Texas Winter 2025-2026

[Quixotic]

The young,dumb and invincible…my son-in-law and his equally naive fiancée are driving from OKC to New Braunfels for a wedding Friday night and plan on driving back to OKC Saturday afternoon! I asked if he had been watching the weather and did he realize some roads may become impassable. His response, “we’ll be fine, just gonna throw some sandbags in the back of my truck.”

Luck be with them.

[Stonewood Ranch]

The young,dumb and invincible…my son-in-law and his equally naive fiancée are driving from OKC to New Braunfels for a wedding Friday night and plan on driving back to OKC Saturday afternoon! I asked if he had been watching the weather and did he realize some roads may become impassable. His response, “we’ll be fine, just gonna throw some sandbags in the back of my truck.”

LOL. Can’t fix dumb. When he’s off in a ditch stranded and then calls for help which puts additional emergency folks in danger.

[WacoWx]

Relax, Francis

[Quixotic]

Interesting tidbit: Iceland has the most rescue calls per capita. Of course their cell coverage is like 100% so it helps.

[bubba hotep]

23z HRRR continues the trend of surging the freezing line southward faster with each run. The 18z run had Ada, OK, at 37F and Lawton, OK, at 36F at 17z on Friday, and the 23z run has them at 32F.

[Quixotic]

Relax, Francis

“Some of these men may save your life one day.”

“Then again, maybe some of us won’t.”

[rwfromkansas]

The young,dumb and invincible…my son-in-law and his equally naive fiancée are driving from OKC to New Braunfels for a wedding Friday night and plan on driving back to OKC Saturday afternoon! I asked if he had been watching the weather and did he realize some roads may become impassable. His response, “we’ll be fine, just gonna throw some sandbags in the back of my truck.”

If they absolutely insist, they need to have blankets, source of heat, something.

I think it was December 2013 or so what was a huge snowstorm and ice storm in December for OK and Kansas. We drove up thinking that we would beat the storm for the holiday, only to have been wrong. Worst snow I have ever seen driving, it was scary. Plows couldn't keep up. We had to stop and clear ice off the windshield.

This is that kind of event or likely....worse.

[Quixotic]

23z HRRR continues the trend of surging the freezing line southward faster with each run. The 18z run had Ada, OK, at 37F and Lawton, OK, at 36F at 17z on Friday, and the 23z run has them at 32F.

This is a classic. Watching the freezing line advance (and sometimes retreat). My favorite prognostic tool.

[DFW Stormwatcher]

Last time I posted was in ‘21 with all the snow pics and near a foot of snow from the first round. There’s a lot of QPF this time (way more than ‘21), but this is a freezing rain/sleet setup for us. I could see a range of 1” of freezing rain with 1-2” sleet vs best case of 1/4” freezing rain and 3-6” sleet followed by snow. That’s my end points for this event.

We are getting closer and I think reality is finally setting in on what is coming. In talking with friends they are not taking this very seriously. I’m honestly a tad bit concerned at this point those temperatures with this kind of precipitation man.

What you gonna do though but try to help people understand the situation. Some people will listen and some will be hardheaded or initially ambivalent until the reality does hit. Hope it’s more of a party storm and only somewhat of a minor aggravation for everyone.

Gotwood has clearly not been to a grocery store this afternoon. I did my shopping yesterday but had to go to Wal Mart and heb for a few things, it’s mad max out there in north Fort Worth!

[Gotwood]

We are getting closer and I think reality is finally setting in on what is coming. In talking with friends they are not taking this very seriously. I’m honestly a tad bit concerned at this point those temperatures with this kind of precipitation man.

What you gonna do though but try to help people understand the situation. Some people will listen and some will be hardheaded or initially ambivalent until the reality does hit. Hope it’s more of a party storm and only somewhat of a minor aggravation for everyone.

Gotwood has clearly not been to a grocery store this afternoon. I did my shopping yesterday but had to go to Wal Mart and heb for a few things, it’s mad max out there in north Fort Worth!

Correct that’s why I’m apart of this forum. I did my prep work on Monday.

[bubba hotep]

23z HRRR continues the trend of surging the freezing line southward faster with each run. The 18z run had Ada, OK, at 37F and Lawton, OK, at 36F at 17z on Friday, and the 23z run has them at 32F.

This is a classic. Watching the freezing line advance (and sometimes retreat). My favorite prognostic tool.

Wife: What are you doing? It's 3:00 am!!

Me: Tracking the freezing line via live mesonet data!

ETA: Mesonet shows the freezing line pushing into the NW Oklahoma Panhandle about 3 hours ahead of schedule

[Iceresistance]

I think KFOR lost it's mind, because there's no way it's going to snow THAT much


https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bkwOz.png

[jasons2k]

Friendly reminder that even the short-term forecast can bust by a lot.

The wind was supposed to shift today and I was supposed to get up to 71 degrees. Instead, the ‘warm front’ got hung-up to the SW, and we got stuck with a high of only 61 and a NE wind.

That’s a 10-degree bust, just like that!

[Quixotic]

23z HRRR continues the trend of surging the freezing line southward faster with each run. The 18z run had Ada, OK, at 37F and Lawton, OK, at 36F at 17z on Friday, and the 23z run has them at 32F.

This is a classic. Watching the freezing line advance (and sometimes retreat). My favorite prognostic tool.

Wife: What are you doing? It's 3:00 am!!

Me: Tracking the freezing line via live mesonet data!

Haha. I’ve had that discussion. Lately it’s about astrophotography.

[TexasF6]

Before I left work, the front appeared to be in Kansas, almost to Oklahoma, ahead of schedule. Was I looking at the wrong map? It's on the way.
Just my 2 Shillingsworth! Not an official forecast!

[Brent]

I think KFOR lost it's mind, because there's no way it's going to snow THAT much

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bkwOz.png
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bkwOz.png

That's about what the NWS was hinting at 2 days ago they were saying historic potential all along pretty much

[jasons2k]

Before I left work, the front appeared to be in Kansas, almost to Oklahoma, ahead of schedule. Was I looking at the wrong map? It's on the way.
Just my 2 Shillingsworth! Not an official forecast!

Indeed, frontogenesis taking place and the surge is commencing

[rwfromkansas]

We are getting closer and I think reality is finally setting in on what is coming. In talking with friends they are not taking this very seriously. I’m honestly a tad bit concerned at this point those temperatures with this kind of precipitation man.

What you gonna do though but try to help people understand the situation. Some people will listen and some will be hardheaded or initially ambivalent until the reality does hit. Hope it’s more of a party storm and only somewhat of a minor aggravation for everyone.

Gotwood has clearly not been to a grocery store this afternoon. I did my shopping yesterday but had to go to Wal Mart and heb for a few things, it’s mad max out there in north Fort Worth!

Even my usual quiet Kroger on Basswood was a disaster. Huge lines to the back of the store. I just needed cereal I forgot to get it on Tuesday. The cart ahead of me had 6 loaves of different types of bread. If the Girl Scouts wanted to sell out of cookies immediately, they should be at the stores today. Just unreal.

Anxious to see the next round of models. It does seem like this will hopefully be more sleet and snow now for DFW...fingers crossed.

[Quixotic]

Before I left work, the front appeared to be in Kansas, almost to Oklahoma, ahead of schedule. Was I looking at the wrong map? It's on the way.
Just my 2 Shillingsworth! Not an official forecast!

Somewhere in the northern third of Kansas.

[bubba hotep]

00z HRRR moves the freezing line through The Falls about 6 hours earlier than the 18z