Texas Winter 2014-2015
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- Portastorm
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EWX is going to upgrade the Winter Weather Advisory to a Winter Storm Warning for portions of the Hill Country. Icing conditions already reported out near Johnson City/Fredericksburg.
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- Longhornmaniac8
- Category 1
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Wet bulbing here in far NW Austin saw the temperature drop from 35.9 to 32.7 over the last hour or so...
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- SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Last second call by EWX...
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
710 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2015
...SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE LIKELY OVER THE HILL COUNTRY
AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...
.SHALLOW ARCTIC AIR OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO COOL
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...WITH MOST AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
BALCONES ESCARPMENT EXPECTED TO REACH TO NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING
TEMPERATURES BY MIDNIGHT. MAINLY PATCHY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE IS
EXPECTED THIS EVENING...BUT A FEW AREAS OF THE HILL COUNTRY HAVE
ALREADY CHANGED OVER TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE.
MAINLY ELEVATED SURFACES SHOULD BE IMPACTED OVER THE HILL COUNTRY
THROUGH MIDNIGHT. IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY...THE RAIN
CHANCES AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL INCREASE...WITH FREEZING RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACCUMULATING ON SOLID SURFACES
OVER THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS PLATEAU. TEMPERATURES
MAY NOT REACH ABOVE FREEZING OR LONG ENOUGH TO MELT THE ACCUMULATED
ICE. THUS THE THREAT FOR ICY ROADS COULD EXTEND INTO SATURDAY
EVENING. MOST OF THE ICE ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD FALL INTO A RANGE
FROM 1/10 TO 1/4 INCH. HOWEVER...A FEW SLEET SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
WITH A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 1/2 INCH.
FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST...THE FREEZING LINE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
INTO THE BRACKETTVILLE...SAN ANTONIO...AUSTIN AND BASTROP AREAS
JUST BEFORE DAYBREAK. SOME LIGHT ICING IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT
MAINLY ELEVATED SURFACES SATURDAY MORNING...BUT TEMPERATURES
SHOULD WARM TO ABOVE FREEZING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN ABOVE
FREEZING SATURDAY NIGHT.
TXZ171-172-183>190-101800-
/O.UPG.KEWX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-150110T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KEWX.WS.W.0001.150110T0110Z-150111T0600Z/
LLANO-BURNET-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-GILLESPIE-
KENDALL-BLANCO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LLANO...BURNET...DEL RIO...
ROCKSPRINGS...LEAKEY...KERRVILLE...BANDERA...FREDERICKSBURG...
BOERNE...BLANCO
710 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2015
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST SATURDAY
NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHERN EDWARDS
PLATEAU...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST SATURDAY NIGHT.
THIS WINTER STORM WARNING REPLACES THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
* TIMING...THROUGH MIDNIGHT CST SATURDAY NIGHT.
* MAIN IMPACT...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL ACCUMULATE ON MANY
ELEVATED SURFACES AND ROADWAYS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE PLAINS/EDWARDS
PLATEAU...HILL COUNTRY AND AREAS ALONG THE BALCONES ESCARPMENT.
MANY NON-ELEVATED ROADWAYS MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE SOME LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS DUE TO THE PROLONGED COLD TEMPERATURES A SEVERAL
OPPORTUNITIES OF FREEZING RAIN/SLEET LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING.
* OTHER IMPACTS...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE MAINLY IN THE
RANGE FROM 1/10 TO 1/4 INCH. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE ISOLATED
BANDS OF SLEET THAT COULD ENHANCE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 1/2 INCH
ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN HILL COUNTRY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...
FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS
WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE TRAVEL PROBLEMS AND MAY POSE A THREAT TO
LIFE AND PROPERTY.
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
- CentralTxAggie
- Tropical Depression
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- Joined: Fri Feb 07, 2014 11:03 am
- Location: TX
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
32*F @LHWXC in NW Austin! Wet bulbin' I reckon. I have been waiting for this allllll last night and today. #TeamNoLucy




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This is not an official forecast, follow the NWS for official products!!!
