Texas Winter 2018-2019

[OKMet83]

GFS, GFS FV3 AND CMC ALL dropping a foot of Snow on portions of OK with sig Ice event for So OK into N TX this has some serious consistency going on now and cannot be ignored.. Curious to see the Euro in a bit

[missygirl810]

GFS, GFS FV3 AND CMC ALL dropping a foot of Snow on portions of OK with sig Ice event for So OK into N TX this has some serious consistency going on now and cannot be ignored.. Curious to see the Euro in a bit

Are you talking about the Sherman/Durant area or further west if you don't mind my asking lol

[Brent]

GFS, GFS FV3 AND CMC ALL dropping a foot of Snow on portions of OK with sig Ice event for So OK into N TX this has some serious consistency going on now and cannot be ignored.. Curious to see the Euro in a bit

too bad its not in Dallas

[starsfan65]

GFS, GFS FV3 AND CMC ALL dropping a foot of Snow on portions of OK with sig Ice event for So OK into N TX this has some serious consistency going on now and cannot be ignored.. Curious to see the Euro in a bit

too bad its not in Dallas

yes it is.

[EnnisTx]

GFS, GFS FV3 AND CMC ALL dropping a foot of Snow on portions of OK with sig Ice event for So OK into N TX this has some serious consistency going on now and cannot be ignored.. Curious to see the Euro in a bit

too bad its not in Dallas

yes it is.

Still plenty of time for a change. Several models do have winter weather in and South of the DFW Metroplex.

[Brent]

GFS, GFS FV3 AND CMC ALL dropping a foot of Snow on portions of OK with sig Ice event for So OK into N TX this has some serious consistency going on now and cannot be ignored.. Curious to see the Euro in a bit

too bad its not in Dallas

yes it is.

maybe on the CMC but not the GFS or the FV3 and the Euro was rain the last 2 runs

[Lagreeneyes03]

In 5188 hours, the GFS has a CAT 5 N THE GULF !!!!!!

At this point would just be happy if it was showing some signs of a real winter in 1000 hours. As of now we are sitting at 74 with humidity at 85%. Wore short sleeve shirts and shorts on Christmas Day as well.

I'd rather be in shorts and 74 degrees than the dreaded "Cold Rain"

[Brent]

Wednesday is a cold rain on the Euro but Thursday now has some wraparound flurries maybe in the metro

[bubba hotep]

Wednesday is a cold rain on the Euro but Thursday now has some wraparound flurries maybe in the metro

Northern Stream wave is stronger on this Euro run. That sets off a ripple effect and our system comes out a lot farther south this run. It will be interesting to see what the EPS shows.

[bubba hotep]

Northern Burbs of DFW are actually back in the game based on this run. Crazy wx models lol

[dhweather]

History wins again


In the last 50 years, there have been six times in the month of December where >1" of snow was recorded at DFW:

2013-14 2.1"
2009-2010 3.2"
2000-2001 1.5"
1986-87 1.7"
1983-84 2.0"
1972-73 1.4"


Don't count on it, don't plan on it, don't expect it to happen, and be pleasantly surprised if we actually do get any frozen precipitation.

[Cerlin]

Northern Burbs of DFW are actually back in the game based on this run. Crazy wx models lol

Good with me!!!

[bubba hotep]

Northern Burbs of DFW are actually back in the game based on this run. Crazy wx models lol

From Collin over to Jack then up to the Red River, some really impressive totals as you head north. Maybe a case of poor sampling of that Northern Stream wave? Also, it actually looks like 1" at DFW airport on this run.

[bubba hotep]

Also, looks like a big time snow storm for portions of Oklahoma, large area over 1'.

[cheezyWXguy]

Northern Burbs of DFW are actually back in the game based on this run. Crazy wx models lol

From Collin over to Jack then up to the Red River, some really impressive totals as you head north. Maybe a case of poor sampling of that Northern Stream wave? Also, it actually looks like 1" at DFW airport on this run.

which model is this?

[Cerlin]

Northern Burbs of DFW are actually back in the game based on this run. Crazy wx models lol

From Collin over to Jack then up to the Red River, some really impressive totals as you head north. Maybe a case of poor sampling of that Northern Stream wave? Also, it actually looks like 1" at DFW airport on this run.

which model is this?

Euro

[cheezyWXguy]

From Collin over to Jack then up to the Red River, some really impressive totals as you head north. Maybe a case of poor sampling of that Northern Stream wave? Also, it actually looks like 1" at DFW airport on this run.

which model is this?

Euro

Thanks. Am I missing something though? When I look at the snow depth map on weather.us it shows no accumulation in the immediate dallas (edit: dfw) area, and only shows a narrow band of up to 3" in southern oklahoma

[spencer817]

Northern Burbs of DFW are actually back in the game based on this run. Crazy wx models lol

The pros of living in NW burbs of DFW

[Ralph's Weather]

Seems like a combo of the model solution froma few days ago.may be the reality. The Euro seems to have underestimated the northern stream but not as dominant as the GFS showed now if we can add in Canadiam temps we are in business. As we always say don't let yourself swing with every model run. Take into account trends over multiple runs of all the models and their ensembles and also look at historical analogs. This storm still has potential for a major ice storm and even could produce good snow into N TX. Also do not discount the rain portion of this as it will add up pretty good in E TX and even into DFW.

[bubba hotep]

Seems like a combo of the model solution froma few days ago.may be the reality. The Euro seems to have underestimated the northern stream but not as dominant as the GFS showed now if we can add in Canadiam temps we are in business. As we always say don't let yourself swing with every model run. Take into account trends over multiple runs of all the models and their ensembles and also look at historical analogs. This storm still has potential for a major ice storm and even could produce good snow into N TX. Also do not discount the rain portion of this as it will add up pretty good in E TX and even into DFW.

It's easier to compare 12z to 12z using Tropical Tidbits, which works well since 12z yesterday is when the Euro pulled the rug on DFW. It's simplistic to focus on just one thing but the Northern Stream wave has played a key role in the evolution of this system. It is ironic that we are pulling for the Northern Stream to come in stronger after it seems to have dominated every winter system for the past couple of years.

Anyway, some significant changes from yesterday to today on the Euro.



Yesterday, almost no signature for the northern wave.