The RGEM at least isn't worse.
Not any better, but the bleeding has at least a
stopped.
Texas Winter 2024-2025
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Gotwood wrote:Damn ICON says no snow for DFW lol
Total trainwreck for everyone south of I20. The RGEM and NAM look much better lol
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
bubba hotep wrote:Gotwood wrote:Damn ICON says no snow for DFW lol
Total trainwreck for everyone south of I20. The RGEM and NAM look much better lol
It's very little snow for much anyone except the northeastern few rows of counties. Even the west side dropped amounts. Very mild run.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Iceresistance wrote:Wait, why is ICON trending weaker with the trough?
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
Not a full phase, hangs the southern trough in the Baja longer.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Wait, why is ICON trending weaker with the trough?
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
Not a full phase, hangs the southern trough in the Baja longer.
Is ICON underestimating the trough?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Ntxw wrote:Iceresistance wrote:Wait, why is ICON trending weaker with the trough?
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
Not a full phase, hangs the southern trough in the Baja longer.
Also looks like it gets sheared apart.
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txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
The coastal low with water temps just off the coast in the gulf in the low 70's (lol) is surging warmer air off the gulf into a setup that is entirely driven by the upper levels. That's basically why this is so west Texas driven. Further west you go away from that warm moisture, better odds for all snow. In the middle and further north you have a fight but because that flow off the gulf is still surging north and so you get more mixed precipitation. Unless that changes pretty quickly this is probably what you're going to get with the NAM and RGEM trending warmer with time.
Last edited by txtwister78 on Mon Jan 06, 2025 10:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Brandon8181
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
CaptinCrunch wrote:Maybe it's renewing it's eyewall
At this point that actually sounds good.
This is exactly what is happening! Let’s review in the morning.
Last edited by Brandon8181 on Mon Jan 06, 2025 10:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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I am not a meteorologist. Any post from me should be taken as hobby or fun educational information, but not an accurate source for weather information. Please, refer to your local weather station or National Weather Service for the most up to date information. 
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Iceresistance wrote:Wait, why is ICON trending weaker with the trough?
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
The s/w crashing down the Rockies is slower, so it's not phasing with the Baja Low as energetically as previous runs.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Iceresistance wrote:Wait, why is ICON trending weaker with the trough?
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
https://s13.gifyu.com/images/SXcmk.gif
I’ve generally been more of a fan of the icon than most on this board for a while now, but it’s starting to take a hit on credibility in my view. The fact that it’s still seeing variations in the 500mb pattern like this so close to the event tells me it’s struggling. These changes have resultant impacts on its depictions of WAA, which I’m not convinced it has a good handling on to begin with.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
The 0z GFS begins, what will it do?
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Iceresistance wrote:The 0z GFS begins, what will it do?
Whatever it wants. It's just a computer.
My gut tells me it's going to happen. My weather rock is cold therefore we will have snow.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
HockeyTx82 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:The 0z GFS begins, what will it do?
Whatever it wants. It's just a computer.
My gut tells me it's going to happen. My weather rock is cold therefore we will have snow.
I know it's just a computer model, but the main question is if it will keep trending north like that ICON
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Iceresistance wrote:HockeyTx82 wrote:Iceresistance wrote:The 0z GFS begins, what will it do?
Whatever it wants. It's just a computer.
My gut tells me it's going to happen. My weather rock is cold therefore we will have snow.
I know it's just a computer model, but the main question is if it will keep trending north like that ICON
The sun will rise and set tomorrow. It will snow where the Almighty wants it to, no computer will ever convince Mother Nature otherwise.
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
Are you guys getting ICONNED? And Nammed? Don’t worry, you’ll get your snow!
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
We may not even get above freezing before the storm hits
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#neversummer
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2024-2025
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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