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
33 here now....and drizzle
Last edited by Shoshana on Fri Jan 09, 2015 8:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Shoshana wrote:33 here now....
Unless I am reading the radar wrong it looks like we may have a temporary break in precip which may be good since temps are nearing the freeze mark. EWX indicated they thought freezing temps in Austin would be around midnight but reading peoples post I think it may be sooner. My temp is around 34 right now.
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Any opinions stated are those of an amateur, please take with several grains of salt and for official forecast refer to the National Weather Service.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
ndale wrote:Shoshana wrote:33 here now....
Unless I am reading the radar wrong it looks like we may have a temporary break in precip which may be good since temps are nearing the freeze mark. EWX indicated they thought freezing temps in Austin would be around midnight but reading peoples post I think it may be sooner. My temp is around 34 right now.
We're getting some drizzle here now. Can't tell if it's liquid or frozen though
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- SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
I am now seeing the potential* of .25"+ of ice before this is all said and done, per the latest sref run. With a brief window for sleet after 3am.
(32.8 here in NE Austin)
Told yall this was going to be a fun night/morning.
(32.8 here in NE Austin)
Told yall this was going to be a fun night/morning.
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
SouthernMet wrote:I am now seeing the potential* of .25"+ of ice before this is all said and done, per the latest sref run. With a brief window for sleet after 3am.
(32.8 here in NE Austin)
Told yall this was going to be a fun night/morning.
Are you seeing that amount for the Austin area or the hill country?
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Any opinions stated are those of an amateur, please take with several grains of salt and for official forecast refer to the National Weather Service.
- SouthernMet
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- Location: fort worth, tx
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
ndale wrote:SouthernMet wrote:I am now seeing the potential* of .25"+ of ice before this is all said and done, per the latest sref run. With a brief window for sleet after 3am.
(32.8 here in NE Austin)
Told yall this was going to be a fun night/morning.
Are you seeing that amount for the Austin area or the hill country?
Right now EWX is calling for that for Hill Country, but per latest sref, I would include Austin proper. 00z data should come in the next hour or so and that might give us a better idea qpf wise, but models always struggle with these systems out of mexico.
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
- SouthernMet
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
00z nam struggling with temps currently, but still continues the trend of keeping temps a little warmer than progged earlier...
But, it wants to give the Austin area .25" of precip.
But, it wants to give the Austin area .25" of precip.
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
38.7 in Heath, no precip, dew point is 14, so I highly doubt north Texas, north of I-20, sees any precip tonight or tomorrow, maybe by tomorrow night into Sunday, but I think it will be light, maybe .1 , .2 if we are lucky.
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The above post and any post by dhweather is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Portastorm
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Re:
dhweather wrote:38.7 in Heath, no precip, dew point is 14, so I highly doubt north Texas, north of I-20, sees any precip tonight or tomorrow, maybe by tomorrow night into Sunday, but I think it will be light, maybe .1 , .2 if we are lucky.
Not if you look at the latest NAM, gets really aggressive with QPF along the I-35 corridor. 1/2-1 inch totals. Sometimes the NAM does get carried away but this system is coming from an area where they are not modeled well, as has been said numerous times on here, I wouldn't bet on the dry side of these Subtropical Systems
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Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
Still a bit above freezing here on the southside just a couple of blocks from South Austin Hospital, currently reading 34° dew point is 29°
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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
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- SouthernMet
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- Location: fort worth, tx
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
NWS will now upgrade Austin to a Winter Storm Warning for greater icing concerns... This is almost as late of a warning you can get
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Nothing that SouthernMet posts, is an official forecast,nor does it reflect views of STORM2K.. SouthernMet is just adding to the great discussions on STORM2K.. Refer to NWS for official forecasts.
Re: Texas Winter 2014-2015
SouthernMet wrote:NWS will now upgrade Austin to a Winter Storm Warning for greater icing concerns... This is almost as late of a warning you can get
Just saw the warning. Not actually sure who they're warning at this point
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