Texas Winter 2025-2026

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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3441 Postby orangeblood » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:31 pm

This is map is going to continue getting brighter!!! Very rare sight to see

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3442 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:35 pm

Portastorm wrote:I can tell you that this storm is being taken seriously by Texas state government. Our state emergency management council is elevating its activation status to provide cross-agency resources and personnel to assist as needed.


I got called into a meeting this morning at 8am to go over out EMS text msgs system to ensure it was up to date with staff information. Good times :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3443 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:42 pm

Got a notice that FWD extended the watch until Sunday noon. If we could get some decent heavy snow overnight even for a little bit Saturday night that would be great since the darkness would help accumulations and bring in cooler temps.
Last edited by rwfromkansas on Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3444 Postby Harp.1 » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:42 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Interesting to see the EPS has a bit of a decent snowfall signal around the 30th, especially for parts much further south

Yep. I've been watching this closely for south Louisiana
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3445 Postby Portastorm » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:44 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:
Portastorm wrote:I can tell you that this storm is being taken seriously by Texas state government. Our state emergency management council is elevating its activation status to provide cross-agency resources and personnel to assist as needed.


I got called into a meeting this morning at 8am to go over out EMS text msgs system to ensure it was up to date with staff information. Good times :lol:


Right there with you! I’m officially “on call” for this weekend.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3446 Postby jaguars_22 » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:46 pm

What’s to stop this thing from digging even more and coming out of Mexico into the del rio area? Would that have more cold associated with it for San Antonio area points east?
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3447 Postby Ntxw » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:49 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Got a notice that FWD extended the watch until Sunday noon. If we could get some decent heavy snow overnight even for a little bit Saturday night that would be great since the darkness would help accumulations and bring in cooler temps.


Temp gradient Saturday afternoon, even could get wild. Something like single digits in Abilene, teens at DFW, and 20s in Corsicana.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3448 Postby cajungal » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:50 pm

Harp.1 wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Interesting to see the EPS has a bit of a decent snowfall signal around the 30th, especially for parts much further south

Yep. I've been watching this closely for south Louisiana


Just hope this time it goes all the way to the coast instead of going north of us and we just get a cold rain.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3449 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:51 pm

Portastorm wrote:
CaptinCrunch wrote:
Portastorm wrote:I can tell you that this storm is being taken seriously by Texas state government. Our state emergency management council is elevating its activation status to provide cross-agency resources and personnel to assist as needed.


I got called into a meeting this morning at 8am to go over out EMS text msgs system to ensure it was up to date with staff information. Good times :lol:


Right there with you! I’m officially “on call” for this weekend.


I'm not only "on call", I'm "on" for the weekend. I've had only 2 days off since Dec. 29th. Was working a long duration project until last Friday and now I'm in winter weather mode coverage. I'll have more comp days this January than I had all last hurricane season.

I'm not worried at all about power outages, though, as my new whole-house generator is ready and waiting. I think we'll just see a glazing of bridges and overpasses here in Houston. North parts of the county could have enough freezing rain to cause some power issues.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3450 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:52 pm

cajungal wrote:
Harp.1 wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Interesting to see the EPS has a bit of a decent snowfall signal around the 30th, especially for parts much further south

Yep. I've been watching this closely for south Louisiana


Just hope this time it goes all the way to the coast instead of going north of us and we just get a cold rain.


Looking like cold rain and maybe some light freezing rain and sleet as the precipitation ends on Sunday. This day last year we had that big snow storm. Not this time for the coastal areas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3451 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:52 pm

orangeblood wrote:This is map is going to continue getting brighter!!! Very rare sight to see

https://www.weather.gov/wwamap/png/US.png


Most of TX will be upgraded to a WSW through Sunday afternoon sometime early Friday if not Thursday night. Need those late Thursday model runs first though.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3452 Postby UTSARoadrunner4 » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:54 pm

wxman22 wrote:Winter Storm Watch issued for portions of South Central Texas.

https://i.ibb.co/RTsJZkB0/IMG-0611.png

Including the cities of Austin, La Grange, Del Rio, Llano,
Leakey, San Marcos, Giddings, Kerrville, Fredericksburg,
Lockhart, Bastrop, Burnet, Georgetown, New Braunfels, Blanco,
Bandera, Rocksprings, and Boerne
1221 PM CST Wed Jan 21 2026

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Light to moderate accumulations of mainly ice and sleet are
likely across the region late Friday night through Sunday morning.
In addition, dangerously cold temperatures are expected Saturday
night through Monday morning.

