Texas Winter 2010-2011

Winter Weather Discussion

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srainhoutx
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2721 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:38 pm

wxman57 wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:The telecommunications between a +PNA/-EPO and a tanking AO as well as a return to a -NAO near the first of February gives validity to such a scenario. :wink: Interesting days ahead, folks.


Actually, as Bastardi was pointing out in his Long Ranger the past few days, the big 1993 storm occurred with a sharply +AO and NAO. There was a huge upper low over Greenland and a trof that extended all the way across the pole, through Greenland to the western Caribbean - much like the models are predicting for about 10 days out. That storm dropped south out of western Canada, it didn't originate in the southern stream.

Sort of exciting to see the long-range models picking up on possible extreme cold or extreme snow. However, it would be more exciting if they could see a heat wave...


Did you see the latest Stratospheric data? Looks like another robust SSW event ahead as well. Good or bad timing, depending if you want to see colder weather.
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#2722 Postby northtxboy » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:40 pm

Just for kicks, I called the Home Depot in Greenville. And it seems that they do not have them.. So I guess I would just have to make my own the redneck way....stick duct tape and sheet metal
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2723 Postby Cuda17 » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:41 pm

Cool.... literally 8-)

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#2724 Postby DonWrk » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:42 pm

I say we hype this thing up to give it a little "boost." If it doesn't make it we will all be heartbroken but it will make for a fun ride. Looking up tracks for my 4 wheeler with snow plow options!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2725 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:44 pm

I say lets not. Remember less than 12 hours ago, everything was going downhill. Give me a weekend's worth of it and I'll take it!
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#2726 Postby BigB0882 » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:50 pm

I will feel a lot better if we see the Euro jumping on board and a few others. I've never seen that much snow along the Gulf on a snow map before. I just hope this is the beginning of a trend and it can somehow come to be. I know that at some point the snow map will show nothing but we have to hope it switches back to a big event about 24 hours out, then I will feel better. lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2727 Postby Brandon8181 » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:53 pm

I think its interesting over the last few runs its been pretty consistant for the most part...
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#2728 Postby DonWrk » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:54 pm

It's guaranteed to be epic. Can't wait.

DISCLAIMER: I have the option to change this statement anytime leading up to the event and/or other events. Little thought process was put into this hopeful statement, therefor I should not be held accountable if this event does not take shape in any form or fashion. Take care. :cheesy:
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#2729 Postby BigB0882 » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:58 pm

Well it is guaranteed to be epic. An epic event for the South or an epic letdown. :)
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Re:

#2730 Postby DonWrk » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:59 pm

BigB0882 wrote:Well it is guaranteed to be epic. An epic event for the South or an epic letdown. :)


Yep, I'm use to epic letdowns so they don't bother me as much as they use to.
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Re:

#2731 Postby gboudx » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:03 pm

northtxboy wrote:Just for kicks, I called the Home Depot in Greenville. And it seems that they do not have them.. So I guess I would just have to make my own the redneck way....stick duct tape and sheet metal


Here's an idea for you.

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#2732 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:04 pm

I hope something happens :lol: because earlier this week I called for snow next week and at least within the next 2 weeks. If not then I'll get burnedddd :(
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2733 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:11 pm

12Z Euro has the Arctic boundary well into TX @ hour 216. And offshore of the TX Coast by hour 240.
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Re:

#2734 Postby orangeblood » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:17 pm

Ntxw wrote:I hope something happens :lol: because earlier this week I called for snow next week and at least within the next 2 weeks. If not then I'll get burnedddd :(


You have two models (Canadian and Navy) back on your side for a little snow to break out across North Texas on Sunday!!! Doesn't look like anything substantial but something to follow in the short-term. Those little embedded shortwaves are hard to predict.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2735 Postby txagwxman » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:18 pm

srainhoutx wrote:12Z Euro has the Arctic boundary well into TX @ hour 216. And offshore of the TX Coast by hour 240.

Yes...another 25F day. Look upstream.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2736 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:28 pm

txagwxman wrote:
srainhoutx wrote:12Z Euro has the Arctic boundary well into TX @ hour 216. And offshore of the TX Coast by hour 240.

Yes...another 25F day. Look upstream.


Yeah, look upstream!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2737 Postby DougNTexas » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:29 pm

What does it show for Longview/Tyler?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2738 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:31 pm

DougNTexas wrote:What does it show for Longview/Tyler?


It would seem to support the idea of a deep south snow storm around Groundhog Day. Massive wave dropping southeast into some very cold air along the Gulf Coast. We'll see...
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2739 Postby southerngale » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:47 pm

wxman57 wrote:
DougNTexas wrote:What does it show for Longview/Tyler?


It would seem to support the idea of a deep south snow storm around Groundhog Day. Massive wave dropping southeast into some very cold air along the Gulf Coast. We'll see...


So the Euro is showing a similar scenario as the GFS?

hmmm
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#2740 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jan 21, 2011 2:51 pm

The PNA says winter is coming to stay.

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