Texas Winter 2018-2019

Winter Weather Discussion

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Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4221 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Tue Jan 22, 2019 9:52 pm

My question is, why are we all still living and dying by these models when they’ve more than proven that they are just junk right now?
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Cerlin
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4222 Postby Cerlin » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:05 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:My question is, why are we all still living and dying by these models when they’ve more than proven that they are just junk right now?

Exactly—I’ve started looking at the models for the trends (will it be cold, what kind of fronts, do we have moisture) and making my own probabilities instead of taking each run as a set in stone fluctuation.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4223 Postby Texas Snow » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:18 pm

Chance of sleet introduced into DFW forecast. Those south and east may want to read the NWS update
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4224 Postby missygirl810 » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:22 pm

Texas Snow wrote:Chance of sleet introduced into DFW forecast. Those south and east may want to read the NWS update


Thanks!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4225 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:26 pm

Woo.

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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4226 Postby EtoileTX » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:27 pm

Cerlin wrote:
hriverajr wrote:
Brent wrote:
I was thinking we were unlucky but how long can this go on for :double:


I'm going to say one thing.. first off I don't know why the possibility of human made climate change is political. So... Energy was needed to create all the plant material that led to the oil deposits correct? The energy is there. So when we burn the oil.. we are releasing that energy that was originally used to grow said plants. Would energy being released result in higher temps, I'm not sure of that, but it is energy that came from a previous time. That's all.

I think the effects more come from the speed of the release (millions of years of energy from plants and animals in the past being released over a century)...but it’s best not to get into that. :lol: ;)


I or no one else knows how much modern man has played a part in global warming. I would think very little. Weather goes in cycles. It is a scientific fact that we have had numerous Ice ages on planet earth. I would think that the only way to come out of an ice age is by global warming probably on a massive scale. There was no industry when we came out of the last ice age .In fact our ancestors were all probably chunking spear's.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4227 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:34 pm

Stick to weather folks. Any more discussions on the matter of climate unless referring to climatogical data will be removed.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4228 Postby hamburgerman7070 » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:40 pm

I told yall yesterday that its good night irene. The Pacific jet is coming back. Unless we get a negative nao, winter is done after this cold snap.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4229 Postby Cerlin » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:41 pm

hamburgerman7070 wrote:I told yall yesterday that its good night irene. The Pacific jet is coming back. Unless we get a negative nao, winter is done after this cold snap.

I mean, we have all of February...
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4230 Postby Haris » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:56 pm

Image

Is the GFS seeing something meso models arent? lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4231 Postby Cerlin » Tue Jan 22, 2019 10:59 pm

Haris wrote:[url]https://i.ibb.co/dtWxT9b/GFSSGP-prec-ptype-012.png [/url]

Is the GFS seeing something meso models arent? lol

if that could only just slightly shift west...
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4232 Postby Haris » Tue Jan 22, 2019 11:02 pm

Nice to hear the rain drops falling and the pitter pattering. Occasional thunder as well.Image

Edit: Pouuring
Last edited by Haris on Tue Jan 22, 2019 11:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4233 Postby Quixotic » Tue Jan 22, 2019 11:13 pm

hamburgerman7070 wrote:I told yall yesterday that its good night irene. The Pacific jet is coming back. Unless we get a negative nao, winter is done after this cold snap.


You know, a negative NAO in and of itself, doesn’t correlate to cold in the southern plains. A negative AO does.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4234 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 22, 2019 11:16 pm

Weather Underground has snow possible at 2am,... I'm not holding my breath :roll:

hamburgerman7070 wrote:I told yall yesterday that its good night irene. The Pacific jet is coming back. Unless we get a negative nao, winter is done after this cold snap.


I doubt it's over but I'm definitely getting tired of waiting for this great winter lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4235 Postby weatherdude1108 » Tue Jan 22, 2019 11:23 pm

Thundering and raining here. Chilly and windy! :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4236 Postby Texas Snow » Tue Jan 22, 2019 11:24 pm

There are a couple recent frozen precip mPING reports ne of brownwood and se of Wichita Falls
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4237 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jan 22, 2019 11:38 pm

Nice line of storms just blew up right over SA! Lots of rain heading towards Houston and east Texas tonight.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4238 Postby Ralph's Weather » Tue Jan 22, 2019 11:54 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:Nice line of storms just blew up right over SA! Lots of rain heading towards Houston and east Texas tonight.

I'm hoping that that stuff can make it up to Tyler later tonight. If it can then we could see the better snow possibilities verify.
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4239 Postby Haris » Wed Jan 23, 2019 12:04 am

Image

1/2” and counting. Over achieving?
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Re: Texas Winter 2018-2019

#4240 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Jan 23, 2019 12:08 am

I see multiple recent reports of snow in the Plano/Prosper area. Good sign
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