* WHERE...Northern portions of south central Texas.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Roads, especially bridges and overpasses, will likely
become slick and hazardous. Ice accumulation on power lines and
tree limbs may cause power outages. Extreme cold will become life
threatening and likely damage unprotected pipes and put livestock
at risk.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Areas across the Hill Country could see
wintry precipitation effects as early as Midnight Saturday. Areas
along the I-35 Corridor should expect wintry precipitation as
early as daybreak Saturday. Areas south and east of I-35 should
experience wintry precipitation in the daytime hours Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Persons should consider delaying all travel. If travel is absolutely
necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter
storm kit along with you, including such items as tire chains,
booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing.
Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help
you survive in case you become stranded.

San Antonio left out (for now). Hopefully it’s stays that way. Sometimes it’s good to not let Rudolph play in any reindeer games.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3453 Postby BAY29 » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:56 pm

jaguars_22 wrote:What’s to stop this thing from digging even more and coming out of Mexico into the del rio area? Would that have more cold associated with it for San Antonio area points east?

I was gonna ask that same question
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3454 Postby Brazoria979cnty » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:56 pm

wxman57 wrote:
cajungal wrote:
Harp.1 wrote:Yep. I've been watching this closely for south Louisiana


Just hope this time it goes all the way to the coast instead of going north of us and we just get a cold rain.


Looking like cold rain and maybe some light freezing rain and sleet as the precipitation ends on Sunday. This day last year we had that big snow storm. Not this time for the coastal areas.


you think brazoria cnty will be added to the watch area maybe tomorrow or friday?
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3455 Postby Ntxw » Wed Jan 21, 2026 2:56 pm

Here's a betting challenge for the EC surface temps, it has 50s for most of the region (except the Red River valley 40s) next Tuesday afternoon. Book it.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3456 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Jan 21, 2026 3:00 pm

bbowman7 wrote:Trying to keep up with all of this on the thread, but I am one of those guys who just loves weather, but I do not understand the terminology and the details! So, I need help I guess!

Can someone tell me, based on the latest information, what the Tyler/Longview (Henderson in particular) area looks like? This is school related, so trying to get a better idea for our after school activities, bus routes, etc..for Friday afternoon and on Monday. Looking for possible timing of when it hits this area, how much will hit us and what it will be (rain, freezing rain, snow, etc..)

Thanks in advance.

Our are a is looking like rain until late Friday, at this time I expect school traffic Friday to be ice free. Then Fz rain Fri night, sleet Sat, mixing with snow late Sat and snow on Sunday. temps will be cold enough for road impacts starting likely after midnight Fri night. Temps are looking to be very cold (teens to maybe low 20s) so impacts will be sustained into Monday. Monday may stay in 20s but sunshine should help begin improvements. Lows early next week look to be in single digits so anything that melts during day will be very hazardous the following morning. I would expect that highways will be in good shape by late Tue or midday Wed. if we get the accumulations that we expect this could be a prolonged event with very cold temps keeping ice and snow around well into next week.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3457 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Jan 21, 2026 3:02 pm

wxman57 problem is, even if power outages arent much of an issue down here, all the potentially really heavy ice accumulations in northern texas could cause the main transition lines to fall, and we’d definitely be seeing widespread outages down here if that happens, gotta hope that models are hopefully overdoing ice potential
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3458 Postby wxman57 » Wed Jan 21, 2026 3:04 pm

Here are all the models (operational, Ensembles, AI) from 12Z for Houston. You can see that the Canadian stands out (light blue solid and dashed line). It's ridiculously cold, as it always is for Houston. Don't believe it. Also, the EC (orange) is way too warm for Saturday afternoon. Keep an eye on the National blend of Models (NBM), which is the dotted blue/purple line. We could be below freezing for 24-36 hours in Houston.

https://wxman57.com/images/[url]Models12ZJan21[/url].jpg

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3459 Postby Brazoria979cnty » Wed Jan 21, 2026 3:08 pm

wxman57 wrote:Here are all the models (operational, Ensembles, AI) from 12Z for Houston. You can see that the Canadian stands out (light blue solid and dashed line). It's ridiculously cold, as it always is for Houston. Don't believe it. Also, the EC (orange) is way too warm for Saturday afternoon. Keep an eye on the National blend of Models (NBM), which is the dotted blue/purple line. We could be below freezing for 24-36 hours in Houston.

https://wxman57.com/images/[url]Models12ZJan21[/url].jpg

https://wxman57.com/images/Models12ZJan21.jpg

Do you think brazoria county will be added into the winter storm watch area
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3460 Postby LearnedHat » Wed Jan 21, 2026 3:24 pm

cajungal wrote:
Harp.1 wrote:
Stratton23 wrote:Interesting to see the EPS has a bit of a decent snowfall signal around the 30th, especially for parts much further south

Yep. I've been watching this closely for south Louisiana


Just hope this time it goes all the way to the coast instead of going north of us and we just get a cold rain.


I hope the exact opposite
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