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Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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StormingB81
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StormingB81
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5676
- Age: 42
- Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
- Location: Rockledge, Florida
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StormingB81
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5676
- Age: 42
- Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
- Location: Rockledge, Florida
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
FROM THE NWS.....
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM FRIDAY...WHILE THE LONG TERM STARTS OFF WITH FAIRLY
NONDESCRIPT AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IT WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION TO
ANYTHING BUT. WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE AND ZONAL FLOW ON MONDAY WILL
BRING AMPLE SUNSHINE AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. MEANWHILE TROUGHINESS
WILL BE DIGGING INTO THE OH VALLEY AROUND A POLAR VORTEX PROGRESSING
EASTWARD NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS SETUP PUSHES AN ARCTIC COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY. THE CONFIGURATION AND SPEED OF
PROGRESSION OF THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IS A BIT
UNCERTAIN...AND THIS WILL HAVE A BEARING ON THE CHANCE FOR SOME
WINTERY PRECIP ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. TROUBLE IS...HOW THIS PANS
OUT IS GOING TO DEPEND ON A COMPLEX INTERACTION OF UPPER LOWS OFF
THE PAC NW COAST. NOTABLE EXTREMES RANGING FROM THE SLOW AND DEEP
ECMWF THAT WOULD LINGER POPS IN THE FORECAST FROM TUESDAY`S FROPA
INTO A CHANGEOVER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE OTHER END OF THE SPECTRUM
IS THE VERY QUICK CANADIAN PUSHES THE DEEP COLD AIR IN SO FAST THE
PRECIP MAY CHANGE OVER WHILE ENDING TUESDAY NIGHT. APPEALING TO
CLIMATOLOGY REALLY ARGUES AGAINST MIXED PRECIP SINCE THE LONG
STANDING RELIABLE RECORDS FOR WILMINGTON HAVE NEVER RECORDED
MEASURABLE SNOW BEFORE NOV 20. ACTUALLY DO HAVE RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS IN
GRIDDED FCST FOR WED NIGHT BUT THE SILENT SLIGHT CHANCE POP RULE FOR
DAYS 5 AND BEYOND WILL KEEP THEM OUT OF TEXT PRODUCTS. WINTRY PRECIP
NOTWITHSTANDING WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE A BLUSTERY DAY AND GUIDANCE
LIKELY UNDERESTIMATING THE DEVIATION FROM CLIMO ESP IF SLOWER AND
THUS CLOUDIER SOLUTION VERIFIES. HAVE NUDGED FCST DOWN TO SHOW HIGHS
STRUGGLING TO HIT 50 OVER NWRN ZONES AND LOW 50S MOST ELSEWHERE.
GUSTY NRLY WIND TO ADD TO A CHILL TO AN AFTERNOON THAT MAY END UP 20
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...IMPRESSIVE WHETHER WE SEE ANY FLAKES OR NOT.
RELATED TO THE SPEED OF THE UPPER WAVE IS THE DURATION THAT THE VERY
COLD AIRMASS HANGS AROUND. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES AND THE
RELATIVELY AMPLIFIED PRECURSORY FLOW OVER THE PACIFIC WILL ERR ON
THE SIDE OF PESSIMISM AND SHOW TEMPS WELL BELOW CLIMO FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...AS THE WEATHER STAYS DRY.
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM FRIDAY...WHILE THE LONG TERM STARTS OFF WITH FAIRLY
NONDESCRIPT AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IT WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION TO
ANYTHING BUT. WEAKENING HIGH PRESSURE AND ZONAL FLOW ON MONDAY WILL
BRING AMPLE SUNSHINE AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. MEANWHILE TROUGHINESS
WILL BE DIGGING INTO THE OH VALLEY AROUND A POLAR VORTEX PROGRESSING
EASTWARD NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS SETUP PUSHES AN ARCTIC COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY. THE CONFIGURATION AND SPEED OF
PROGRESSION OF THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM IS A BIT
UNCERTAIN...AND THIS WILL HAVE A BEARING ON THE CHANCE FOR SOME
WINTERY PRECIP ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. TROUBLE IS...HOW THIS PANS
OUT IS GOING TO DEPEND ON A COMPLEX INTERACTION OF UPPER LOWS OFF
THE PAC NW COAST. NOTABLE EXTREMES RANGING FROM THE SLOW AND DEEP
ECMWF THAT WOULD LINGER POPS IN THE FORECAST FROM TUESDAY`S FROPA
INTO A CHANGEOVER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE OTHER END OF THE SPECTRUM
IS THE VERY QUICK CANADIAN PUSHES THE DEEP COLD AIR IN SO FAST THE
PRECIP MAY CHANGE OVER WHILE ENDING TUESDAY NIGHT. APPEALING TO
CLIMATOLOGY REALLY ARGUES AGAINST MIXED PRECIP SINCE THE LONG
STANDING RELIABLE RECORDS FOR WILMINGTON HAVE NEVER RECORDED
MEASURABLE SNOW BEFORE NOV 20. ACTUALLY DO HAVE RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS IN
GRIDDED FCST FOR WED NIGHT BUT THE SILENT SLIGHT CHANCE POP RULE FOR
DAYS 5 AND BEYOND WILL KEEP THEM OUT OF TEXT PRODUCTS. WINTRY PRECIP
NOTWITHSTANDING WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE A BLUSTERY DAY AND GUIDANCE
LIKELY UNDERESTIMATING THE DEVIATION FROM CLIMO ESP IF SLOWER AND
THUS CLOUDIER SOLUTION VERIFIES. HAVE NUDGED FCST DOWN TO SHOW HIGHS
STRUGGLING TO HIT 50 OVER NWRN ZONES AND LOW 50S MOST ELSEWHERE.
