Texas Winter 2011-2012...
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
TeamPlayersBlue
- Category 5
- Posts: 3445
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
- Location: Denver/Applewood, CO
Super gusty outside right now. 50 MPH gusts at least. Woke me up. Just making sure there arent any warnings for my area...
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Garnet1995
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 24
- Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2010 1:10 pm
Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...
me too!!! 
heard the wind blowing over the fan which is like white noise in my room...I never hear anything ever!!! It is extremely gusty and looking for warnings...
heard the wind blowing over the fan which is like white noise in my room...I never hear anything ever!!! It is extremely gusty and looking for warnings...
0 likes
-
Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6179
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Wow, the mother of all rain storms here in the Sherman/Denison area. Just one round of storms and heavy rain after another. And more on the way.
Radar estimates show as much 5-6" has fallen in an area of NW Grayson County. And a good 2-4" inches has fallen over most of the county in the past 12 hours.
Lake Texoma and Lake Ray Roberts will likely go from below normal to above normal in a couple of days.
Crazy La Nina winter!
Radar estimates show as much 5-6" has fallen in an area of NW Grayson County. And a good 2-4" inches has fallen over most of the county in the past 12 hours.
Lake Texoma and Lake Ray Roberts will likely go from below normal to above normal in a couple of days.
Crazy La Nina winter!
0 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
TeamPlayersBlue
- Category 5
- Posts: 3445
- Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 1:44 am
- Location: Denver/Applewood, CO
58 MPH gust at a station not far from me. Starting to calm down now, looks like its the warm front coming through. Alot of winds converging near us i guess. Trash cans and trash are all over the street since tomorrow morning is trash day
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
BrokenGlassRepublicn
- Category 1
- Posts: 481
- Joined: Sun Nov 20, 2011 8:07 pm
- Location: Richardson, Texas
-
Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6179
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Johnny Kelly@stormchaser4850: "Developing: Daily RECORD of 5.59 inches of rainfall has drenched Austin, Texas so far this morning http://bit.ly/xfPdkI"
In addition to that, there is reported damage in Austin from a possible tornado and some high water rescues going on in portions of central Texas.
Wow...
In addition to that, there is reported damage in Austin from a possible tornado and some high water rescues going on in portions of central Texas.
Wow...
0 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Rain has been relentless! I hydroplaned the entire way to class lol. The radar rainfall estimates for the region is something you see after a tropical system passes by not January, crazy widespread 4+ inches everywhere. Southeast Tx seems to be under the gun this morning for violent weather, stay safe folks.
0 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Help support Storm2K!
-
Tireman4
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5853
- Age: 59
- Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...
Yeah it is slowly making its way to us in Houston. Man oh man. The bowing on these storms......
0 likes
-
Tireman4
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5853
- Age: 59
- Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
- Location: Humble, Texas
- Contact:
From Jeff this morning...
New Severe Thunderstorm Warning for winds to 60mph has been issued until 845am for Waller, N Harris, Montgomery, Walker, San Jacinto, Trinity, Houston, Madison and Grimes Counties. Severe line of thunderstorms capable of damaging straight line winds extends from northern Austin County to Madison County. Radar shows strong westerly winds of 55-60mph along the leading edge of this line moving eastward at 45mph. Damaging winds are likely in the warning area as these storms move quickly across this region. Winds of this magnitude will down trees and power lines and may damage roofs and windows. Extensive amount of trees in this area killed by the ongoing drought may fall in the strong winds. Southward on the line, watching a developing large cell over Colorado County where radar is suggesting low level rotation may be increasing west of Columbus and south of I-10. This cell is in a favorable position to feed off of untapped low level inflow off the Gulf of Mexico with a lack of large severe cells southward over Wharton and Matagorda counties currently. Just in CRP sounding at 600am showed 0-1km shearing values of 400-500 m^2/s^2 so the greatest tornado threat remains with cells developing ahead of the main line and embedded supercells within the main line. Suspect northern edge of the line will bow outward and weaken with time while southern section south of I-10 intensifies as it moves eastward into Jackson, Wharton, and Colorado counties.
