Texas Winter 2021-2022

Winter Weather Discussion

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InfernoFlameCat
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1981 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Jan 11, 2022 12:56 pm

Winter storm in the fantasy range Gfs looks pretty epic.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1982 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:13 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Not much changed on the 12z GFS. I’m beginning to get interested in what it’s showing in the 10ish day timeframe.


It's a little east but you're talking shifts of a massive trough.

Last year in late January when the models were showing nuances of what was to become in February we were looking at these kinds of shifts. For cycles the PV was a little far east, little too far west, too much SW flow on and on. Eventually it all came true. PV went northeast with the strongest upper cold, western trough dug west for snows, and SW flow brought ample moisture.


Yeah at this range shifts like that are inevitable. They’re going to happen.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1983 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:24 pm

We're not done trending with the weekend system either. Euro has seen some sig shifts west/south. Keep it going and who knows. Potent shortwave for sure.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1984 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:36 pm

Ntxw wrote:We're not done trending with the weekend system either. Euro has seen some sig shifts west/south. Keep it going and who knows. Potent shortwave for sure.

https://i.imgur.com/hw7v9kO.gif


Yeah and we're not talking fantasy land either. This is the kind of trend you want to see inside 5 days. I'm definitely feeling a little optimistic up here and I thought we had no shot yesterday
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1985 Postby Haris » Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:41 pm

Who wants to fly to Georgia this weekend :roll: :eek:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1986 Postby harp » Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:45 pm

Haris wrote:Who wants to fly to Georgia this weekend :roll: :eek:

I have no desire to see someone else’s snow! Lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1987 Postby Haris » Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:50 pm

harp wrote:
Haris wrote:Who wants to fly to Georgia this weekend :roll: :eek:

I have no desire to see someone else’s snow! Lol


The best snow is always at your own house. But desperate times call for desperate measures :wink: :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1988 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:51 pm

harp wrote:
Haris wrote:Who wants to fly to Georgia this weekend :roll: :eek:

I have no desire to see someone else’s snow! Lol


This is exactly how I feel too :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1989 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:57 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
harp wrote:
Haris wrote:Who wants to fly to Georgia this weekend :roll: :eek:

I have no desire to see someone else’s snow! Lol


This is exactly how I feel too :lol:

Man I watch the Weather Channel when I know a snowstorm or blizzard is happening in another city. It is like watching a wood fire on the TV when it is 82 on Christmas day.
Last edited by gpsnowman on Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1990 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 11, 2022 1:58 pm

Haris wrote:Who wants to fly to Georgia this weekend :roll: :eek:


Lol these trends continue might just have to go to Arkansas :spam:

I'm not totally convinced about Georgia outside the mountains the last minute NW trend that always happens over there it seems could screw them. Usually you don't want to be the bullseye at this range
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1991 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Jan 11, 2022 2:09 pm

Ntxw wrote:We're not done trending with the weekend system either. Euro has seen some sig shifts west/south. Keep it going and who knows. Potent shortwave for sure.

https://i.imgur.com/hw7v9kO.gif


That same system turns into a very potent Nor'Easter a few days after.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1992 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:02 pm

I would be reluctant to believe the days 14-16 GFS 12Z run (or any hour run). We've seen how poorly it does beyond about 4-5 days. Still looks like no snow for TX over the next 10 days (GFS, Euro, and Canadian). Brent will likely see some snow Saturday, but he lives half way to Canada.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1993 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:09 pm

wxman57 wrote:I would be reluctant to believe the days 14-16 GFS 12Z run (or any hour run). We've seen how poorly it does beyond about 4-5 days. Still looks like no snow for TX over the next 10 days (GFS, Euro, and Canadian). Brent will likely see some snow Saturday, but he lives half way to Canada.


I'm glad I have your approval :lol: :spam:

60s the next couple days it's gonna be a fun contrast :lol: but apparently it was in the 70s before the 2011 blizzard so welcome to Oklahoma I guess :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1994 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:24 pm

Haris wrote:Who wants to fly to Georgia this weekend :roll: :eek:

I live in Georgia. :lol:
And in the dead center of the area of the most snow.
But also Ice and ice is not fun.
And like Brent said. But hey, I am excited.
Last edited by InfernoFlameCat on Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:27 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1995 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:25 pm

InfernoFlameCat wrote:
Haris wrote:Who wants to fly to Georgia this weekend :roll: :eek:

I live in Georgia. :lol:
And in the dead center of the area of the most snow.


I can't believe it's apparently been almost 4 years since the Atlanta airport measured snow :lol: :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1996 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:32 pm

Well uhhh… this is interesting:

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1997 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:34 pm



I remember something similar before February happened last year. Anyone have the graphic saved?
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1998 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:37 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:


I remember something similar before February happened last year. Anyone have the graphic saved?


Was that after everyone said it would above normal? :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#1999 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:38 pm




Fingers crossed. I could go for 10-15 straight days of lows in the teens/20s and highs in the 20s/mid 30s then you miserable warm weather lovers can have your 9 month hell. :wink:
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Re: Texas Winter 2021-2022

#2000 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Jan 11, 2022 3:41 pm

Brent wrote:
InfernoFlameCat wrote:
Haris wrote:Who wants to fly to Georgia this weekend :roll: :eek:

I live in Georgia. :lol:
And in the dead center of the area of the most snow.


I can't believe it's apparently been almost 4 years since the Atlanta airport measured snow :lol: :lol:

Ouch. But fortunately for me I am in the foothills so we get more snow than Atlanta usually.
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