Texas Winter 2012-2013

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

:uarrow:

You've done a sorry job Screamer of importing your weather down this way. That's all I have to say about that!

Am ever so curious was it my cold front's fault or was it because you've got that cockroach ridge over you again?

[Cyclenall]

:uarrow: Joe Bastardi has about as much credibility as anyone on this predominately amateur forum over the past two winters. His winter forecast maps from start of winter are almost the complete opposite of what has actually verified so far...he grasping for straws like the rest of us!!

Thank you.

Lots of 70s forecast for Houston highs over the next 2 weeks. I prefer to believe the models even when they're not forecasting bitter cold. Everything I see points to a warm-up. MJO signal looks weak, and then it may be only an indicator of increasing precip chances down south not cold weather. I see a lot of biking in my future over the next 2 weeks. I'm off to release more butterflies in my back yard...

Yes, please release more butterflies and push the earth closer to the sun too. Make it so that I can get 20ºC+ temperatures up here during the winter.

100 degrees in January, now there's an idea! I saw that Corpus Christi hit a record 90 degrees yesterday. The article I saw showed people at the beach enjoying the warm weather. Key word - enjoying. I'll bet that no one is on the beach there today enjoying the mid 60s temps and 30+ mph northwest winds, nor did I notice any coverage of people in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. enjoying the recent bitter cold. People hate cold weather - they enjoy warm weather.

Exactly, that's what I keep saying.

I want to get excited. I really do, but Wxman57 has done it. The Dark Lord of Summer has sucked all the dreams of snow and such out of me. It is over. I am done. Bury me in the desert and call me cacti.....sigh...

There we are . Bright Lord of Summer is here to cheer everyone up. So Cacti, how were the 80s and 90s down there?

I'll be printing the above off at work and will tack it on the staff bulletin board (just worked a 1/2 day today). The drops, mid Feb., may lead to colder temps but at that time of year we really don't care.....we know OMW is in his dying days!

Do your co-workers know what the GFS model is?

[WeatherNewbie]

1People hate cold weather - they enjoy warm weather.

yeah, well, you know that's just like, uh... your opinion man.

[Ntxw]

Hmm what did PWC do to bribe the Euro? I see some omega ridging on the west coast like the GFS, got to be the dirty work of some here

[Portastorm]

Ladies and gentlemen, I bring you a snow depth map from the 6z GFS for Feb. 13th. The Grey Goose-swilling mets from the PWC were up all night long to bring you some vodka cold from the Land of Saskatchewan Screamer mixed with some precipitation. Ntxw and his Metroplex friends will be able to build igloos with this event!

View, enjoy, talk amongst yourselves. And did someone say winter was over?! Heh.



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[Snowman67]

Hit 32F here in Tomball. Wish 57 would have taken my bet - would of had a free lunch...

[Portastorm]

Hit 32F here in Tomball. Wish 57 would have taken my bet - would of had a free lunch...

Sweet! Didn't we hear that the Houston area would not see freezing temps the remainder of winter?!

Get ready because the middle to latter half of February looks to be rockin' for many of us!

[wxman57]

Hit 32F here in Tomball. Wish 57 would have taken my bet - would of had a free lunch...

It was Bush airport that I said would probably remain above freezing for February. I forecast 34 for the February low at IAH. It appears to have reached 35 this morning, possibly 34 between obs.

[Snowman67]

Hit 32F here in Tomball. Wish 57 would have taken my bet - would of had a free lunch...

It was Bush airport that I said would probably remain above freezing for February. I forecast 34 for the February low at IAH. It appears to have reached 35 this morning, possibly 34 between obs.

That's why I said "wish you had taken my bet". And yes it did hit 34F at IAH between the obs. Porta has already set things in motion for another freeze here in mid Feb.

[wxman57]

Hit 32F here in Tomball. Wish 57 would have taken my bet - would of had a free lunch...

It was Bush airport that I said would probably remain above freezing for February. I forecast 34 for the February low at IAH. It appears to have reached 35 this morning, possibly 34 between obs.

That's why I said "wish you had taken my bet". And yes it did hit 34F at IAH between the obs. Porta has already set things in motion for another freeze here in mid Feb.

34F isn't freezing.

[iorange55]

06z GFS is continuing the trend of false hope.

[Ntxw]

I don't need a foot of snow (though that would be nice!). A couple inches so that my bet with wxman57 works out is fine. The models are trending away from zonal flow, winter still has one last gasp left! Never bet against February in Texas for cold/snow. It is the golden month.

And though that frame is 200-300 hours, the system is one to watch. It will be in the gulf of Alaska here in the coming days. All models do have it, just timing/placement differences.

[gboudx]

Second half of 0z GFS sure is something isn't it? Zonal flow? I think not! Of course if you believe it (has to be right since it favors cold!). Portastorm has been hard at work lately!

He's nudging the Sun further from Earth at a faster rate than 57 is nudging the Earth towards the Sun. Geaux Porta!

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Somebody tell me what you fellows are seeing? What temps is my location supposed to hit that is making you fellows giddy?

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Am hoping what I read above means it will be coming down from the Rockies instead???

[Portastorm]

Well to be honest, the 12z GFS isn't nearly as sexy as the 6z run was. But nonetheless it shows a pattern change around 10 days out with colder air pouring south into Texas (colder than the near zonal flow we'll see in the next week) and an active southern stream.

The ingredients look to be in place the second week of February and we at the PWC will be working hard to keep nudging Earth away from ol' Sol and bring on some wintry "fun" for everyone in Texas!

[Ntxw]

Am hoping what I read above means it will be coming down from the Rockies instead???

It's high latitude blocking I think. All your cold air is funneled to the states while Canada doesn't really do much under that ridge, that is if the models are correct.

[vbhoutex]

Hit 32F here in Tomball. Wish 57 would have taken my bet - would of had a free lunch...

Sweet! Didn't we hear that the Houston area would not see freezing temps the remainder of winter?!

Get ready because the middle to latter half of February looks to be rockin' for many of us!

Managed 32.5f at my house in spring Branch area about 10 miles N. of WXman57. Hoping for more, but expecting less. ALWAYS have hope!!

[vbhoutex]

Am hoping what I read above means it will be coming down from the Rockies instead???

It's high latitude blocking I think. All your cold air is funneled to the states while Canada doesn't really do much under that ridge, that is if the models are correct.

Better watch out Ntxw!! Forecasts like that get SS excited!!

[Snowman67]

It was Bush airport that I said would probably remain above freezing for February. I forecast 34 for the February low at IAH. It appears to have reached 35 this morning, possibly 34 between obs.[/quote]

That's why I said "wish you had taken my bet". And yes it did hit 34F at IAH between the obs. Porta has already set things in motion for another freeze here in mid Feb.[/quote]

34F isn't freezing.[/quote]

But 32F is, and I have been talking about Tomball...