Texas Winter 2024-2025

[Cerlin]

The NAM came back to its senses.

https://i.ibb.co/w0HB2qG/IMG-0131.png

https://i.ibb.co/PtFcpJQ/IMG-0132.png

https://i.ibb.co/5jHvgBP/IMG-0133.png

https://i.ibb.co/RPsw3D1/IMG-0134.png

Much better!! Knew it was too early to hit the panic button!

[Wthrfan]

I question whether the apocalyptic snow forecasts for major metropolitan areas are strategically deployed by the large grocery and hardware store industry complex to boost sales through fear-mongering, leveraging social media influence, and benefiting from associated kickbacks.

I think it’s Big Firewood

One of the funnier posts I've seen on here!

[wxman22]

Crazy how fast the NAM flipped and flipped back again.Went from nothing to a full fledged storm again in one run.

[cajungal]

Any chance of the cold digging down farther and the freeze line getting down to close NW Houston? My daughters want an ice day

Canadian was showing frozen precipitation at the very end of its run for Houston. (Next Friday the 17th) but I never trust models til about 72 hours out.

[Portastorm]

Any chance of the cold digging down farther and the freeze line getting down to close NW Houston? My daughters want an ice day

This week? Sorry but no.

[Stratton23]

Hopefully we get a shot down here later in the winter or even next week, team CMC lol

[bubba hotep]

Crazy how fast the NAM flipped and flipped back again.Went from nothing to a full fledged storm again in one run.

https://i.ibb.co/bN5fg43/IMG-0136.png

https://i.ibb.co/9ryZsRJ/IMG-0135.png

The 12z run missed the timed the phase with the Rockies s/w. If 18z to 00z trends as much as this run did, then we are back to Epic winter storm mode.

[orangeblood]

Crazy how fast the NAM flipped and flipped back again.Went from nothing to a full fledged storm again in one run.

I think we need the reminder every season, the NAM 48-84 hour frame is akin the GFS lala land 300 plus hour

[Texas Snow]

Crazy how fast the NAM flipped and flipped back again.Went from nothing to a full fledged storm again in one run.

I think we need the reminder every season, the NAM 48-84 hour frame is akin the GFS lala land 300 plus hour

Perhaps so,some should compile a list of “truths” to post at the beginning of any potential storm to keep us all grounded

[Ralph's Weather]

Any chance of the cold digging down farther and the freeze line getting down to close NW Houston? My daughters want an ice day

Canadian is real close to freezing rain Friday morning. I would be watching things real close as the low pulls away Friday with lows north of Houston in the low 30s. Impacts would likely be minimal unless the low can pull in some more cold air while precip is still ongoing. Road impacts would be minimal.

[cheezyWXguy]

Crazy how fast the NAM flipped and flipped back again.Went from nothing to a full fledged storm again in one run.

https://i.ibb.co/bN5fg43/IMG-0136.png

https://i.ibb.co/9ryZsRJ/IMG-0135.png

The change is clear looking at the 500mb pattern, much closer to a favorable phasing than the previous run as the secondary shortwave comes down faster and is a little stronger.

I am wiser now than to get my expectations up, but there may be a ray of hope here. Last night the models down trended because they saw the system digging farther south into baja, leaving the secondary shortwave behind. However, I think I’m noticing hints that some of the models are trending a little stronger and faster with that secondary shortwave, allowing it to catch up and align more favorably, albeit a little later than depicted in the favorable solutions yesterday. I could be wrong, but I think this is what we need to watch for.

[JayDT]

Feb 2010 was supposed to be 1-3 inches as well.

I remember some on tv even saying only a “dusting”…

[CaptinCrunch]

Feb 2010 was supposed to be 1-3 inches as well.

I remember some on tv even saying only a “dusting”…

That would be Delkus

[rwfromkansas]

Crazy how fast the NAM flipped and flipped back again.Went from nothing to a full fledged storm again in one run.

I think we need the reminder every season, the NAM 48-84 hour frame is akin the GFS lala land 300 plus hour

Perhaps so,some should compile a list of “truths” to post at the beginning of any potential storm to keep us all grounded

Some kind of winter forecasting Bible guide for N TX would be really helpful. I am sure there are some outdated more technical things online somewhere using older models we don't even have anymore. Lol.

[gpsnowman]

Feb 2010 was supposed to be 1-3 inches as well.

I remember some on tv even saying only a “dusting”…

I specifically remember Larry Mowry from CBS 11 mention possibly an inch so I went to bed thinking it wouldn't be a big deal. Woke up to a winter wonderland around 7 the next morning.

[snownado]

No changes on the 18z RGEM.

[JDawg512]

Need that coastal low to stay a little more offshore, rain is one thing, but heavy rain and cold? Count me out lol

I can't wait for the rain. Now that's what I call a winter storm with cold heavy rain. I'm excited!!! Just worried about that pesky temp dropping below 32 which will ruin the fun...

[SnowintheFalls]

No changes on the 18z RGEM.

Was the 12z RGEM a good run for snow in N Texas? It's hard to keep up!

[wxman22]

18z ICON also trended wetter.

[Stratton23]

JDawg512 I can promise you, their is nothing fun about cold rain in the mid 30’s lol