Texas winter wx thread (2009-2010)

[Portastorm]

As of 8 pm, looks like the front is through Lubbock/Plainview/Vernon and has pretty much cleared the Panhandle ... chugging south!

[wxgirl69]

As of 8 pm, looks like the front is through Lubbock/Plainview/Vernon and has pretty much cleared the Panhandle ... chugging south!

What time is it supposed to hit Houston?

[Portastorm]

As of 8 pm, looks like the front is through Lubbock/Plainview/Vernon and has pretty much cleared the Panhandle ... chugging south!

What time is it supposed to hit Houston?

Based on what some pro mets have said on here earlier, I would say it should be near or in your area by 6 a.m.

[Snowman67]

Front now through Abiliene

[iorange55]

NAM 00z has the cold air staying around longer so far.

[Portastorm]

Curious insights from NWSFO Brownsville tonight. Here's a portion of their AFD:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
851 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010

.UPDATE...TIMING OF THE STRONG FRONT IS THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS
EVENING UPDATE. CURRENT OBS SHOW FRONT EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA TO WICHITA FALLS TO SOUTH OF LUBBOCK. SATELLITE LOOPS
SHOW A MORE SOUTH PUSH AT THIS TIME WITH THE CORE OF THE COLD AIR
FUNNELING DOWN THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES. THE FRONT IS
CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH AT AROUND 30 MPH. MOMENTUM AND PRESSURE
RISES OF 4 TO 6 MB PER HOUR SHOULD KEEP THE FRONT MOVING AT ITS
PREVAILING SPEEDS WHICH WOULD PUSH THE FRONT THROUGH OUR NORTHERN
AND WESTERN COUNTIES BETWEEN 6 TO 8 AND SOUTHEAST COUNTIES 8 AM
TO 11 AM. THIS IS A LITTLE FASTER THEN LATEST MODEL RUNS.

[srainhoutx]

Good catch Portastorm. Colder NAM run thats lasts longer. Interesting activity with the 500mb as well.

[gofrogs]

Is the nam shwoing any wintry fun in the near future.

[iorange55]

Is the nam shwoing any wintry fun in the near future.

Maybe freezing drizzle! YAY. But the nam only goes out 84 hours, so it doesn't go to next week yet. I still have high hopes for next week, but It'd be nice if the GFS started coming in track with the EURO.

[srainhoutx]

San Angelo Update...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
844 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010

.UPDATE...
WINDS ARE QUITE STRONG BEHIND THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT WHICH WAS
ENTERING HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES AS OF 830 PM. WE ARE
SEEING WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS ACROSS THE PANHANDLE BEHIND
THE FRONT WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 KNOTS AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS.
WE HAVE INCREASED THE WIND SPEED FORECAST FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
AND DECIDED TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AS WELL. WILL
CONTINUE TO WATCH THE FREEZING DRIZZLE THREAT OVERNIGHT. STILL
EXPECTING ANY PRECIP TO BE VERY LIGHT AND SHORT-LIVED WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION. HOWEVER WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
20S...ROAD SURFACES WILL BE VERY COLD AS WELL AND COULD SEE SOME
SLICK SPOTS ON BRIDGES.

[srainhoutx]

HGX Update...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
904 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010

.DISCUSSION...
EVENING ANALYSIS SHOWS 35 KT LOW LEVEL JET WHICH IS TRANSPORTING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. PWS HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND
0.75 INCH AND ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO AROUND 1.1 INCHES
OVERNIGHT. RADAR INDICATES GOOD COVERAGE OF VERY LIGHT RAIN ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. EXPECT THE RAIN TO BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD AND A LITTLE HEAVIER OVERNIGHT AS MOISTURE INCREASES
AND WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES. HAVE BUMPED UP POPS AREA WIDE FOR
TONIGHT...60S MOST SECTIONS AND 70S OVER THE SE HALF. QPF TOTALS
EXPECTED TO AVERAGE LESS THAN 1/4 INCH. TEMPS HAVE CONTINUED TO
CLIMB OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES NOW 61 AT ANGLETON. HAVE MADE SOME
ADJUSTMENTS TO HOURLY TEMPS TONIGHT/ THURSDAY BASED ON NEW 00Z NAM
GUIDANCE. ARCTIC COLD FRONT NOW THROUGH WICHITA FALLS AND ABILENE
AND MOVING QUICKLY SOUTHEAST. INITIAL WIND SHIFT WILL REACH
COLLEGE STATION LATE TONIGHT AND HOUSTON BY SUNRISE.
HOWEVER...EXPECT ARRIVAL OF COLDEST AIR TO LAG THE WIND SHIFT BY
ABOUT 3 HRS. COLDER AIR SHOULD SPREAD QUICKLY THROUGH THE AREA
12-16Z THURSDAY. AFTER THE EARLIER UPDATE...THE ONLY CHANGES TO
FORECAST BEYOND TONIGHT WERE SKY COVER AND HOURLY TEMPS...AND
BUMPING UP WAVE HEIGHTS ON THE MARINE SIDE. WILL KEEP HAZARDS AND
OUTLINE OF WINTRY PRECIP AS IS. GRAPHICS WERE UPDATED ON WEBSITE
AND WILL REFRESH THE HWO AND NPW TO REFLECT THE LATEST THINKING.

