07, 2013 8:01 pm

NWS issues Freezing Fog Advisory along & east of I-35,
including Dallas & Fort Worth, mentions a possibility for WWA.

This will not help area roadways..
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Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1717 Postby iorange55 » Sat Dec 07, 2013 8:05 pm

SouthernMet wrote:NWS issues Freezing Fog Advisory along & east of I-35,
including Dallas & Fort Worth, mentions a possibility for WWA.

This will not help area roadways..


Can't say I am surprised. Mist is still falling here.

Already iced over the car windshield again...ugh.
Last edited by iorange55 on Sat Dec 07, 2013 8:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1718 Postby ndale » Sat Dec 07, 2013 8:09 pm

NWS just added freezing drizzle and sleet to the forecast here tonight and we are getting a freezing mist outside right now.
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#1719 Postby Longhornmaniac8 » Sat Dec 07, 2013 8:32 pm

EWX just dropped a Winter Weather Advisory for the Bastrop, Caldwell, Fayette, Gonzales, and Lavaca counties.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
658 PM CST SAT DEC 7 2013

...LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION ON EXPOSED SURFACES FROM FREEZING DRIZZLE...

.WARM MOIST AIR IS OVERRUNNING AN ARCTIC AIRMASS AT THE SURFACE.
THIS IS CAUSING FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS OUR EASTERN COUNTIES.
EXPECTING THESE CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN VERY LIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW
FREEZING. WE HAVE RECEIVED REPORTS OF ICE ON I-10 IN FAYETTE
COUNTY. WE EXPECT LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION ON EXPOSED SURFACES. THIS
WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS.

TXZ193-208-209-223-225-080900-
/O.NEW.KEWX.WW.Y.0006.131208T0058Z-131208T1200Z/
BASTROP-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-GONZALES-LAVACA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BASTROP...LOCKHART...LA GRANGE...
GONZALES...HALLETTSVILLE
658 PM CST SAT DEC 7 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY.

* TIMING...UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.

* MAIN IMPACT...LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION ON EXPOSED SURFACES.

* OTHER IMPACTS...THIS WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
Last edited by Longhornmaniac8 on Sat Dec 07, 2013 8:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1720 Postby Rgv20 » Sat Dec 07, 2013 8:32 pm

Light Mist and 38 at my backyard.. :cold:
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