Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

#3581 Postby **BigB0882** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 8:41 am

When I went to bed weather.com had freezing rain for BTR from 2pm - 4am or so. Now it has taken all that and changed it to a cold cold rain with a small chance of freezing precip from now until about 12 or so, until it gets above freezing. I don't see it happening. Unless temps bust by 2 degrees or so, just a cold rain. However, temps can easily be off by that little of an amount. We shall see!

#3582 Postby **BigB0882** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 8:48 am

GFS agreeing with what the Euro has been sniffing out, this is about 170 hours:

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stormy70 · #3583 Postby **stormy70** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 8:50 am

Posting from across Mobile Bay near Point Clear, AL...Cold as the dickens but no rain yet. We did have sleet yesterday around 3:30pm but just enough to get my daughters excited and thinking maybe there would be snow and no school for thurs. LOL The wind has picked up a bit here and the temps feel colder but I do not think it has dropped. I think we are getting more cloud cover because it has darken up a bit.

Snowluvr · #3584 Postby **Snowluvr** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 9:27 am

Just watched the weekly planner on TWC and they showed snow very far south for Tues and again on Thurs of next week. Maybe we have another chance at snow if we miss out on this current system. :cold:

#3585 Postby **BigB0882** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 9:31 am

If we get nothing but rain today then let's go ahead and call dibs on next weeks system. Our turn!

#3586 Postby **BigB0882** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 9:48 am

I can see a few, and I mean a very few, sleet pellets on my trampoline. Ok, I saw something frozen. I guess this wont be a COMPLETE waste. :wink:

TideJoe · #3587 Postby **TideJoe** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 9:49 am

Sleet and light snow in the Hattiesburg/Petal MS area.

CYCLONE MIKE · #3588 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:05 am

Morning B. We got some light freezing rain earlier this morning. There is very light glaze on our patio table and my trucks. Can see small icicles on my neighbors shed. That is about it and dont expect much more. Just going to be a wet nasty 36 hrs. Hopefully they are wrong about the rain lasting through tomorrow night and will end sooner. For those in Houston and surrounding areas enjoy the snow. At least you get something from the cold. :grrr:

As far as next weeks system goes think the same way as the current one. Will believe it when I see it. Don't think it will be near as cold as showing right now and definitely don't expect to get accumulating snows. Maybe some sleet and freezing rain if we get the moisture.

#3589 Postby **BigB0882** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:15 am

Drizzling at my house now, temps is about 31 so could get a little glaze but depends if this lasts more than 2 minutes. Mixed with sleet but mostly liquid.

CYCLONE MIKE · #3590 Postby **CYCLONE MIKE** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:31 am

Thats probably all we'll get. I am just amazed at how so many schools and businesses are shut down today. I remember when I was in middle and high school and we had class with snow falling although the times were few and far and hurricanes making landfall. We had school the day Andrew was making its way to the coast. Nowadays if it rains to hard or the sun is shining to bright and its hot they shut down school. Just don't get it. Hardly any rain on radar and really don't think it will fill in until later this afternoon. By then temps will be above freezing but yet state and local gov't offices are closed. :roll:

#3591 Postby **BigB0882** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:34 am

Yeah, the closures were probably not needed but I can't say I blame them. The forecast was simply too close to call and better safe than sorry. If they are predicting a cold rain and 33 degrees, who is to say it wont be 32? Heck, this still could turn into a surprise. I feel pretty sure the heavier precip will occur when temps are above freezing but you can't rule out the slim chance that they may surprise us and get to 32. EBR schools and LSU stayed open, though. I gave myself a snow day and skipped, it's much too cold to walk around campus today!

TideJoe · #3592 Postby **TideJoe** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:43 am

BigB0882 wrote:Yeah, the closures were probably not needed but I can't say I blame them. The forecast was simply too close to call and better safe than sorry. If they are predicting a cold rain and 33 degrees, who is to say it wont be 32? Heck, this still could turn into a surprise. I feel pretty sure the heavier precip will occur when temps are above freezing but you can't rule out the slim chance that they may surprise us and get to 32. EBR schools and LSU stayed open, though. I gave myself a snow day and skipped, it's much too cold to walk around campus today!

