Texas Winter 2020-2021

[ztshanklin]

Advisory issued. Excludes Tarrant/ Dallas.

Y tho?

Heat island

[bubba hotep]

I'm always reluctant to put stock in this argument... but I think the 18z model runs are whacked and would toss them. They all are way too warm right off the bat and get worse with each passing hour. I wonder if the shallowness of the cold caused issues with the data assimilation cycle? Maybe a gradual warm up is coming and the models are just too fast with it? However, the freezing line is already creeping back south into DFW, based on real time obs.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Slight NE breeze here in Sugar Land now. Was expected to be here Thursday.

[Iceresistance]

KWTV-News 9 Forecast at 4:20 PM

[Ntxw]

I'm always reluctant to put stock in this argument... but I think the 18z model runs are whacked and would toss them. They all are way too warm right off the bat and get worse with each passing hour. I wonder if the shallowness of the cold caused issues with the data assimilation cycle? Maybe a gradual warm up is coming and the models are just too fast with it? However, the freezing line is already creeping back south into DFW, based on real time obs.

It's been a mess. DFW got to 34F today and is falling again. That is a far cry from upper 40s to 50F. Where the front is through it's been mostly a nowcast (notwithstanding the boundary to the south). I don't expect tomorrow to be much warmer than today was.

[Quixotic]

Temp is back down to 29.8 here and the DP is dropping with it (25) under a stiff north wind. Don't think there will be any problem getting stuff to freeze if it falls.

[rwfromkansas]

My station shows temp only reached 34 and is dropping. Pretty impressive.

[Brent]

Never expected this cold today models are doing great I see

[Ntxw]

GFS-Para now working again!

GFS-Para Kuchera snow maps are banned. Get too many hopes up.

[bubba hotep]

GFS-Para now working again!

GFS-Para Kuchera snow maps are banned. Get too many hopes up.

NCEP - "Who plugged that back in??? Pull the Plug!!!!"

[Iceresistance]

GFS-Para now working again!

GFS-Para Kuchera snow maps are banned. Get too many hopes up.

NCEP - "Who plugged that back in??? Pull the Plug!!!!"

If that does not get you Winter Dreams come true, then I don't know what will . . .

[PTrackerLA]

18z GFS came in much colder for SE Texas and LA with a significant winter storm Monday/Tuesday. GFS parallel is very cold as well and also has the storm .

[Hurricane_Apu]

18z GFS came in much colder for SE Texas and LA with a significant winter storm Monday/Tuesday. GFS parallel is very cold as well and also has the storm .

NWS Lake Charles also going colder in tonight's disco, even mentioning the S word...

[Iceresistance]

18z GFS has 3 Storms (Each one Stronger than the other) in a Span of 1 week trailing down one after another!



24-Hour Kuchera Ratio Snowfall

[WacoWx]

Got up to 36 imby in Dallas. Down to 34 already.

[SoupBone]

18z GFS came in much colder for SE Texas and LA with a significant winter storm Monday/Tuesday. GFS parallel is very cold as well and also has the storm .

Crazy to think this could end up with snow in Houston. Does anyone know the last recorded snowfall in this area?

[ronyan]

18z GFS came in much colder for SE Texas and LA with a significant winter storm Monday/Tuesday. GFS parallel is very cold as well and also has the storm .

Crazy to think this could end up with snow in Houston. Does anyone know the last recorded snowfall in this area?

Dec 2017 is the last I remember.

[Iceresistance]

18z GFS came in much colder for SE Texas and LA with a significant winter storm Monday/Tuesday. GFS parallel is very cold as well and also has the storm .

Crazy to think this could end up with snow in Houston. Does anyone know the last recorded snowfall in this area?

November 13th, 2018 was the last time it snowed in Houston.

[Iceresistance]

18z GFS-Para crazier that the Operational GFS



Snowfall is CRAZY WITH 4 STORMS!

[Ralph's Weather]

GFS Para gives me 10" of snow Monday morning.