Texas Winter 2014-2015

[Tireman4]

Wxman57 needs to move to a place that has no winter... Like Miami :p

I like south Florida. Still gets a bit cold in winter, though. Maybe Tahiti...

It'll probably be Monday or Tuesday before the models start to agree on next weekend's weather across the south.

Remember last year when you went to Norway...hummm

[weatherdude1108]

Wxman57 needs to move to a place that has no winter... Like Miami :p

I like south Florida. Still gets a bit cold in winter, though. Maybe Tahiti...

It'll probably be Monday or Tuesday before the models start to agree on next weekend's weather across the south.

Remember last year when you went to Norway...hummm

San Diego doesn't get too cold. Well, I take that back. 70s may require a heavy coat or parka for bike riding, especially with that marine layer and 60s in the mornings.

[Texas Snowman]

Resistance is futile.

Yeah, about that...

I think you're getting Star Wars' Emperor Palpatine and Darth Vader mixed up with Star Trek's Captain Piccard during his Borg abduction.

Besides, we all know what happened to the both the Death Star and the Borg Cube...they were destroyed.

Like your evil Heat Miser plans for a warm February, the heart of a Texas winter, will be.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Ah another 8-9 day snowstorm... I'm a little optimistic given the pattern coming but still will it get within 5 days out like that?

Where is the "it's always two weeks out" guy? This is screaming for him!

That would be CYCLONE MIKE. I'm sure he'll opine once he gets off the golf course and sees the latest here.

Y'all rang Golf was wonderful. 70*, sunny, mowers, birds, turtles out. Shorts and short sleeve with a nice winter tan going. Nothing more to add that wxman hasn't already mentioned except believe it when I see it. GFS and others already lost the cold for early next week, wow that didn't last long did it, now of course its back to 10-12 days Of course thru all this I'm still digging out from my 80" of 10-14 day snow we have received this winter.

No shadow for him means winter is over! Maybe we should start a winter 2015-2016 thread talking about possible snow in Texas NEXT winter?

Wont be long before those posts start coming. Just wait til next year, all signs are pointing to a mini ice age

[Portastorm]

Set record high temperatures today in Austin. 81 at Camp Mabry and 80 at the airport.

Whoo hoo ... yay.....pppffffffj98%$$*(&@.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

Set record high temperatures today in Austin. 81 at Camp Mabry and 80 at the airport.

Whoo hoo ... yay.....pppffffffj98%$$*(&@.

But just you wait. You're going to wish it was 81 cause in 14 days you're going to be in the 20's and covered in snow cause the GFS said so

[Brent]

Set record high temperatures today in Austin. 81 at Camp Mabry and 80 at the airport.

Whoo hoo ... yay.....pppffffffj98%$$*(&@.

But just you wait. You're going to wish it was 81 cause in 14 days you're going to be in the 20's and covered in snow cause the GFS said so

I doubt that... we can have 80s in April/May where they belong

[Ntxw]

This warm weather and south wind has got to go. It is prime time mountain cedar allergy season and it is killing me right now, the past two days have been bad and tomorrow's count seems to be the peak of this week. We need a strong front and we need it now, YUCK!

[Tireman4]

I know. I was soaked on my run. I hate this. My bike was a soaker and now this. Dadgum Wxman57.

[Stormnut]

Which run Tireman? The 06z or the 12z?? Haha

I can't read the word run without thinking models

[Ellsey]

This warm weather and south wind has got to go. It is prime time mountain cedar allergy season and it is killing me right now, the past two days have been bad and tomorrow's count seems to be the peak of this week. We need a strong front and we need it now, YUCK!

No joke. I about sneezed my head off the past couple days, and today my skin was itching. I've got cedar fever bad.

[weatherdude1108]

Completely off topic for Texas weather, but is weather-related. It is a short clip someone posted on FB of a weatherman in Arizona improvising the astronomical temperatures on the map during a live broadcast.


http://laughingsquid.com/phoenix-weathe ... peratures/

[wxman57]

Overnight runs of the GFS, ECMWF and Canadian are all warmer for Texas over the next 10 days. Warmer as in not even a freeze for the Dallas-Ft. Worth area (maybe a light one with the Canadian) through next weekend. Nothing quite as nice as the past 2 days, though. If you want to see winter weather over the next 2 weeks you'll have to drive to the central to northern Panhandle, it appears.

[CaptinCrunch]

Here is a little of this mornings AFD from NWS FTW office.

