Pacific Northwest Weather

~Brennan~ · #1741 Postby **~Brennan~** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 3:34 am

Yeah good for you TT you got a forecast right... I hope you are proud...

~Brennan~ · #1742 Postby **~Brennan~** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 3:37 am

but truthfully, I am getting sick of hearing you blab on about your forecast and how you are close to being right and how you think all us others do is over estimate the cold weather and what not... you read the NWS discussion and predict temps about 2 degrees off of what they say and hope things go your way...

~Brennan~ · #1743 Postby **~Brennan~** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 3:39 am

I know you can read the models good and all that stuff. Stop bragging to all of us that you got your forecast close to the actual.. I mean, what do you want us to do run around and scream YIPPE KIY YIY YAY?

andycottle · #1744 Postby **andycottle** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 4:57 am

Good morning folks. Yep...I`m still up at this late hour..lol;) :wink:

Temp at 2:02am is 29 degrees with humidity 100% and baro 30.09 and steady.
-- Andy

andycottle · #1745 Postby **andycottle** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 5:05 am

I have a question here.

And sorry to be off topic....but do any of ya have the adobe photo shop? You know...were your able to things with your photos and videos. If you do, then let me know...ok?

Still 29 here as of 2:10am. -- Andy

#1746 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 6:59 am

~Brennan~ wrote:but truthfully, I am getting sick of hearing you blab on about your forecast and how you are close to being right and how you think all us others do is over estimate the cold weather and what not... you read the NWS discussion and predict temps about 2 degrees off of what they say and hope things go your way...

~Brennan~ wrote:I know you can read the models good and all that stuff. Stop bragging to all of us that you got your forecast close to the actual.. I mean, what do you want us to do run around and scream YIPPE KIY YIY YAY?

Cycloneye Moderator=Ok Brennan cut if off please and refrain from that type of talk.Everyone has the right to talk about any forecast where they live.If you continue that kind of language the moderators will have to take action so again please refrain from that as we can't permit that this great thread of those who live in the NW US spirals out of control.

TT-SEA · #1747 Postby **TT-SEA** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:14 am

Brennan... you can believe that I just go with the NWS forecast if you want. Truthfully I try to come up with own forecast. Case in point is Thursday and Friday of the week. The NWS had been forecasting mid-40's when it came into view... I forecasted mid and upper 50's.

Ironically... they finally see the same thing I have been seeing for the last week. We are going to get pretty warm by the end of this week...

HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS AGAIN ON THU AND FRI AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEEPENS AROUND 140 W. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST TO OUR E SHOULD PUT WA UNDER SLY FLOW ALOFT...HELPING TO PUSH TEMPS INTO THE 50S. MRF MOS ONLY GIVES HIGHS AROUND 50 FOR WRN WA ON FRI BUT I SUSPECT THAT TO BE UNDERDONE AND WE COULD BE WELL INTO THE MID OR POSSIBLY EVEN UPPER 50S. WENT A HEAD AND JUST TWEAKED WHAT WE HAD OUT A COUPLE DEGREES UPWARD TO THE LOW 50S RANGE.

W13 · #1748 Postby **W13** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:19 am

25 F as of 6:18 AM ... still a couple of hours to drop another degree or two. At this point, my prediction was right about saying that it would drop into the 23-26 F range. 8-)

W13 · #1749 Postby **W13** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:21 am

cycloneye wrote:
~Brennan~ wrote:but truthfully, I am getting sick of hearing you blab on about your forecast and how you are close to being right and how you think all us others do is over estimate the cold weather and what not... you read the NWS discussion and predict temps about 2 degrees off of what they say and hope things go your way...

~Brennan~ wrote:I know you can read the models good and all that stuff. Stop bragging to all of us that you got your forecast close to the actual.. I mean, what do you want us to do run around and scream YIPPE KIY YIY YAY?

Cycloneye Moderator=Ok Brennan cut if off please and refrain from that type of talk.Everyone has the right to talk about any forecast where they live.If you continue that kind of language the moderators will have to take action so again please refrain from that as we can't permit that this great thread of those who live in the NW US spirals out of control.

Brennan was just stating his opinion on the issue, which at last check was not against any forum rules. He was not flaming TT-SEA in any way, just expressing what he thought was correct.

R-Dub · #1750 Postby **R-Dub** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:21 am

Good morning everyone, its definatily a hard frost out there now!

2/8/05 LK Goodwin WA
6:19:12 AM CURRENT
Clear
Temperature (ºF) 29.8
Humidity (%) 100.0
Wind (mph) E 1.5
Daily Rain (") 0.00
Pressure ("Hg) 30.25
Dew Point: 29.8 ºF

TT-SEA · #1751 Postby **TT-SEA** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:25 am

Previous forecast: (unchanged)

Wednesday - Partly Cloudy Hi-50 Low-36
Thursday - Partly Cloudy Hi-54 Lo-38
Friday - Mostly Sunny Hi-59 Lo-40

New forecast:

Saturday - Showers / Sun Breaks Hi-48 Lo-38
Sunday - Partly Cloudy Hi-50 Lo-40
Monday - Cloudy Hi-57 Lo-45 (rain developing at night)
Tuesday - Rain Hi-54 Lo-48

The forecast on Monday and Tuesday of next week is based on the warm, tropical system moving north to off the coast. If this is delayed it will be warmer with less rain. The arctic air is in the Midwest and the East Coast. We are going to be in a warm regime.

