Texas Winter 2023-2024

[cajungal]

Our friend Steve McCauley

A light wintry mix continues for mainly the eastern half of north Texas with minor accumulations in far eastern areas where a little more moisture is being observed. The air is so dry here in the Metroplex that most - though perhaps not all - of the flurries and freezing drizzle is sublimating (i.e., disappearing) not long after hitting the ground.

There will be an increase in the wintry mix later tonight into the day Monday, but it is the eastern zones that will continue to be the most likely area for significant accumulations (up to 1 to 2 inches of snow/sleet). This will generally be east of a line from Clarksville to Waco and the farther east you go, the more significant the wintry mix will be.

Although we will stay below freezing until lunchtime Wednesday, there is a slight improvement in the temperature outlook. Last week, as you may recall, it looked like the clouds would clear out late Monday night/Tuesday morning which would have allowed temperatures to fall between 5° F in the north to 12° F in the southern sections of north Texas.

It now appears clouds should hold through Tuesday morning before clearing out. This means we get to keep our insulating blanket a few hours longer, so temperatures may only bottom out between 9° and 15° Tuesday morning. Perhaps we can consider this a moral victory against this Arctic Air invasion!

Meanwhile, the Ice Angels have made a strong return to the holler as sap/water in the Frostweed Plant burst out of their stems overnight creating these delicate ice sculptures in the field. it's basically the only thing I like about 12°F temperatures.

Still holding out hope here in Collin County lol

CMC & RGEM are still on board for single temps in the DFW area. They also push single digits down deep into the Bayous of South LA.

?? Single digits are not going to happen for me here in SE Louisiana. The lowest I seen is 19 and even that is very iffy

[bubba hotep]

Our friend Steve McCauley

A light wintry mix continues for mainly the eastern half of north Texas with minor accumulations in far eastern areas where a little more moisture is being observed. The air is so dry here in the Metroplex that most - though perhaps not all - of the flurries and freezing drizzle is sublimating (i.e., disappearing) not long after hitting the ground.

There will be an increase in the wintry mix later tonight into the day Monday, but it is the eastern zones that will continue to be the most likely area for significant accumulations (up to 1 to 2 inches of snow/sleet). This will generally be east of a line from Clarksville to Waco and the farther east you go, the more significant the wintry mix will be.

Although we will stay below freezing until lunchtime Wednesday, there is a slight improvement in the temperature outlook. Last week, as you may recall, it looked like the clouds would clear out late Monday night/Tuesday morning which would have allowed temperatures to fall between 5° F in the north to 12° F in the southern sections of north Texas.

It now appears clouds should hold through Tuesday morning before clearing out. This means we get to keep our insulating blanket a few hours longer, so temperatures may only bottom out between 9° and 15° Tuesday morning. Perhaps we can consider this a moral victory against this Arctic Air invasion!

Meanwhile, the Ice Angels have made a strong return to the holler as sap/water in the Frostweed Plant burst out of their stems overnight creating these delicate ice sculptures in the field. it's basically the only thing I like about 12°F temperatures.

Still holding out hope here in Collin County lol

CMC & RGEM are still on board for single temps in the DFW area. They also push single digits down deep into the Bayous of South LA.

?? Single digits are not going to happen for me here in SE Louisiana. The lowest I seen is 19 and even that is very iffy

I don't know much about local twist in forecasting down there by the Canadian/RGEM combo has been doing pretty good so far with this air mass.

[bubba hotep]

Also, latest HRRR tries to make a run at single digits tonight for DFW.

[wxman57]

?? Single digits are not going to happen for me here in SE Louisiana. The lowest I seen is 19 and even that is very iffy

That's the Canadian model (CMC). It's ridiculously cold with all Arctic fronts down here. It's been forecasting 9 degrees here in Houston Wednesday. More like lower 20s. You won't see anything remotely close to single digits.

Toss out the Canadian and pay more attention to the National Blend of Models for lows Wed:

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Just made it to double digits here west of Denver! Had a dusting of snow this am. Hoping many of you see some winter precip! Stay safe!

[txtwister78]

Not a good sign being that Monday night into Tuesday morning could be colder. Hopefully with tomorrow being a federal/state holiday that helps.

 https://x.com/ERCOT_ISO/status/1746664677692629296

[bubba hotep]

Looks like it's back to regular Nino programming after next weekend

[txtwister78]

Looks like it's back to regular Nino programming after next weekend

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814prcp.new.gif

Sounds good to me...need the rain and I'll take warmer weather for now after this. Fortunately, core of late week cold looks be further east with more ridging out west developing.

[Stratton23]

That warm period wont last long thankfully! Maybe a 5 day period of average temps but by the end of january and most if not all of February, it looks to be cold with a -EPO/ -AO/ -NAO locked in for the month

[davidiowx]

Cowboys playoffs. It's a good day.

I’m a Texans fan and def excited but dang, didn’t expect the Cowboys to get routed like this.

[TropicalTundra]

Now getting extremely tiny flakes here (can't tell if it actually is snow since there's barely any).

Been stuck at 19° all day as well.

[Gotwood]

That warm period wont last long thankfully! Maybe a 5 day period of average temps but by the end of january and most if not all of February, it looks to be cold with a -EPO/ -AO/ -NAO locked in for the month

I approve of your optimism. It literally hasn’t dropped anything out of the sky at my home. I would take a few sleet pellets over this.

[Stratton23]

Gotwood yeah I dont expect this thaw period to be long lasting, it makese sense though, gotta give the pattern time to reload and refill our source region, blocking becomes re established towards the last several days of january, for us cold weather lovers, februrary is shaping up to be an active and cold month!

[gpsnowman]

Gotwood yeah I dont expect this thaw period to be long lasting, it makese sense though, gotta give the pattern time to reload and refill our source region, blocking becomes re established towards the last several days of january, for us cold weather lovers, februrary is shaping up to be an active and cold month!

We've still got a decent cold front next week before any warm up. Don't know about precip yet but it does get fairly cold again.

[Brent]

One of the coldest days ever in Tulsa apparently. Still only seen 5 degrees which is on par with 2021

1.3" of snow at the airport

[gpsnowman]

Snowing at my parents place in Uncertain Texas.

[gboudx]

Today I learned there’s an uncertain town in Tx.

[gpsnowman]

Today I learned there’s an uncertain town in Tx.

Very small. Less than 100 people. On the shores of beautiful Caddo Lake.

[Tammie]

Freezing drizzle in Sherman
First of the day!

[Cpv17]

Looks like it's back to regular Nino programming after next weekend

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814prcp.new.gif

Sounds good to me...need the rain and I'll take warmer weather for now after this. Fortunately, core of late week cold looks be further east with more ridging out west developing.

Did you see what the 12z Euro is showing around your area?