Texas Winter 2020-2021

[Iceresistance]

12 Years ago today was a rarity . . .

On January 27th and 28th back in 2009, a significant sleet storm
tracked over western north Texas, up through southern and central
Oklahoma. Most of this sleet affected areas near and southeast of
Interstate-44, from near Wichita Falls, Texas, up through Duncan,
Chickasha, Purcell, Shawnee, Seminole, and Holdenville. Up to 4
inches of sleet accumulated on top of a quarter-inch of ice.

From NWS-Norman

[Ntxw]

It's nice to see Arctic air on our side of the world for once. So at least February has that, with a better Pacific.

[Iceresistance]

12z GFS starting on February 1st




Arctic Blast not as severe as it was on the INSANE 6z Run

[Ntxw]

Looks like pretty good agreement on the board of possibly the first arctic outbreak of the season coming in early Feb.

[Cpv17]

Looks like pretty good agreement on the board of possibly the first arctic outbreak of the season coming in early Feb.

Sure hope so. I’m so ready for some exciting weather!!

[TropicalTundra]

GFS has negative temperatures in Northern Alabama...

[Lagreeneyes03]

Looks like pretty good agreement on the board of possibly the first arctic outbreak of the season coming in early Feb.

Sure hope so. I’m so ready for some exciting weather!!

Lemme guess tho..too cold and dry for any snow...will be freezing cold and sunny, right?

[Iceresistance]

Nasty Temperature bust this morning

Was supposed to be down to 24 F

It's 18 F right now

[DonWrk]

Nasty Temperature bust this morning

Was supposed to be down to 24 F

It's 18 F right now

Yep, 22 F here!

[Iceresistance]

The PNA is going to be more Neutral/Sub-Negative for the next 2 Weeks, even though it's negative right now



Most Negative Forecast for the AO I've seen this winter

[Yukon Cornelius]

Coldest morning of 2021 so far. Made it down to 21 with a really heavy frost.

[Iceresistance]

Coldest morning of 2021 so far. Made it down to 21 with a really heavy frost.

18 F at my house with Extremely heavy Frost when the forecast said it was supposed to be 24 F.

[Ralph's Weather]

Coldest morning of 2021 so far. Made it down to 21 with a really heavy frost.

27 in East Texas. Not the coldest but in the top 5.

[Cpv17]

12z Euro looks good!

[Iceresistance]

12z Euro looks good!

What do you mean? There is no snow from that model run.

[Cpv17]

12z Euro looks good!

What do you mean? There is no snow from that model run.

I’m not really worried about snow. I at least want some extremely cold temps and that’s what it has headed our way. Snow would be great but it’s not likely.

[Iceresistance]

12z Euro looks good!

What do you mean? There is no snow from that model run.

I’m not really worried about snow. I at least want some extremely cold temps and that’s what it has headed our way. Snow would be great but it’s not likely.

Oh yeah, the cold.

[Iceresistance]

Get a 1055 MB High Pressure Wind-maker into the Northern Plains, then add some moisture to Central Texas . . .
(If I get all of the winter fun & you don't, then I feel bad for y'all down there in Texas.)

[Cpv17]

What do you mean? There is no snow from that model run.

I’m not really worried about snow. I at least want some extremely cold temps and that’s what it has headed our way. Snow would be great but it’s not likely.

Oh yeah, the cold.

Yeah. Let’s worry about the cold first. We can work on the precip part later.

[txtwister78]

Big fight in between. Does the cold eventually win out? Perhaps, but probably not sustained cold with that kind of negative indicator showing up from the PNA. Stout ridge anchored over the SE trying to keep the cold air from advancing too far south and east. Not a great signal for precip with the PNA that negative either across Texas.