R-Dub · #1752 Postby **R-Dub** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:27 am

Lets keep it light hearted around here please! We are all here because we all love the weather, a good debate is awesome, but by the looks of it things got a little beyond that last night. I want everyone sticking around here because you all contribute a ton to this thread!
Lets cut the tention!
Just my opinion though :lol:

Well off to stop the golfers from trying to sneak out onto the frosty course :lol:

Be back in the afternoon

TT-SEA · #1753 Postby **TT-SEA** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:28 am

W13 - I actually agree. I am cool with Brennan. Debate is fun... everyone has a opinion and thats what makes the world go round!!

W13 · #1754 Postby **W13** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:28 am

TT-SEA wrote:Previous forecast: (unchanged)

Wednesday - Partly Cloudy Hi-50 Low-36
Thursday - Partly Cloudy Hi-54 Lo-38
Friday - Mostly Sunny Hi-59 Lo-40

New forecast:

Saturday - Showers / Sun Breaks Hi-48 Lo-38
Sunday - Partly Cloudy Hi-50 Lo-40
Monday - Cloudy Hi-57 Lo-45 (rain developing at night)
Tuesday - Rain Hi-54 Lo-48

The forecast on Monday and Tuesday of next week is based on the warm, tropical system moving north to off the coast. If this is delayed it will be warmer with less rain. The arctic air is in the Midwest and the East Coast. We are going to be in a warm regime.

Until March, right? :wink:

TT-SEA · #1755 Postby **TT-SEA** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:38 am

Yep... it looks like March.

#1756 Postby **vbhoutex** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:45 am

W13 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
~Brennan~ wrote:but truthfully, I am getting sick of hearing you blab on about your forecast and how you are close to being right and how you think all us others do is over estimate the cold weather and what not... you read the NWS discussion and predict temps about 2 degrees off of what they say and hope things go your way...

~Brennan~ wrote:I know you can read the models good and all that stuff. Stop bragging to all of us that you got your forecast close to the actual.. I mean, what do you want us to do run around and scream YIPPE KIY YIY YAY?

Cycloneye Moderator=Ok Brennan cut if off please and refrain from that type of talk.Everyone has the right to talk about any forecast where they live.If you continue that kind of language the moderators will have to take action so again please refrain from that as we can't permit that this great thread of those who live in the NW US spirals out of control.

Brennan was just stating his opinion on the issue, which at last check was not against any forum rules. He was not flaming TT-SEA in any way, just expressing what he thought was correct.

Incorrect W13. What he said is considered a direct attack on another member. We do not allow it. We encourage healthy debate at this site. We do not encourage someone else telling someone they are sick and tired of their forecasts. This is not a debateable issue. Any further discussion of this issue needs to be by pm or email with whomever you choose, not here on the open board.

Now get back to discussing the Weather in the Northwest as you all do so well. I appreciate your discussions a lot because they are helping me understand the weather in that area more and how it affects the rest of us down the line also.

TT-SEA · #1757 Postby **TT-SEA** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 10:08 am

Look at the ECMWF for next Monday (2/14) now... the arctic air has been moved WAY east. They will be excited on the other threads here about what this means for places east of the Mississippi.

~Brennan~ · #1758 Postby **~Brennan~** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 10:13 am

Good for you TT I am glad you are right about everything... Maybe the NWS should hire you as a forecaster. It's easy for you to give a forecast to 6 people on here. They have to forecast for the whole region, if they are wrong they get hammered.

snow_wizzard · #1759 Postby **snow_wizzard** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 1:07 pm

A delightful crisp day! I do not mind sun one little bit if it's with a nice nip in the air. After a nice low of 25, we are sitting at 36 as of 10:00am. My suspicion that the foothill areas would have the coldest lows proved to be true. Just enough offhsore flow to lower the dew point in those areas.

TT...I think your low for for Wednesday is too high, unless you are talking about Seattle proper. The offhsore flow will still be very light suggesting 20s in the outlying areas. Early next week is still in a state of turmiol as far as the models are concerned. After avery mild 0z run the 12z once again hints at some chilly air making its way in here. I am still saying low 40s for highs early next week.

andycottle · #1760 Postby **andycottle** » Tue Feb 08, 2005 1:11 pm

Good morning...rise and shine you all :wink:

. Were in store for more nice sunny days ahead!

Taking a look at 06 and 12z GFS models...our nice sunny weather lasts today through this Saturday before having some light scattered showers late Saturday night into Sunday time frame. 850MB temps during this time range from 0 to -3C with 500MB voricity height of 558DM, droping to around 552 to 546DM over the weekend. MM5 12km 1hr and 3hr precip model also keeps rain free through the next 72hrs. MOS for Seattle also showing no real definate chances of rain untill the weekend when we have a POP of 72 to 78%. So get out and enjoy the sunny weather while it lasts. Also, 'may' see a few high clouds today as there some thin high cirrus clouds just off the Wa, OR coast early this morning per Seattle NWS visable Satellite loop.

-- Andy

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