New Severe Thunderstorm Warning for winds to 60mph has been issued until 845am for Waller, N Harris, Montgomery, Walker, San Jacinto, Trinity, Houston, Madison and Grimes Counties. Severe line of thunderstorms capable of damaging straight line winds extends from northern Austin County to Madison County. Radar shows strong westerly winds of 55-60mph along the leading edge of this line moving eastward at 45mph. Damaging winds are likely in the warning area as these storms move quickly across this region. Winds of this magnitude will down trees and power lines and may damage roofs and windows. Extensive amount of trees in this area killed by the ongoing drought may fall in the strong winds. Southward on the line, watching a developing large cell over Colorado County where radar is suggesting low level rotation may be increasing west of Columbus and south of I-10. This cell is in a favorable position to feed off of untapped low level inflow off the Gulf of Mexico with a lack of large severe cells southward over Wharton and Matagorda counties currently. Just in CRP sounding at 600am showed 0-1km shearing values of 400-500 m^2/s^2 so the greatest tornado threat remains with cells developing ahead of the main line and embedded supercells within the main line. Suspect northern edge of the line will bow outward and weaken with time while southern section south of I-10 intensifies as it moves eastward into Jackson, Wharton, and Colorado counties.
0 likes
-
CaptinCrunch
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8728
- Age: 57
- Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
- Location: Kennedale, TX (Tarrant Co.)
-
Night on the Sun
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 14
- Joined: Thu Jan 06, 2011 6:57 pm
- Location: North Texas/DFW
Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...
Rain started here in Little Elm, TX about 5pm last night. As of 7am this morning, 3.9 inches of glorious rain had filled my CoCoRaHS rain guage, with more to come.
0 likes
-
BrokenGlassRepublicn
- Category 1
- Posts: 481
- Joined: Sun Nov 20, 2011 8:07 pm
- Location: Richardson, Texas
-
gboudx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4080
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:39 pm
- Location: Rockwall, Tx but from Harvey, La
Re:
BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:BGR weather center checking in with 4.06 inches of rain in the last 24 hours. Not a bad total, what with another 2-3 possible this morning. Hello Lake Lavon! Runoff be damned, you'll at least rise by 6 inches from this storm!
It's already up almost a foot. We may be looking at a 4'+ rise here.
0 likes
-
Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6179
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...
Not your typical La Nina weather event for sure...
-----
"BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
754 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
COLLIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
DALLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TARRANT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
* UNTIL 1100 AM CST
* AT 754 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH
METROPLEX. WIDESPREAD REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT
HAS RESULTED IN FLASH FLOODING...PRIMARILY IN URBAN AREAS.
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 11 AM...ONLY
WORSENING ONGOING FLOODING ISSUES.
* LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAIN
INCLUDE...HIGHLAND PARK...UNIVERSITY PARK...FARMERS BRANCH...
SEAGOVILLE...WYLIE...SUNNYVALE...SACHSE...ROWLETT...RICHARDSON...
PROSPER...PRINCETON...PLANO...PARKER...MURPHY...MESQUITE...
MCKINNEY...LUCAS...LOWRY CROSSING...GARLAND...FRISCO...
FARMERSVILLE...FAIRVIEW...CELINA...CARROLLTON...BALCH SPRINGS...
ANNA...ALLEN AND ADDISON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.
&&
-----
"BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
754 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
COLLIN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
DALLAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
TARRANT COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
* UNTIL 1100 AM CST
* AT 754 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE DALLAS/FORT WORTH
METROPLEX. WIDESPREAD REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT
HAS RESULTED IN FLASH FLOODING...PRIMARILY IN URBAN AREAS.
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 11 AM...ONLY
WORSENING ONGOING FLOODING ISSUES.
* LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY HEAVY RAIN
INCLUDE...HIGHLAND PARK...UNIVERSITY PARK...FARMERS BRANCH...
SEAGOVILLE...WYLIE...SUNNYVALE...SACHSE...ROWLETT...RICHARDSON...
PROSPER...PRINCETON...PLANO...PARKER...MURPHY...MESQUITE...
MCKINNEY...LUCAS...LOWRY CROSSING...GARLAND...FRISCO...
FARMERSVILLE...FAIRVIEW...CELINA...CARROLLTON...BALCH SPRINGS...
