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Texas Winter 2025-2026
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.- Iceresistance
- Category 5

- Posts: 9451
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Ntxw wrote:Wthrfan wrote:Ntxw wrote:
Yeah the great summer 2026…I mean winter…heat ridge is ever omnipresent. How much of an influence it will have during the upcoming colder shift is a question. It will be back to start to Feb.
I will say, never seen a winter ridge like this before. Warm winters is usually mild Pacific maritime air, not heat induced ridge to this degree.
This really is unprecedented it seems. Is this mainly because of La Niña or something else? I’m hoping this winter isn’t a prelude to a horrific summer like 2012. It’s been so dry too.
Likely a manifestation of the severe -PDO since 2020.
You have to go back to September 2019 to find a month where the PDO was greater than 0.00. And 2015 was the last calendar year where every month’s index was greater than 0.00 from January to December. Pretty sad state of affairs for our region.
Though it doesn’t matter much in the grand scheme of things as of right now, but December’s PDO -1.01 index is the warmest it’s been since August 2021’s index of -0.95. This could be a trend in the right direction, but we won’t truly know for at least another 6 months to a year from now.
Last edited by 869MB on Sat Jan 17, 2026 4:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5

- Posts: 9451
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
869MB wrote:Ntxw wrote:Wthrfan wrote:
This really is unprecedented it seems. Is this mainly because of La Niña or something else? I’m hoping this winter isn’t a prelude to a horrific summer like 2012. It’s been so dry too.
Likely a manifestation of the severe -PDO since 2020.
You have to go back to September 2019 to find a month where the PDO was greater than 0.00. And 2015 was the last calendar year where every month’s value was greater than 0.00 from January to December. Pretty sad state of affairs for our region.
December 2025's PDO index was +1.01, which is the least positive since August 2021
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Iceresistance wrote:869MB wrote:Ntxw wrote:
Likely a manifestation of the severe -PDO since 2020.
You have to go back to September 2019 to find a month where the PDO was greater than 0.00. And 2015 was the last calendar year where every month’s value was greater than 0.00 from January to December. Pretty sad state of affairs for our region.
December 2025's PDO index was +1.01, which is the least positive since August 2021
Yeah I just added that to my post above…I didn’t think anyone was still awake on the board right now.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5

- Posts: 9451
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
869MB wrote:Iceresistance wrote:869MB wrote:
You have to go back to September 2019 to find a month where the PDO was greater than 0.00. And 2015 was the last calendar year where every month’s value was greater than 0.00 from January to December. Pretty sad state of affairs for our region.
December 2025's PDO index was +1.01, which is the least positive since August 2021
Yeah I just added that to my post above…I didn’t think anyone was still awake on the board right now.
I am, stupid primer paint smell
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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