35/37

[serenata09]

Looks like windshift is passing through NW Denton county now.

Also...



Winter Weather Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
918 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CST THROUGH 8 AM CST
FOR NORTHERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS..

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH THROUGH OKLAHOMA AND APPROACH
THE RED RIVER VALLEY LATE THIS EVENING. THE ARCTIC FRONT SHOULD START
PUSHING ACROSS THE RED RIVER AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN RAPIDLY THROUGH
THE REST OF NORTH TEXAS BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING. FREEZING DRIZZLE
AND OCCASIONAL SNOW FLURRIES HAVE BEEN NOTED IN THE ARCTIC AIRMASS
ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS EVENING AND WILL
LIKELY BE THE CASE ACROSS NORTHERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS LATE TONIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL RESULT
IN SOME SLICK SPOTS...ESPECIALLY ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES
AND OVERPASSES DURING THE PRE- DAWN HOURS THURSDAY MORNING. SOME
PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL LINGER ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NORTH TEXAS
AFTER DAYBREAK...BEFORE THE ARCTIC AIRMASS DEEPENS AND DRIES OUT.

TXZ091>093-102>104-117>119-131>134-144-145-071030-
/O.NEW.KFWD.WW.Y.0001.100107T0700Z-100107T1200Z/
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
HOOD-SOMERVELL-JOHNSON-ELLIS-BOSQUE-HILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOWIE...NOCONA...GAINESVILLE...
SHERMAN...DENISON...DECATUR...BRIDGEPORT...DENTON...LEWISVILLE...
FLOWER MOUND...THE COLONY...PLANO...WEATHERFORD...BRIAR...
FORT WORTH...ARLINGTON...DALLAS...GRANBURY...OAK TRAIL SHORES...
GLEN ROSE...CLEBURNE...BURLESON...WAXAHACHIE...ENNIS...
MIDLOTHIAN...GLENN HEIGHTS...CLIFTON...MERIDIAN...VALLEY MILLS...
HILLSBORO
918 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 AM CST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1
AM TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY.

AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BEGIN SURGING THROUGH NORTH TEXAS AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. ICING IS EXPECTED TO BE
LIGHT AND PATCHY...WITH AMOUNTS WELL UNDER A TENTH OF AN INCH.
HOWEVER...DESPITE THE PATCHY LIGHT AMOUNTS...RAPIDLY FALLING
TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN SLICK SPOTS ON AREA ROADS BY THE
THURSDAY MORNING COMMUTE...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 20S.
A FEW SNOW FLURRIES MAY MIX IN WITH THE FREEZING DRIZZLE BEFORE
ENDING BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF WINTER PRECIPITATION
MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND
PLAN ON SOME TRAVEL DELAYS.

[srainhoutx]

Larry Cosgrove has some interesting comments in the Houston Examiner tonight regarding next week...

http://www.examiner.com/x-3775-Houston- ... ary-7-2010

[iorange55]

I'll be on the look out for Freezing drizzle tonight/early morning. Should be interesting maybe there will be just enough where I can slide down the sidewalk, but not enough to cause a lot of wrecks.

[Ntxw]

or enough to cancel school

[cheezyWXguy]

:uarrow: or enough to cancel school

Good thing too. At this rate, there are probably going to be several more winter weather events before winter is through. Because of this, if Im going to miss school, it better be for a big one, than something like this that may just barely fit the criteria at best. I dont want to make up a lot at the end of the year, so if Im gonna get a snow day, it better be a good one haha.

[HockeyTx82]

Begun the Cold War has.......

I think the front just hit Denton. My door on the North side of my apartment just went "thud" and when I went outside the wind is out of the north.

Wish everyone the best with the cold, hope things go ok for you. Time to crank up the heat.

[serenata09]

Front passing through the Plano/Frisco area at this point. Looks to pass through Dallas on schedule.

[srainhoutx]

Wichita Falls Light Snow Temp 28 Winds N 32 gusting to 43
Edit to Update

[HockeyTx82]

Wichita Falls Light Snow Temp 28 Winds N 32 gusting to 43
Edit to Update

Hmmmm..... Perhaps a sign of more moisture in the air then first thought?