Texas Winter 2017-2018
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
12z Euro coming in a bit more amped up over the Pacific, does that allow the trough to dig into the SW or will NW flow win out again?
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
cold rain on the Euro
especially Thursday
cold drizzle Tuesday/Wednesday
No shortage of cold and dreary
then its east of us by Friday
especially Thursday
cold drizzle Tuesday/Wednesday
No shortage of cold and dreary
then its east of us by Friday
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
12z Euro was a step back in the right direction.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
bubba hotep wrote:12z Euro was a step back in the right direction.
Sure was. And take a look at that nice trough digging into the SW at the end of the run. Starting to get some agreement on that.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Yeah Euro has a southern stream connection with low 40s. 850s marginal, kind of like the GFS and CMC mid to late week
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
If one of the storms is to pan out it will probably be next week. I was lucky to win the student ticket lottery for the Ohio State bowl game, which just so happens to be at AT&T stadium on the 29th. would not surprise me if we got a winter storm that makes travel difficult around that time. 

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Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
TheProfessor wrote:If one of the storms is to pan out it will probably be next week. I was lucky to win the student ticket lottery for the Ohio State bowl game, which just so happens to be at AT&T stadium on the 29th. would not surprise me if we got a winter storm that makes travel difficult around that time.
I've already guaranteed it will happen, I'm going to the game.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Hopeful for a good pattern. From EPS




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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Ntxw wrote:Hopeful for a good pattern. From EPS
That looks pretty good!
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- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
EnnisTx wrote:TheProfessor wrote:If one of the storms is to pan out it will probably be next week. I was lucky to win the student ticket lottery for the Ohio State bowl game, which just so happens to be at AT&T stadium on the 29th. would not surprise me if we got a winter storm that makes travel difficult around that time.
I've already guaranteed it will happen, I'm going to the game.
Nice! I think It's going to be a great game.
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An alumnus of The Ohio State University.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
TheProfessor wrote:EnnisTx wrote:TheProfessor wrote:If one of the storms is to pan out it will probably be next week. I was lucky to win the student ticket lottery for the Ohio State bowl game, which just so happens to be at AT&T stadium on the 29th. would not surprise me if we got a winter storm that makes travel difficult around that time.
I've already guaranteed it will happen, I'm going to the game.
Nice! I think It's going to be a great game.
I think it's going to be a barn burnner !

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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
18z GFS comes close to phasing the southern and northern stream disturbances across the SW. As it is, it looks like there will be some energy coming out of the SW as the cold air crashes in.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
GFS is beginning to look a bit interesting in the 7-10 day timeframe.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Arctic front and winter storm to welcome in 2018 literally lol
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Brent wrote:Arctic front and winter storm to welcome in 2018 literally lol

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- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Cpv17 wrote:GFS is beginning to look a bit interesting in the 7-10 day timeframe.
It is, but I'm not sold, and I'm not looking to get burned again

One thing I notice is that pressure is not rising very impressively over NW Canada or Alaska. There some minor positive height anomalies in that region during the time in question (hr 180-210), which I believe are responsible for the cold air push that the gfs shows during that time, but it seems far from convincing. This seems to be more of a bowling ball ULL setup than the classic -EPO setup we were chasing the last 2 weeks. The models do seem to be on a more cautiously positive trend though. Once again we'll just have to wait and see.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
cheezyWXguy wrote:Cpv17 wrote:GFS is beginning to look a bit interesting in the 7-10 day timeframe.
It is, but I'm not sold, and I'm not looking to get burned again
One thing I notice is that pressure is not rising very impressively over NW Canada or Alaska. There some minor positive height anomalies in that region during the time in question (hr 180-210), which I believe are responsible for the cold air push that the gfs shows during that time, but it seems far from convincing. This seems to be more of a bowling ball ULL setup than the classic -EPO setup we were chasing the last 2 weeks. The models do seem to be on a more cautiously positive trend though. Once again we'll just have to wait and see.
We’ll see one of these times if it’s actually right lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Yeah I'm not believing anything the gfs shows past 24 hours. Every week it shows some degree of cold and winter storm for parts of the south, only to keep pushing it back by 7-10 days as time progresses. One of the worst models this winter by far. Amazing how much better it is during the summer but is beyond atrosious for winter for the southern US.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
Hello everyone...new to posting on here...I stumbled upon this site a few years ago, when I lived in Houston, and always enjoyed reading the commentary and analysis from the folks on here. It's really cool to even just read messages from other fellow like-minded weather enthusiasts--from the first indication of whether a possible event is on the horizon and may/may not happen, to just prior to an event that has already been deemed as inevitable (and preparations are underway and it's exciting in many respects), to the actual event itself, and what other people are actually seeing on the ground firsthand--I find it all very fascinating. I'm glad to finally join on here--during school times I get quite busy, but I will keep up and post several things that cross my mind that I think are worth relating to the overall convo.
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- Tireman4
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018
JeremyC wrote:Hello everyone...new to posting on here...I stumbled upon this site a few years ago, when I lived in Houston, and always enjoyed reading the commentary and analysis from the folks on here. It's really cool to even just read messages from other fellow like-minded weather enthusiasts--from the first indication of whether a possible event is on the horizon and may/may not happen, to just prior to an event that has already been deemed as inevitable (and preparations are underway and it's exciting in many respects), to the actual event itself, and what other people are actually seeing on the ground firsthand--I find it all very fascinating. I'm glad to finally join on here--during school times I get quite busy, but I will keep up and post several things that cross my mind that I think are worth relating to the overall convo.
Welcone to the family. It can get crazy...
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