Texas Winter 2023-2024

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gboudx
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2901 Postby gboudx » Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:38 am

Ntxw wrote:This is an interesting localized event case study.

https://i.imgur.com/uJdbNJ8.png


They need to nudge that pink area east to Rockwall county. Our streets are covered and I measured about 1.5”.
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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2902 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:40 am

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Cosgrove likes the late January and all of February time frame for similar setups like we've been seeing.


What setup? Cold and bone dry? LOL

Haha. Hopefully some more cold with a LOT more moisture.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2903 Postby Ralph's Weather » Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:53 am

Around quarter inch of mix here. Still have light flurries. Holding out hope for Lake Fork to give us a bit of powder today. This reminds me a less severe version of March 2014 here. That event brought much heavier sleet then lake effect powder the next day with highs in the teens.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2904 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:59 am

Okay, enough winter weather for you guys? It's 30F in SW Houston with light rain around. Ready for July now...
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2905 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:02 am

Scanning through the upper levels there is actually some decent lift going on. S/W is crossing our region and despite very low dewpoints (not a lot of moisture) because the temperatures are so low, it's saturated. It's happening very close to the surface. Sometimes that's just all it takes.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2906 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:02 am

Got down to 9 IMBY so single digits.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2907 Postby Fifty Rock » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:06 am

bubba hotep wrote:
DallasAg wrote:DFW recorded 0.4” of snow for Sunday but only T of liquid equivalent. Impressive ratio!

Set record low max (22) for yesterday and tied record low min (11) for today. Record low max for today should fall as well.

Would’ve been great to get more precip, but this cold wave has been good!


Before 2021, DFW was on a crazy long streak of not breaking or tying any record lows during the winter. Now, we have seen records fall every winter since then. Also, going back 36hrs, all the models were too warm with the Euro and GFS having DFW in the low 20s this morning! The Canadian and its hi-res short-range companion were the only models to come close.


Global Cooling….. :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2908 Postby Gotwood » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:09 am

bubba hotep wrote:
Gotwood wrote:Holy ice storm on the 00z Canadian next Monday.


Would be crippling

https://m2o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2024011500/240/zr_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Not sure I could fathom 2 inches of ice. The power outages would be insane.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2909 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:16 am

Ntxw wrote:Scanning through the upper levels there is actually some decent lift going on. S/W is crossing our region and despite very low dewpoints (not a lot of moisture) because the temperatures are so low, it's saturated. It's happening very close to the surface. Sometimes that's just all it takes.

https://i.imgur.com/Mx4DY1S.png


We got nothing here in Ponder. My youngest (6) saw the flurries last night and woke up thinking we would be playing in snow.

Boy was he mad. And grandma's house in Carrollton has some....
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2910 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:17 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Scanning through the upper levels there is actually some decent lift going on. S/W is crossing our region and despite very low dewpoints (not a lot of moisture) because the temperatures are so low, it's saturated. It's happening very close to the surface. Sometimes that's just all it takes.

https://i.imgur.com/Mx4DY1S.png


We got nothing here in Ponder. My youngest (6) saw the flurries last night and woke up thinking we would be playing in snow.

Boy was he mad. And grandma's house in Carrollton has some....

Over the river and through the woods..........
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2911 Postby rwfromkansas » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:18 am

Fort Worth has moved trash to next week, ugh. Seriously, do it Wednesday like over the holidays.

Measured snow. Close to .5 so not bad for a surprise. I literally expected zip.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2912 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:19 am

HockeyTx82 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Scanning through the upper levels there is actually some decent lift going on. S/W is crossing our region and despite very low dewpoints (not a lot of moisture) because the temperatures are so low, it's saturated. It's happening very close to the surface. Sometimes that's just all it takes.

https://i.imgur.com/Mx4DY1S.png


We got nothing here in Ponder. My youngest (6) saw the flurries last night and woke up thinking we would be playing in snow.

Boy was he mad. And grandma's house in Carrollton has some....