GUSTY NRLY WIND TO ADD TO A CHILL TO AN AFTERNOON THAT MAY END UP 20
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...IMPRESSIVE WHETHER WE SEE ANY FLAKES OR NOT.
RELATED TO THE SPEED OF THE UPPER WAVE IS THE DURATION THAT THE VERY
COLD AIRMASS HANGS AROUND. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTIES AND THE
RELATIVELY AMPLIFIED PRECURSORY FLOW OVER THE PACIFIC WILL ERR ON
THE SIDE OF PESSIMISM AND SHOW TEMPS WELL BELOW CLIMO FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...AS THE WEATHER STAYS DRY.
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StormingB81
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- Location: Rockledge, Florida
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Still hanging onto it..lol
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 3 AM SUNDAY...ONE LAST NEAR-SEASONABLE DAY MONDAY BEFORE BIG
ARCTIC COLD MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE SHORT TERM. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES QUICKLY WEST-TO-EAST ACROSS THE AREA
MONDAY...DRIVEN BY FAST ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER
AND LIGHT NE WINDS MUCH OF THE DAY...TEMPS WILL WARM TO JUST BELOW
SEASONABLE NORMS...MID 60S MUCH OF THE AREA. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT
WILL FALL TO AROUND 40 OR A FEW DEGREES ABOVE.
BIG CHANGES OCCUR ON TUESDAY. A POTENT SHORTWAVE DIVES INTO THE
SOUTHEAST CREATING A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH...AND DRIVING AN ARCTIC
FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. 850MB TEMPS PLUMMET DURING TUESDAY...WITH
SOUNDINGS SUGGESTING NEARLY A 15C DECREASE BETWEEN 12Z TUESDAY AND
12Z WEDNESDAY! THIS ARCTIC FRONT WILL BE THE LEADING EDGE OF SOME
VERY COLD AIR...LIKELY THE COLDEST OF THE SEASON...AND TUES TEMPS
WILL FOLLOW AN ATYPICAL DIURNAL CURVE WITH TEMPS BEGINNING TO FALL
WELL BEFORE DARK. HIGHS TUESDAY WILL STILL REACH TO AROUND 60
DEGREES...BUT THIS WILL BE FELT EARLY AFTN BEFORE FALLING TOWARDS
EVENING.
MINS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE 30S...BUT WILL FEEL MUCH
COLDER AS STRONG N/NE WINDS DEVELOP AND PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY.
THESE WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE BEHIND THE FROPA THANKS TO A
SIGNIFICANT LLJ APPROACHING 40 KTS AT JUST 2KFT ABOVE THE SURFACE.
THIS OCCURS IN CONJUNCTION WITH RAPIDLY FALLING 850MB
TEMPS...DRIVING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TOWARDS DRY-ADIABATIC
THRESHOLDS AND HENCE ALLOWING FOR EFFICIENT MECHANICAL MIXING. HAVE
BUMPED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS BEGINNING 2PM TUESDAY...AND COULD SEE
WIND GUSTS OF 30-35 MPH...IF NOT HIGHER IN ISOLATED INSTANCES.
THESE WINDS WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS WHICH WILL DIVE INTO THE MID-
20S OVERNIGHT TUESDAY.
ONE OF THE CONCERNS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS WAS THE CHANCE FOR SOME
WINTRY PRECIPITATION HERE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...AND IT LOOKS LIKE THERE IS
STILL A CHANCE...ALTHOUGH SMALL...FOR SNOWFLAKES ACROSS THIS AREA.
