Texas Winter 2017-2018

[EnnisTx]

Think the NWS FWD has been following this thread!

[stormlover2013]

I wouldn’t really be model watching all that much right now, to far away

[starsfan65]

I wouldn’t really be model watching all that much right now, to far away

I rather the cold weather and the snow.

[Brent]

Hey its 45 degrees and raining thats more wintry than it has been around here

Hopefully next Saturday Night itll be 15 degrees colder and snowing

[starsfan65]

Hey its 45 degrees and raining thats more wintry than it has been around here

Hopefully next Saturday Night itll be 15 degrees colder and snowing

Me too!!

[katheria]

I wouldn’t really be model watching all that much right now, to far away

Thats half the fun of texas winter weather

[Brent]

I wouldn’t really be model watching all that much right now, to far away

Thats half the fun of texas winter weather

Most of the time its a surprise anyway around here so i wouldn't stress too much over the models at this stage

Biggest snowstorm in dallas history=NWS was playing catchup all day

[bubba hotep]

Pretty decent rain out this way tonight.

[TexasSam]

Just for the heck of it. It's getting real windy here in Baytown. Rain should start soon.

[Texas Snow]

Steve McCauley’s widely anticipated Stat Method inconclusive as well:



The forecast for next weekend - as you all know - is proving to be extremely difficult to nail down. Just to give you a sense of the disparity between the various computer models, the temperature forecast for Christmas Day ranges from 11°F to 72°F ! And of course the precipitation forecast ranges from a healthy does of freezing rain, sleet, and snow to absolutely nothing at all.

The Stat Method is not calling for any SIGNIFICANT snow in the Metroplex, though it is does indicate some snow to the north and west.

The Stat Method does not predict SIGNIFICANT freezing rain in the Metroplex .

The Stat Method does not predict SIGNIFICANT sleet in the Metroplex.

That is the way it looks right now. But keep in mind, the models are all over the place predicting anything from a crippling ice storm to absolutely nothing. I cannot remember seeing this much chaos in the atmosphere. (I'm sure it has happened before....I just do not recall seeing such a disparity in the numbers) So even the Stat Method outlook is likely to change.

The forecast ultimately hinges on the development (or the non-development) of an upper-level storm system that hasn't even formed yet and what its strength will be IF it does develop. This system is NOT one we can track from the Sea of Japan this time. It simply isn't anywhere ... at least not yet.

Stay tuned for updates, and enjoy the rain for now...and some of us get yet another batch coming in on Tuesday. That one may even have a few rumbles of thunder!

[South Texas Storms]

Pretty decent rain out this way tonight.

Yeah this turned out to be a nice rain event. Models underestimated it, especially across central and north Texas.

[Brent]

Pretty decent rain out this way tonight.

Beautiful sound on the roof

Its been entirely too long lol

[JDawg512]

Rain has ended in Austin. Total amount for today in my gauge is 1.81". Very nice indeed. Well it's time for my slumber. Worn out from today's activities. Will be back tomorrow to read up on the winter gossip.

[Brent]

The stat method really narrowed down the possibilities

[katheria]

I wouldn’t really be model watching all that much right now, to far away

Thats half the fun of texas winter weather

Most of the time its a surprise anyway around here so i wouldn't stress too much over the models at this stage

Biggest snowstorm in dallas history=NWS was playing catchup all day

Lol i remember that very clearly....think somewhere i have screen shots ....1/2"max forecast lol
Remember looking outside telling hubby....man they really missed this one...it just kept comming down....
14-18" at my house. Lol

[South Texas Storms]

0z GFS looks like it's shifting towards the Euro.

[Ntxw]

Is it sad that here it is Saturday night and all I can seem to think about is what the 0z will bring?? The anticipation for each run is brutal at this point!

That's half the fun! The snow comes and goes pretty quick most of the time. The build up the days and weeks before is usually what gets the pages going

[Brent]

GFS is out to Thursday already

At least we dont have to wait as long now

[Ntxw]

Another double barrel lows run it seems coming

[Texas Snow]

0z GFS looks like it's shifting towards the Euro.

If so I will just look at it In a positive light, which would mean the euro is about to flip to a cutoff low