ALL OF THE MAIN COMPUTER MODELS HAVE SLOWED DOWN THE ONSET OF
PRECIPITATION SO HAVE DONE LIKEWISE IN THE FORECAST. SOME LIGHT
RAIN SHOULD DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN
ZONES...AND SPREAD EASTWARD FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE BEST
RAIN CHANCES WILL BE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN
TAPERING OFF FROM THE WEST SUNDAY AS A SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN THE
NORTHERN STREAM MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS. HIGHS FRIDAY SHOULD BE
NEAR OR JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS...AND HIGHS OVER THE
WEEKEND WILL BE WELL BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS WITH 40S TO MID 50S
EXPECTED BOTH DAYS. WITH DECREASING CLOUDS FROM THE NORTHWEST
SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES FARTHER EAST...TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL INTO THE MID 20S NORTHWEST TO MID 30S SOUTHEAST. HIGHS
ON MONDAY DESPITE THE SUNSHINE WILL ONLY BE IN THE 40S ACROSS
MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA FRIDAY
WILL DIG SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA OVER THE WEEKEND
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THIS UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN AS IT
MOVES EASTWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT MAY BRING SOME LOW RAIN
CHANCES TO THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH SOME LINGERING LOW RAIN CHANCES IN THE
EXTREME SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY. EXPECT NEAR SEASONAL NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

Still I think February will get cold before it's all said and done, and hopefully some winter fun will still happen. I remember 2002, 2003 when we had back to back Valentine Day snowfalls of 3-6".

[weatherdude1108]

No shadow for him means winter is over! Maybe we should start a winter 2015-2016 thread talking about possible snow in Texas NEXT winter?

Wont be long before those posts start coming. Just wait til next year, all signs are pointing to a mini ice age [/quote]


Speaking of mini ice age, I have seen some chatter about a natural global cooling cycle that may be occurring. Mentions the Maunder Minimum and different solar activity cycles spanning from tens to thousands of years. A guy named John Casey who worked at NASA believes the planet is headed towards a cooling period after several decades of warming due to reduced solar activity.

Another guy from India, Shrinivas Aundhkar, believes fewer sunspot activity on the Sun observed since the last two solar cycles might lead to a "mini ice age-like situation" in the coming years.

Anyway, interesting. Maybe that means Austin will see more chances for
snow in the coming years!

John Casey site
http://www.spaceandscience.net/id1.html

India site
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city ... 959671.cms

[texas1836]

No shadow for him means winter is over! Maybe we should start a winter 2015-2016 thread talking about possible snow in Texas NEXT winter?

Wont be long before those posts start coming. Just wait til next year, all signs are pointing to a mini ice age

Speaking of mini ice age, I have seen some chatter about a natural global cooling cycle that may be occurring. Mentions the Maunder Minimum and different solar activity cycles spanning from tens to thousands of years. A guy named John Casey who worked at NASA believes the planet is headed towards a cooling period after several decades of warming due to reduced solar activity.

Another guy from India, Shrinivas Aundhkar, believes fewer sunspot activity on the Sun observed since the last two solar cycles might lead to a "mini ice age-like situation" in the coming years.

Anyway, interesting. Maybe that means Austin will see more chances for
snow in the coming years!

John Casey site
http://www.spaceandscience.net/id1.html

India site
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city ... 959671.cms[/quote]


If that happened, could you imagine how many posts the Winter Forum would get in the future?!?!?!?!

[Big O]

Overnight runs of the GFS, ECMWF and Canadian are all warmer for Texas over the next 10 days. Warmer as in not even a freeze for the Dallas-Ft. Worth area (maybe a light one with the Canadian) through next weekend. Nothing quite as nice as the past 2 days, though. If you want to see winter weather over the next 2 weeks you'll have to drive to the central to northern Panhandle, it appears.

But the same overnight run of the European ensemble mean shows the east coast trough retrograding and a ridge building over Alaska and NW North America on Days 11-15. Trough centered over the eastern 2/3 of the CONUS. The control run is even more impressive, with the cold centered over the Southern Plains. In fact, in the Day 11-15 period, the control run has temperature anomalies in Texas in the 30-34 Fahrenheit range.

Before you say it, I know it is extremely long range, but it is an ensemble mean that is supported by its control run. Moreover, a SSW is forecasted, which lends support to a blocking regime in the long-range. February, particularly the time on or before Valentine's Day, looks potentially interesting for the Southern Plains.

[Portastorm]

Overnight runs of the GFS, ECMWF and Canadian are all warmer for Texas over the next 10 days. Warmer as in not even a freeze for the Dallas-Ft. Worth area (maybe a light one with the Canadian) through next weekend. Nothing quite as nice as the past 2 days, though. If you want to see winter weather over the next 2 weeks you'll have to drive to the central to northern Panhandle, it appears.

Buzzkill Post of the Week Award-winner.

[Tireman4]

Overnight runs of the GFS, ECMWF and Canadian are all warmer for Texas over the next 10 days. Warmer as in not even a freeze for the Dallas-Ft. Worth area (maybe a light one with the Canadian) through next weekend. Nothing quite as nice as the past 2 days, though. If you want to see winter weather over the next 2 weeks you'll have to drive to the central to northern Panhandle, it appears.

Buzzkill Post of the Week Award-winner.

Sigh. See what you did Porta? See what you did? By allowing yourself to get captured by the Borg, you messed up the force in the Universe. You messed with it all. Now, Winter is gone. Poof. Bam. Whammo. Good bye.

[dhweather]

This warm weather and south wind has got to go. It is prime time mountain cedar allergy season and it is killing me right now, the past two days have been bad and tomorrow's count seems to be the peak of this week. We need a strong front and we need it now, YUCK!

AMEN! That stuff is brutal. Has to go, my entire family is suffering from it.