ALTHOUGH TEMPS COOL RAPIDLY BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT...AND MOISTURE
ACTUALLY INCREASES TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE MID-LEVELS (THUS PARTIALLY
SATURATING THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE) THANKS TO MOIST ADVECTION AND
PVA AHEAD OF THE MAIN VORT...SUB-CLOUD LAYERS REMAIN DRY. SLOPED
900-800MB FGEN DOES APPEAR TUESDAY NIGHT BENEATH A REGION OF
ISOTHERMAL THETA-ES AND WEAK MID-LEVEL Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE. THIS
IS FOCUSED WEST OF I-95...AND IS A SIGNAL THAT AT LEAST SOME
COMBINATION OF LIFT/INSTABILITY WILL TAP THE MOIST -12C TO -20C
LAYER AS SURFACE TEMPS COOL. HOWEVER...THESE FGEN SIGNATURES AND
THETA-E FOLDS ARE MUCH WEAKER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. THIS SUGGESTS
WEAKER OMEGA...THUS ANY PRECIP THAT WILL TRY TO FALL WILL OCCUR
WITH VERY LIGHT RATES.
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 3 AM SUNDAY...ONE LAST NEAR-SEASONABLE DAY MONDAY BEFORE BIG
ARCTIC COLD MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE SHORT TERM. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES QUICKLY WEST-TO-EAST ACROSS THE AREA
MONDAY...DRIVEN BY FAST ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER
AND LIGHT NE WINDS MUCH OF THE DAY...TEMPS WILL WARM TO JUST BELOW
SEASONABLE NORMS...MID 60S MUCH OF THE AREA. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT
WILL FALL TO AROUND 40 OR A FEW DEGREES ABOVE.
BIG CHANGES OCCUR ON TUESDAY. A POTENT SHORTWAVE DIVES INTO THE
SOUTHEAST CREATING A DEEP LONGWAVE TROUGH...AND DRIVING AN ARCTIC
FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. 850MB TEMPS PLUMMET DURING TUESDAY...WITH
SOUNDINGS SUGGESTING NEARLY A 15C DECREASE BETWEEN 12Z TUESDAY AND
12Z WEDNESDAY! THIS ARCTIC FRONT WILL BE THE LEADING EDGE OF SOME
VERY COLD AIR...LIKELY THE COLDEST OF THE SEASON...AND TUES TEMPS
WILL FOLLOW AN ATYPICAL DIURNAL CURVE WITH TEMPS BEGINNING TO FALL
WELL BEFORE DARK. HIGHS TUESDAY WILL STILL REACH TO AROUND 60
DEGREES...BUT THIS WILL BE FELT EARLY AFTN BEFORE FALLING TOWARDS
EVENING.
MINS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE 30S...BUT WILL FEEL MUCH
COLDER AS STRONG N/NE WINDS DEVELOP AND PERSIST INTO WEDNESDAY.
THESE WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE BEHIND THE FROPA THANKS TO A
SIGNIFICANT LLJ APPROACHING 40 KTS AT JUST 2KFT ABOVE THE SURFACE.
THIS OCCURS IN CONJUNCTION WITH RAPIDLY FALLING 850MB
TEMPS...DRIVING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TOWARDS DRY-ADIABATIC
THRESHOLDS AND HENCE ALLOWING FOR EFFICIENT MECHANICAL MIXING. HAVE
BUMPED WINDS AND WIND GUSTS BEGINNING 2PM TUESDAY...AND COULD SEE
WIND GUSTS OF 30-35 MPH...IF NOT HIGHER IN ISOLATED INSTANCES.
THESE WINDS WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS WHICH WILL DIVE INTO THE MID-
20S OVERNIGHT TUESDAY.
ONE OF THE CONCERNS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS WAS THE CHANCE FOR SOME
WINTRY PRECIPITATION HERE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...AND IT LOOKS LIKE THERE IS
STILL A CHANCE...ALTHOUGH SMALL...FOR SNOWFLAKES ACROSS THIS AREA.
ALTHOUGH TEMPS COOL RAPIDLY BEHIND THE ARCTIC FRONT...AND MOISTURE
ACTUALLY INCREASES TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE MID-LEVELS (THUS PARTIALLY
SATURATING THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE) THANKS TO MOIST ADVECTION AND
PVA AHEAD OF THE MAIN VORT...SUB-CLOUD LAYERS REMAIN DRY. SLOPED
900-800MB FGEN DOES APPEAR TUESDAY NIGHT BENEATH A REGION OF
ISOTHERMAL THETA-ES AND WEAK MID-LEVEL Q-VECTOR DIVERGENCE. THIS
IS FOCUSED WEST OF I-95...AND IS A SIGNAL THAT AT LEAST SOME
COMBINATION OF LIFT/INSTABILITY WILL TAP THE MOIST -12C TO -20C
LAYER AS SURFACE TEMPS COOL. HOWEVER...THESE FGEN SIGNATURES AND
THETA-E FOLDS ARE MUCH WEAKER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. THIS SUGGESTS
WEAKER OMEGA...THUS ANY PRECIP THAT WILL TRY TO FALL WILL OCCUR
WITH VERY LIGHT RATES.
