Texas Winter 2012-2013

Winter Weather Discussion

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GaryHughes
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#2041 Postby GaryHughes » Mon Dec 31, 2012 6:14 pm

I'm not believing this, but it was 59° today at my place.
:thermo:
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#2042 Postby Ntxw » Mon Dec 31, 2012 9:49 pm

NAM tonight is a little better, much more robust shortwave and if it can come out before the cold air leaves. Not a bad trend if it is that, some SREF support
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#2043 Postby GaryHughes » Mon Dec 31, 2012 10:37 pm

Happy New year to all, hope it's a good one for all!
:flag:

:Partytime: :12:
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#2044 Postby weatherdude1108 » Mon Dec 31, 2012 11:24 pm

:uarrow:
HAPPY NEW YEAR TO YOU AND EVERYONE ELSE TOO!!
:)
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#2045 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Dec 31, 2012 11:35 pm

Happy New Year!!!

GFS continues to flirt with the idea of some winter weather for South Texas Thursday Night/Friday Morning..

Image
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#2046 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 01, 2013 1:30 am

Happy New Year!!! 2013!

Lets ring in this joyous time with a little gift from the Euro

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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#2047 Postby TexasF6 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 2:40 am

Happy New Year Everyone! :flag:
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#2048 Postby iorange55 » Tue Jan 01, 2013 8:16 am

GFS 06z is pretty aggressive with cold blast after cold blast in the long range.
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#2049 Postby Comanche » Tue Jan 01, 2013 10:06 am

iorange55 wrote:GFS 06z is pretty aggressive with cold blast after cold blast in the long range.


Release the Kraken!
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#2050 Postby Portastorm » Tue Jan 01, 2013 11:19 am

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First and foremost, the PWC wishes a Happy New Year to Storm2k members! :D

In terms of sensible weather this week, it still appears like a minor winter weather event could occur for places like Del Rio, Ozona, Sonora, stretching into western sections of San Antonio and maybe even the active fracking areas of south Texas (i.e. Cotulla). The 12z GFS is coming in and shows enough precip and cold enough 850mb temps that perhaps some sleet or even a few snowflakes might fall late Thursday into early Friday. The SREF ensemble means also show this happening.

The PWC does not anticipate any wintry "excitement" occuring in its own backyard, unfortunately. This little event could still offer a surprise or two though. We shall see.

And finally as others have alluded to, after a brief moderating period around mid month, it appears winter returns to Texas later in January. Here's to 2013 and lots of winter storms impacting all areas of Texas!
Last edited by Portastorm on Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Added forecast disclaimer
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#2051 Postby lrak » Tue Jan 01, 2013 11:55 am

Happy New Year! Any freeze along the coast anticipated from this next storm? Those maps are looking somewhat scary to my plants.
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#2052 Postby ndale » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:37 pm

The weather services don't seem to be expecting any kind of wintry event this week. San Angelo nws doesn't mention any kind of precip for areas around Sonora and Austin nws says, " HAVE BOOSTED NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS DEWPOINTS SHOULD TREND UP AS THE AIRMASS SATURATES A LITTLE."

Edit: By the way Happy New Year everyone.
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#2053 Postby Comanche » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:48 pm

12Z GFS looks cold again after say a 3-day 'warm-up'?
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Re:

#2054 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 01, 2013 12:55 pm

Comanche wrote:12Z GFS looks cold again after say a 3-day 'warm-up'?


It will probably last a little longer than that. The difference for Texas compared to the east (they will feel the brunt of it) is that we will be accompanied by clouds and some moisture with the warm up. NW Canada is now warm so we'll see how that turns out

And again, don't panic! Warm up is relative to where we are now. For instance GFS has DFW back into the low 50s next week which is normal. Then a day or two into the low 60s which is seasonably warm <- might be accompanied by some rain. Then the trend goes back down
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#2055 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Tue Jan 01, 2013 3:21 pm

Comanche wrote:
iorange55 wrote:GFS 06z is pretty aggressive with cold blast after cold blast in the long range.


Release the Kraken!


Sorry Comanche he's had a few rounds taken out of him.

Image

Maybe in a couple of weeks he'll regain his strength.
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Re: Texas Winter 2012-2013

#2056 Postby Portastorm » Tue Jan 01, 2013 3:43 pm

Interesting to note that the 12z GFS snow maps show accumulating snow later this week from Sierra Blanca/Van Horn area down southeast along the Rio Grande to about Del Rio, and then north to areas just to the south of Sonora.
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#2057 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue Jan 01, 2013 3:49 pm

One week after the 2012 White Christmas miracle in North Texas, I still have a few patches of snow near the house. Shows how chilly it has been all week.

A football field that's elevated at a local middle school still has some drifted snow hanging around as does a road that had a little drifting action.

Snow patches still on the ground seven days later, not bad for a North Tx two to three-incher! :D
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Re:

#2058 Postby Portastorm » Tue Jan 01, 2013 3:51 pm

ndale wrote:The weather services don't seem to be expecting any kind of wintry event this week. San Angelo nws doesn't mention any kind of precip for areas around Sonora and Austin nws says, " HAVE BOOSTED NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS DEWPOINTS SHOULD TREND UP AS THE AIRMASS SATURATES A LITTLE."

Edit: By the way Happy New Year everyone.


Did you look at the zone forecasts? NWS San Angelo has a mention of rain or snow late Thursday night into Friday for Sonora and Ozona. They also discuss the possibility in their morning AFD and that was before the colder-looking 12z GFS run came in.
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SaskatchewanScreamer

#2059 Postby SaskatchewanScreamer » Tue Jan 01, 2013 4:12 pm

And see I didn't forget the Grey Goose swilling met
A bottle of Arctic chilled heaven........... :cheesy:

Image

Tease me with the -50's :spam: :wink:
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Re: Re:

#2060 Postby ndale » Tue Jan 01, 2013 4:38 pm

Portastorm wrote:
ndale wrote:The weather services don't seem to be expecting any kind of wintry event this week. San Angelo nws doesn't mention any kind of precip for areas around Sonora and Austin nws says, " HAVE BOOSTED NIGHTTIME TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT AS DEWPOINTS SHOULD TREND UP AS THE AIRMASS SATURATES A LITTLE."

Edit: By the way Happy New Year everyone.


Did you look at the zone forecasts? NWS San Angelo has a mention of rain or snow late Thursday night into Friday for Sonora and Ozona. They also discuss the possibility in their morning AFD and that was before the colder-looking 12z GFS run came in.


My mistake, I was looking at some general forecasts.

Am I reading maps wrong on twisterdata.com or do some of the snow accumulations look like they are close to our doorstep.
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