Schools and businesses are open here..... and I think they're going to get caught with their pants down if they don't get those buses running soon.

#3593 Postby **BigB0882** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:50 am

Does freezing rain appear on the radar as green since it falls as rain? Or does it appear as the pink? I am confused if pink means something other than just rain is falling, such as sleet or a mix of sleet/snow/rain, or if pink also means freezing rain.

Website · #3594 Postby **Brent** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:23 am

Very light sleet and freezing drizzle here

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1013 AM CST THU FEB 3 2011

...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN SPREADING ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...

.AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN HAVE INCREASED IN COVERAGE ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. MORE RAIN HAS ALSO DEVELOPED IN
MISSISSIPPI...WHICH WAS POISED TO MOVE INTO ALABAMA. GROUND
TEMPERATURES IN MANY AREAS ARE NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING.
THEREFORE...THE THREAT OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL GRADUALLY
SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

ALZ017>021-026>029-032200-
/O.EXB.KBMX.ZR.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110203T2200Z/
BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-CLAY-
RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...ANNISTON...CENTRE...
HEFLIN...PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...
ROANOKE
1013 AM CST THU FEB 3 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WERE STARTING TO DEVELOP
IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...WHICH ARE
EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 THIS AFTERNOON. THE
COMBINATION OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION AND NEAR FREEZING GROUND
TEMPERATURES WILL PRODUCE A MIXTURE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...
SLEET...AND RAIN ACROSS THE AREA.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL START OUT VERY LIGHT...BUT COULD BECOME
HEAVY ENOUGH LATER THIS AFTERNOON TO BEGIN LIGHTLY COATING
ELEVATED SURFACES WITH ICE. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF TRAVELING THIS
AFTERNOON.

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE SOME TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED
FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

#3595 Postby **Pearl River** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:30 am

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
939 AM CST THU FEB 3 2011

...ICING CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO WORSEN TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.ARCTIC AIR REMAINS IN PLACE. AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL
BRING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE OVER THE COLD DOME OF AIR WHICH
WILL RESULT IN A MIX OF MOSTLY RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN...AND
POSSIBLY SOME SLEET. THE FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE ACCUMULATIONS OF
ICE ON ELEVATED SURFACES AND OBJECTS...INCLUDING ELEVATED
ROADWAYS.

LAZ038>040-049-050-056-057-032200-
/O.CAN.KLIX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-110203T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KLIX.ZR.Y.0001.110203T1539Z-110203T2200Z/
TANGIPAHOA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...BOGALUSA...
FRANKLINTON...SLIDELL...MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...LACOMBE...
GONZALES...DONALDSONVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...
PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...LUTCHER...GRAMERCY
939 AM CST THU FEB 3 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER NEAR TO JUST BELOW FREEZING THROUGH MOST
OF THE AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION FALLING MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN
AND DRIZZLE WILL FREEZE ON CONTACT WITH ELEVATED SURFACES AND
OBJECTS...INCLUDING BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS DUE TO ICING. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

bella_may · #3596 Postby **bella_may** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:44 am

Guys I think we could be on the verge of a HUGE winter storm next wee'! Wc is already forecasting all snow for next thursday for lucedale,ms. Not a mix, but ALL SNOW!!

Agua · #3597 Postby **Agua** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:46 am

Bella, Lucedale is far enough north of the coast that accumulating snow is not completely out of the question. South of I-10, the only snow storms that occur are those that show up on the long range models. :lol:

bella_may · #3598 Postby **bella_may** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:50 am

Agua wrote:Bella, Lucedale is far enough north of the coast that accumulating snow is not completely out of the question. South of I-10, the only snow storms that occur are those that show up on the long range models.

Yes,but even the coast has some snow in the forecast!

Website · #3599 Postby **Brent** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 11:53 am

#3600 Postby **JSDS** » Thu Feb 03, 2011 12:02 pm

My thermometer has been sitting on 29 all morning, and I'm just now seeing my first light precipitation. It appears to be light rain, but since I already have ice on on my garbage can lid, I would assume this would freeze also. Brrrrrrr! :cold:

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