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Chance for the 1st flurries of the season very early 3-6am tomorrow morning!
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
StormingB81
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5676
- Age: 42
- Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
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angelwing
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- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NJZ009-010-012>015-PAZ070-071-101>106-121000-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
852 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013
...LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING...
A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO DROP
THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY BETWEEN
ABOUT 200 AM AND 400 AM.
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN SHOWERS. AS COLD AIR
BUILDS INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT, THE RAIN SHOWERS WILL
LIKELY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS FOR LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY MORNING.
SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN A HALF INCH. THE
SNOW IS FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE MAINLY ON UNPAVED SURFACES.
THE SNOW MAY REDUCE THE VISIBILITY. IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING LATE
TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY MORNING, USE EXTRA CARE.
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD END LATE ON TUESDAY MORNING.
NJZ009-010-012>015-PAZ070-071-101>106-121000-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
852 PM EST MON NOV 11 2013
...LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING...
A STRONG COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO DROP
THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY BETWEEN
ABOUT 200 AM AND 400 AM.
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY RAIN SHOWERS. AS COLD AIR
BUILDS INTO OUR REGION BEHIND THE FRONT, THE RAIN SHOWERS WILL
LIKELY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS FOR LATE TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY MORNING.
SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN A HALF INCH. THE
SNOW IS FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE MAINLY ON UNPAVED SURFACES.
THE SNOW MAY REDUCE THE VISIBILITY. IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING LATE
TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY MORNING, USE EXTRA CARE.
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD END LATE ON TUESDAY MORNING.
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StormingB81
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angelwing
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- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
I had some flurries from about 5-6AM that was it, nothing to get happy about, sigh, but right now it is COLD! 35 in Philly at work, 28 at home...
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StormingB81
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StormingB81
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- Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
- Location: Rockledge, Florida
Nothing stuck yesterday morning but it was snowing for a good 2 hrs! 
Of course everyone lost their mind since it was during the morning commute lol
Of course everyone lost their mind since it was during the morning commute lol
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
angelwing
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- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 3:06 pm
- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
519 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ007>010-012>027-PAZ060>062-
070-071-101>106-131600-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
519 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013
...ENHANCED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO
THIS AFTERNOON...
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS, GUSTY WINDS AND DRY FINE FUELS WILL
CREATE AN ELEVATED RISK FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRES FROM LATE THIS
MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT WILDFIRE DANGER, BURN RESTRICTIONS, AND
WILDFIRE PREVENTION AND EDUCATION, PLEASE VISIT YOUR STATE FORESTRY
OR ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION WEBSITE.
$$
ROBERTSON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
519 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ007>010-012>027-PAZ060>062-
070-071-101>106-131600-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...
OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNET SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
519 AM EST WED NOV 13 2013
...ENHANCED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO
THIS AFTERNOON...
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS, GUSTY WINDS AND DRY FINE FUELS WILL
CREATE AN ELEVATED RISK FOR THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRES FROM LATE THIS
MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON.
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT WILDFIRE DANGER, BURN RESTRICTIONS, AND
WILDFIRE PREVENTION AND EDUCATION, PLEASE VISIT YOUR STATE FORESTRY
OR ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION WEBSITE.
$$
ROBERTSON
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StormingB81
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GFS picked up on it too last night.
Gonna be one of those 'timing' things with the phasing. Energy from Canada and South East combine and ka-pow!
I'm really hoping this verifies since I'll be in the Poconos for Thanksgiving
Gonna be one of those 'timing' things with the phasing. Energy from Canada and South East combine and ka-pow!
I'm really hoping this verifies since I'll be in the Poconos for Thanksgiving
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Andrew '92 Opal '95 Blizzard '96 Izzy '03 Irene '11 Sandy '12
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
StormingB81
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- Posts: 5676
- Age: 42
- Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
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angelwing
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- Age: 62
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- Location: Kulpsville, PA
Re: Mid Atlantic Winter 2013-2014
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
421 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-012>027-PAZ070-071-
101>106-260930-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
421 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A NOR`EASTER SHOULD AFFECT THE REGION LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR HEAVY RAIN WHICH AT THE LEAST WILL
GREATLY HAMPER GETAWAY TRAVEL. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING ALONG COASTAL AREAS. IT SHOULD BE WINDY IN THE WAKE OF
STORM ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY. WIND GUSTS
EXCEEDING 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
421 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-012>027-PAZ070-071-
101>106-260930-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
421 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
A NOR`EASTER SHOULD AFFECT THE REGION LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR HEAVY RAIN WHICH AT THE LEAST WILL
GREATLY HAMPER GETAWAY TRAVEL. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING ALONG COASTAL AREAS. IT SHOULD BE WINDY IN THE WAKE OF
STORM ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY. WIND GUSTS
EXCEEDING 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
$$
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StormingB81
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