ANNA...ALLEN AND ADDISON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD TO
UNKNOWN DEPTHS. IT ONLY TAKES TWO FEET OF RUSHING WATER TO CARRY AWAY
MOST SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND PICKUPS. TAKE A DIFFERENT ROUTE TO
REACH YOUR DESTINATION OR WAIT UNTIL THE WATER RECEDES. REMEMBER...
MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.
&&
0 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6179
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
I don't know if these totals are a bit inflated or not, but NWS radar estimate (Fort Worth) is showing widespread 5-8" totals in Cooke and Grayson counties.
----
EDIT: Lake Texoma has shot up nearly a foot in a little over 24-hours. That's very impressive for such a big lake. Got a feeling it will go several feet above normal when all is said and done.
----
EDIT: Lake Texoma has shot up nearly a foot in a little over 24-hours. That's very impressive for such a big lake. Got a feeling it will go several feet above normal when all is said and done.
0 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
Portastorm
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 9914
- Age: 63
- Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
- Location: Round Rock, TX
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...
The Portastorm Weather Center earlier today (2-6 am) experienced one of the more severe thunderstorms we've seen in several years in southwest Austin/Travis County. Frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, torrential rainfall at times, and gusty winds. We received about 3 1/2 inches of rain since midnight. It truly was one of those awe-inspiring events where you sit back and watch and think "wow ... Mother Nature is pissed!"
To all of those experiencing the storms now and to those who will ... be safe. This system means business!
To all of those experiencing the storms now and to those who will ... be safe. This system means business!
0 likes
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...
The 1/25 0z European teleconnection index forecast is interesting. It show a -NAO, -AO, and positive PNA in the longer term. Prior runs had only shown a negative NAO and negative AO, with a negative PNA. The change to a positive PNA means that a west coast ridge may set up, with a trough across the eastern 1/2 of the CONUS. This, of course, is dependent on whether the model forecast verifies.
The only negative I see is that the European is forecasting a postive EPO. However, even the positive EPO is trending towards neutral and perhaps negative beyond 10 days. My gut, along with these index forecasts, leads me to believe that the time period to look at for possible wintry weather is February 7-25. Keep hope alive.
The only negative I see is that the European is forecasting a postive EPO. However, even the positive EPO is trending towards neutral and perhaps negative beyond 10 days. My gut, along with these index forecasts, leads me to believe that the time period to look at for possible wintry weather is February 7-25. Keep hope alive.
0 likes
-
Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6179
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2011-2012...
Portastorm wrote:To all of those experiencing the storms now and to those who will ... be safe. This system means business!
Ok, I'll go ahead and say it...
"Can you imagine what it would be like if we had cold air involved with this system and all of this moisture?!? A snowstorm for the ages!"
0 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6179
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Several interesting tweets about our drought-busting winter rainstorm:
WFAA: "@wfaaweathertoo - Major flooding @ 635 & Park Central. High water under the overpass. Car tried to pass, stalled, passenger had to be rescued. Be careful! -cc"
Accuweather: "RT @weathermatrix: 5-8" rain last 6 hrs San Antonio to Austin; rpts of roads closed, cars underwater, water rescues http://ow.ly/8FFGm"
WFAA: "@wfaaweathertoo: Good news! Lake Lavon is already up almost a foot from the rain! More lake level updates on News 8 Midday! #lakelevels -cc"
KOCO-TV / OKC: "@RickMitchellWX: OK rainfall last 24 hrs with iso spots over 4" SE. OKC metro mostly over 1". Many saw a month's rain in 12 hrs. #okwx"
WFAA: "@wfaaweathertoo - Major flooding @ 635 & Park Central. High water under the overpass. Car tried to pass, stalled, passenger had to be rescued. Be careful! -cc"
Accuweather: "RT @weathermatrix: 5-8" rain last 6 hrs San Antonio to Austin; rpts of roads closed, cars underwater, water rescues http://ow.ly/8FFGm"
WFAA: "@wfaaweathertoo: Good news! Lake Lavon is already up almost a foot from the rain! More lake level updates on News 8 Midday! #lakelevels -cc"
KOCO-TV / OKC: "@RickMitchellWX: OK rainfall last 24 hrs with iso spots over 4" SE. OKC metro mostly over 1". Many saw a month's rain in 12 hrs. #okwx"
0 likes
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 10 guests