Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2001 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Jan 15, 2026 3:18 pm

txtwister78 ive just gone quiet because the other enswmbles keep trying to dump the cold air east of us again, EPS looks the best, I just dont want to get excited just yet again and get burned lol
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TomballEd
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2002 Postby TomballEd » Thu Jan 15, 2026 3:27 pm

orangeblood wrote:500 mb look has a lot of potential for a big southern plains winter storm Jan 24-26th time frame!!

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/ecmwf-ensemble-avg/nhemi/z500_anom/1768478400/1769212800-7UkHc7yfOUg.png



Won't show up as well on a smoothed ensemble as the op. Not as well defined as a true trough line hanging back from a Hudson Bay Low, with well defined NW winds turning W, but my 3/4 glass full optimist eyes sees at least a hint of a a McFarland feature which would hold back the cold air from running down E of the Rockies until the air mass has gotten mega dense and mega cold.

Ok, it is sort of wishful thinking but if I squint right.

Image
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txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2003 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Jan 15, 2026 3:34 pm

Stratton23 wrote:txtwister78 ive just gone quiet because the other enswmbles keep trying to dump the cold air east of us again, EPS looks the best, I just dont want to get excited just yet again and get burned lol


I hear ya brother. I think this is our best shot.
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txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2004 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Jan 15, 2026 3:47 pm

It's a start.

Image
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Quixotic
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2005 Postby Quixotic » Thu Jan 15, 2026 4:02 pm

Maybe it’s just me but the succession of progressively colder fronts has got me a little bit more chipper. Stepping down until something bigger is possible. Plus, some of these fronts can give us a surprise or two even if it’s just a lake effect flizzard.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2006 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 15, 2026 4:15 pm

Quixotic wrote:Maybe it’s just me but the succession of progressively colder fronts has got me a little bit more chipper. Stepping down until something bigger is possible. Plus, some of these fronts can give us a surprise or two even if it’s just a lake effect flizzard.

Yeah, my local TV met has flurries on Saturday morning, it's at least a start for me :lol:
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2007 Postby rwfromkansas » Thu Jan 15, 2026 4:46 pm

Well, we are past 100 at least. So, that's something. Lol. At least there are things to watch, I just really hope we don't just revert back after a week reprieve like has been the case so far.
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