That's wild, most of the central core metroplex downwind of the lakes is anywhere from 0.5-2". The airport is still getting the best of it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2913 Postby bubba hotep » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:20 am

Gotwood wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
Gotwood wrote:Holy ice storm on the 00z Canadian next Monday.


Would be crippling

https://m2o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gdps/2024011500/240/zr_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Not sure I could fathom 2 inches of ice. The power outages would be insane.


It's unlikely there would actually be any accumulation for points south and east of Austin due to marginal surface temps and a very warm nose aloft. Heavier rates would actually warm the surface in this type of setup. For points north, it would be a game of inches, how much accumulation is there before temps warm enough to stop accretion? There could be some serious problems as the Canadian has temps in the 20s with freezing rain for a large area but temps warm through the event.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2914 Postby DallasAg » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:20 am

bubba hotep wrote:
DallasAg wrote:DFW recorded 0.4” of snow for Sunday but only T of liquid equivalent. Impressive ratio!

Set record low max (22) for yesterday and tied record low min (11) for today. Record low max for today should fall as well.

Would’ve been great to get more precip, but this cold wave has been good!


Before 2021, DFW was on a crazy long streak of not breaking or tying any record lows during the winter. Now, we have seen records fall every winter since then. Also, going back 36hrs, all the models were too warm with the Euro and GFS having DFW in the low 20s this morning! The Canadian and its hi-res short-range companion were the only models to come close.

Yeah it felt like we went through a really long drought of missing record lows, but had plenty of cases where we'd hit record low max temps (not as exciting, I know).

Timing was good for us this time around as well. Today/tomorrow record lows are about as warm as they get in January. And today's record low max (31) is the highest in January.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2915 Postby rylo7956 » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:23 am

Got just under 2 inches of snow in Coppell.
Last edited by rylo7956 on Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:30 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2916 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:26 am

DallasAg wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
DallasAg wrote:DFW recorded 0.4” of snow for Sunday but only T of liquid equivalent. Impressive ratio!

Set record low max (22) for yesterday and tied record low min (11) for today. Record low max for today should fall as well.

Would’ve been great to get more precip, but this cold wave has been good!


Before 2021, DFW was on a crazy long streak of not breaking or tying any record lows during the winter. Now, we have seen records fall every winter since then. Also, going back 36hrs, all the models were too warm with the Euro and GFS having DFW in the low 20s this morning! The Canadian and its hi-res short-range companion were the only models to come close.

Yeah it felt like we went through a really long drought of missing record lows, but had plenty of cases where we'd hit record low max temps (not as exciting, I know).

Timing was good for us this time around as well. Today/tomorrow record lows are about as warm as they get in January. And today's record low max (31) is the highest in January.


Yesterday's 16F in the afternoon would have been tied with the coldest January high temperature ever, if not for the timing it being warmer midnight before. So essentially we just experienced the coldest peak January day! I'm starting to think 20 might be a stretch today...
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2917 Postby Edwards Limestone » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:27 am

Got a very light glazing of ice in the Hill Country west of New Braunfels. Just not enough moisture to really have much impact on the roads, but enough to look like winter outside.

Congrats to those that cashed in on the lake effect snow in DFW.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2918 Postby Gotwood » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:29 am

I see most forecasts call for it to get sunny again fairly soon. Will be curious to see how that verifies today into tomorrow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2919 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:32 am

Gotwood wrote:I see most forecasts call for it to get sunny again fairly soon. Will be curious to see how that verifies today into tomorrow.


I see blue sky to my west, clouds are about to clear.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2920 Postby HockeyTx82 » Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:33 am

gpsnowman wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Scanning through the upper levels there is actually some decent lift going on. S/W is crossing our region and despite very low dewpoints (not a lot of moisture) because the temperatures are so low, it's saturated. It's happening very close to the surface. Sometimes that's just all it takes.

https://i.imgur.com/Mx4DY1S.png


We got nothing here in Ponder. My youngest (6) saw the flurries last night and woke up thinking we would be playing in snow.

Boy was he mad. And grandma's house in Carrollton has some....

Over the river and through the woods..........


I've thought about. Just not sure how the roads are between here and there. They can wait till next time.
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