Texas Winter 2012-2013

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Crossing my fingers for an HTown surprise. Half the time we get some stuff, it is never predicted until it starts to fall.

[Cuda17]

Crossing my fingers for an HTown surprise. Half the time we get some stuff, it is never predicted until it starts to fall.

We had a few bouts of sleet a little earlier, I'm not too terribly far from you.

[Ntxw]

Another piece to the little puzzle we're trying to put together. It's been a long time since any mentioning of the MJO. Well for the first time this winter it has awakened. Not favorable right now, but is no longer incoherent and expected to flare. It will likely play a very important role in pumping up the -EPO.

[Snowbeagle]

Another piece to the little puzzle we're trying to put together. It's been a long time since any mentioning of the MJO. Well for the first time this winter it has awakened. Not favorable right now, but is no longer incoherent and expected to flare. It will likely play a very important role in pumping up the -EPO.

*snip*

Aren't Phases 5-7 not all that favorable for cold in the us though?
Or am I misinformed?

[Tireman4]

Without fail, when I leave Dallas for Waco, it snows in Dallas. Right when I get back to Dallas, it snows in Waco. I feel ya, Porta.

Ya, you are snakebit. I agree. You have some serious heartaches in the winter...

[Tireman4]

Crossing my fingers for an HTown surprise. Half the time we get some stuff, it is never predicted until it starts to fall.

We have, what I think I see, is sleet heading my way in Humble...

[Ntxw]

Aren't Phases 5-7 not all that favorable for cold in the us though?
Or am I misinformed?

That is correct, it is not favorable. What came out of that post is you can see it has been weak and sparse most of the winter. Look at all the crazy lines, no defined wave near the dead circle. But now we have a vast area of convection in the Indian Ocean consolidating courtesy of a true MJO wave and ready to move. The models will pick up on the favorable phases as things get closer

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Crossing my fingers for an HTown surprise. Half the time we get some stuff, it is never predicted until it starts to fall.

We have, what I think I see, is sleet heading my way in Humble...

Where you se this?

[Ntxw]

It's snowing like mad at Fort Stockton, half mile visibilities. El Paso has recorded officially 2.5 inches today, probably will come close to 4 before all done. Alpine may approach a foot

[HouTXmetro]

It's just to warm in H-town. No wintry pre-cip for us.

[ah1143]

So for those of us in north Dallas not getting the best of this storm, what if anything can we expect? Most of the news outlets here have taken the "nothing to see here....move along now" attitude yet I see where NWS FW showing 1/2 inch possible......its my educated guess someone is wrong...which is it?

[wall_cloud]

depends on perspective. IMHO, "nothing to see here" and 1/2 possible are pretty much the same thing.

[Texas Snowman]

It's snowing like mad at Fort Stockton, half mile visibilities. El Paso has recorded officially 2.5 inches today, probably will come close to 4 before all done. Alpine may approach a foot

Oh to be eating at the Reata right now in Alpine. Cheese enchiladas please and a seat next to the window!

[Snowbeagle]

Aren't Phases 5-7 not all that favorable for cold in the us though?
Or am I misinformed?

That is correct, it is not favorable. What came out of that post is you can see it has been weak and sparse most of the winter. Look at all the crazy lines, no defined wave near the dead circle. But now we have a vast area of convection in the Indian Ocean consolidating courtesy of a true MJO wave and ready to move. The models will pick up on the favorable phases as things get closer

Ah, I thought so.. thanks for the confirmation. Hopefully it'll be more favorable by the time we would be getting that potential arctic blast, or it will get overpowered by everything else.. I assume a -EPO would be yet another thing favoring cold? (I haven't seen snow in two years, I'm not sure I would recognize it anymore if we go another year without it.. )

[TeamPlayersBlue]

On a drive to visit family in AZ one Christmas we ran into a mean sleet/snow storm just outside of ft stockton. It was in 1997, El nino year and pre smart phone. I knew there was a possibility of some winter precip out in West Texas but we werent sure. Well, when we got to Ft Stockton and it was 35F and POURING with rain. I knew we were in for some fun in the near future. Great memory and made the drive much easier.

[Ntxw]

0z NAM suggest moderate snowfall bands will be effecting Midland and San Angelo sometime just after midnight to 3am. Up to half inch an hour rates

DFW and Austin's window of opportunity would be somewhere between sunrise and mid morning

[orangeblood]

0z NAM suggest moderate snowfall bands will be effecting Midland and San Angelo sometime just after midnight to 3am. Up to half inch an hour rates

DFW and Austin's window of opportunity would be somewhere between sunrise and mid morning

Looks like North Texas may have another round of light snow move through Tomorrow evening between 6pm and 10pm as the ULL moves northeast across Oklahoma...this is probably the best chance for areas northeast of DFW to see some flakes

[Ntxw]

Looks like North Texas may have another round of light snow move through Tomorrow evening between 6pm and 10pm as the ULL moves northeast across Oklahoma...this is probably the best chance for areas northeast of DFW to see some flakes

Yeah I just saw that. The models don't show that as snow and tries to pop temperatures near 50 which I have a hard time believing.

[downsouthman1]

Wundermap. This thing's blowing up! Look at the convective bands developing by Del Rio!

http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/? ... reports=0#

& this: http://www.intellicast.com/Local/WxMap. ... n=USTX0692

[Longhornmaniac8]

Still almost 46 degrees here in Austin. I'm skeptical it's going to get cold enough in the lower layers to keep anything frozen long enough to get to the ground...