Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

msstateguy83 · #1841 Postby **msstateguy83** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 9:53 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

by looking at the latest data i would say there would be some serious accumulations
along the redriver, i mean serious with blizzard like conditions winds 45-50 mph out of the
north its gonna be crazy, something that has not been seen in many,many years in this part.. dallas-fortworth area will likely get several inches and i mean in dallas proper as well.. very proud to stand by my forecast =)

edit: one thing worth noting the temp has actually risen a couple degrees over the last hour back up to 47 here

gofrogs · #1842 Postby **gofrogs** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:14 pm

http://www.weather.com/outlook/recreati ... opnav_golf

#1843 Postby **ColdFusion** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:15 pm

official word coming soon for DFW...........

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
909 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009

.AVIATION...
HAVE UPDATED THE TAFS TO INCLUDE THE MENTION OF SNOW IN THE METRO
TAFS FROM 15 TO 20Z. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE UPPER LOW
MOVING FURTHER SOUTH AND THIS WILL BRING SNOW TO THE AREA. THIS
WILL MAKE TRAVELING VERY HAZARDOUS GIVEN THE STRONG WINDS
EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT.

NOTE...PUBLIC GRIDS WILL BE UPDATED SOON.

#1844 Postby **Ntxw** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:16 pm

Winter storm advisories and warnings are about to be posted based on chat sessions with the FW nws for the metroplex region according to fox4

gofrogs · #1845 Postby **gofrogs** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:17 pm

Aviation...
have updated the tafs to include the mention of snow in the metropolitan
tafs from 15 to 20z. Models continue to indicate the upper low
moving further south and this will bring snow to the area. This
will make traveling very hazardous given the strong winds
expected behind the front.

gofrogs · #1846 Postby **gofrogs** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:17 pm

My bad i did nto see that you already posted something.

#1847 Postby **HockeyTx82** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:18 pm

Did I just hear what I thougt I heard on FOX 4 in Dallas that there will be Winter Storm Warnings for N and W of Dallas and Winter Storm Advisory for the DFW area starting tomorrow morning? Dan said it is based off of NWS chatter. Anyone else hear anything like this?

#1848 Postby **Ntxw** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:19 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:Did I just hear what I thougt I heard on FOX 4 in Dallas that there will be Winter Storm Warnings for N and W of Dallas and Winter Storm Advisory for the DFW area starting tomorrow morning? Dan said it is based off of NWS chatter. Anyone else hear anything like this?

I wouldn't be too surprised should things continue the way they go according to models, the warnings expand especially with strong winds expected. Just maybe

msstateguy83 · #1849 Postby **msstateguy83** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:19 pm

i can confirm there will be advisory's, warnings coming out very shortly...

edit: i dont have the outline, counties, exc but they will be posting new
warnings, such coming out in the updated zone package very shortly...

#1850 Postby **HockeyTx82** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:21 pm

msstateguy83 wrote:i can confirm there will be advisory's, warnings coming out very shortly...

edit: i dont have the outline, counties, exc but they will be posting new
warnings, such coming out in the updated zone package very shortly...

Who do you know?

cwp419 · #1851 Postby **cwp419** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:23 pm

They should seriously consider hoisting a blizzard watch, although I doubt they have the cajones to do that...

#1852 Postby **HockeyTx82** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:25 pm

cwp419 wrote:They should seriously consider hoisting a blizzard watch, although I doubt they have the cajones to do that...

For where?

#1853 Postby **Ntxw** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:26 pm

cwp419 wrote:They should seriously consider hoisting a blizzard watch, although I doubt they have the cajones to do that...

That's probably a bit extreme, though at times i believe some parts of North Texas would have that criteria. Last I recall it isn't how much snow falls, but rather the visibility which usually resulted from high winds.

#1854 Postby **ColdFusion** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:29 pm

Cmon NWS, release the new full update! i have to figure out if I need to head out and get some food tonight

#1855 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:29 pm

Upper Low has continued to move south, expect low to move just to the SSE of DFW area as it pulls to the NE. GFS and NAM are still to warm with temps, expect a cold rain to raplidly cool the lower cores alowing for a sleet frz rain mix to fall. This will lower ground temp pretty fast and with any heavy snow burst we get could indeed cause travel problems across all of DFW area. NWS FTW will more than likely issue a winter storm watch for the DFW area and Winter storm warning to the areas W and NNW. Snow accu could be anywhere from 3 to 5 inches to the N and W with 1 to 3 inches acrss all of DFW area thru friday morn.

Next system to arrive Tuesday night with cold air in place and chances for another winter precip event for NTX.

STAY TUNED! :froze:

edit: I would gas up and stock up of firewood and supplies tonight!

cwp419 · #1856 Postby **cwp419** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:30 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:
cwp419 wrote:They should seriously consider hoisting a blizzard watch, although I doubt they have the cajones to do that...

For where?

Denton, and counties to the north and northwest. I see conditions meeting criteria there(sustained 30+mph winds with gusts over 40mph and heavy snowfall for 3-6+ hours).

#1857 Postby **Ntxw** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:33 pm

Think it's safe to label this the Christmas Eve snowstorm 09? For the red river valley north :lol:

iorange55 · #1858 Postby **iorange55** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:34 pm

Ntxw wrote:Think it's safe to label this the Christmas Eve snowstorm 09? For the red river valley north

Nothing is safe to say right now.

#1859 Postby **Ntxw** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:35 pm

iorange55 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Think it's safe to label this the Christmas Eve snowstorm 09? For the red river valley north

Nothing is safe to say right now.

Looks quite promising as we are approaching within 12-24 hours time frame. And pretty much all of the models are in agreement, probably as best as we will see in awhile.

#1860 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Wed Dec 23, 2009 10:35 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
916 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009

...ACCUMULATING SNOW LIKELY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY...

.A POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO TRACK
ACROSS THE CONCHO VALLEY AND HEARTLAND EARLY IN THE DAY ON
THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...COLD AIR WILL BE FILTERING DOWN INTO THE
REGION ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. A BAND OF WRAP-AROUND
PRECIPITATION...IN THE FORM OF SNOW...IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT OVER THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND THE FAR NORTHWESTERN BIG
COUNTRY AND THEN GRADUALLY SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
BIG COUNTRY DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
GIVEN STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH.

TXZ049-054-098-099-113-114-127-128-241100-
/O.UPG.KSJT.WW.Y.0006.091224T0600Z-091224T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KSJT.WS.W.0002.091224T0600Z-091224T2100Z/
FISHER-NOLAN-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-TAYLOR-
CALLAHAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...HASKELL...
THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...ALBANY...
ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS
916 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 3 PM CST THURSDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHWEST BIG COUNTRY AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT AND THEN SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE BIG
COUNTRY THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. SLEET MAY MIX IN FOR A BRIEF
TIME DURING THE TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW. IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH MAY CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW AND
COULD REDUCE VISIBILITIES FOR TRAVELERS. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA. THE SNOW WILL
TAPER OFF BY EARLY AFTERNOON ON THURSDAY.

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