Texas Winter 2025-2026

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downsouthman1
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4261 Postby downsouthman1 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:08 pm

I work in Sherman and will be here till about 5 PM today. Am outside and can most certainly confirm that it's dropping here. Also whatever is falling from the sky sounds weird on surfaces but is hard to see currently.
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Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

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Quixotic
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4262 Postby Quixotic » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:09 pm

Gainesville not reporting. Ugh.
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Tammie
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4263 Postby Tammie » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:09 pm

DW5522 wrote:Just hit 40 degrees in Pottsboro north of Sherman. 8 more degrees!


Blow SOUTH!!! Sherman is still sitting at 45°!
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Tammie - Sherman TX

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opticsguy
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4264 Postby opticsguy » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:11 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
Ntxw wrote:All these road treatments being washed away...

Those are ridiculous and ineffective in my opinion. If the ice and cold are there, nothing will stop frozen roads. It's just something for the cities and the local news to report.


Kansas seemed to be more effective since they used sand and salt (it helped that nearby my hometown there was one of the biggest salt mines in the country). That stuff wasn't as prone to leaving it seems as the liquid.

I may have to see if we can move our spa delivery to Thursday, but they wanted a few days to dry out the ground. But the snow potential on Friday is....interesting. I would love it since this will be more sleet though.


My dad worked at a Dow plant in michigan that made calcium chloride road salt. Worked well below zero and didn't poison the soil . Expensive, though
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4265 Postby bubba hotep » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:15 pm

Quixotic wrote:For DFW, front seems to be past Bowie and approaching Decatur.


Models are also struggling with the push of really cold air. 17z HRRR is already 2-4F too warm across the Northern Texas Panhandle and over into Northern Oklahoma at 18z.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4266 Postby TomballEd » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:19 pm

orangeblood wrote:Wow, this CMC upper level chart looks phenomenal for late next week...can't draw it up much better for a Texas Snow Storm!!! GFS similar as well

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gem-all/conus/z500_anom/1769169600/1769796000-DZPb95DBRXg.png



Not a perfect McFarland signal, the Northeast trough should be around Hudson Bay, the ridge into Alaska should be a bit further west than shown, but an almost E-W oriented trough line extending from the larger trough (that is a smidge too far S) is one of the markers of a McFarland signature.
Image
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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4267 Postby gpsnowman » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:20 pm

Radar looking pretty with some heavier bands moving through. Happy we can get some rain before the frozen stuff hits. It has been a while.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4268 Postby wxman22 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:24 pm

No surprise but Norman has now upped snowfall amounts in WF to the 4-6 inch range.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4269 Postby Quixotic » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:25 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Quixotic wrote:For DFW, front seems to be past Bowie and approaching Decatur.


Models are also struggling with the push of really cold air. 17z HRRR is already 2-4F too warm across the Northern Texas Panhandle and over into Northern Oklahoma at 18z.


Yep. We’ve seen this movie before.
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Ralph's Weather
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4270 Postby Ralph's Weather » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:29 pm

downsouthman1 wrote:I work in Sherman and will be here till about 5 PM today. Am outside and can most certainly confirm that it's dropping here. Also whatever is falling from the sky sounds weird on surfaces but is hard to see currently.

Profile is not there yet for sleet in Sherman with no cold sub freezing layer below the warm nose yet, farther west closer to Wichita Falls precip will likely begin to have sleet mixing in now. I would expect some sleet to mix in with the rain this evening for areas like Sherman starting around dinner time and push south from there as the low level cold gets builds in.
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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4271 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:30 pm

On the FWD probabilistic snow product, the 3-inch line is now down to Denton. Decent shift south on the northern end.
Last edited by rwfromkansas on Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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TomballEd
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4272 Postby TomballEd » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:30 pm

There is a wind shift line that was near Temple and Waco last time I checked. Dewpoints were dropping slowly behind that. I assume (correct me if I'm wrong) you guys are tracking the 'main' front.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4273 Postby jasons2k » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:36 pm

Freezing in Post, off the caprock.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4274 Postby Ralph's Weather » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:38 pm

TomballEd wrote:There is a wind shift line that was near Temple and Waco last time I checked. Dewpoints were dropping slowly behind that. I assume (correct me if I'm wrong) you guys are tracking the 'main' front.

I am tracking the line where DPs/humidity drops significantly. That's where the surface temps will begin to fall.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4275 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:39 pm

wxman22 wrote:No surprise but Norman has now upped snowfall amounts in WF to the 4-6 inch range.

https://i.ibb.co/DP2pz415/IMG-0623.jpg

I am at 8-12 inches of snow, but highest uncertainty since sleet
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4276 Postby Ralph's Weather » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:42 pm

Latest HRRR is pretty good on the initial post frontal temps but it is around 4F too warm with the secondary push locates in the northern Panhandle through far north OK.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4277 Postby snownado » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:48 pm

opticsguy wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Those are ridiculous and ineffective in my opinion. If the ice and cold are there, nothing will stop frozen roads. It's just something for the cities and the local news to report.


Kansas seemed to be more effective since they used sand and salt (it helped that nearby my hometown there was one of the biggest salt mines in the country). That stuff wasn't as prone to leaving it seems as the liquid.

I may have to see if we can move our spa delivery to Thursday, but they wanted a few days to dry out the ground. But the snow potential on Friday is....interesting. I would love it since this will be more sleet though.


My dad worked at a Dow plant in michigan that made calcium chloride road salt. Worked well below zero and didn't poison the soil . Expensive, though


I'm sure your dad can also attest the biggest drawback with rock salt is that it tears up the roads, especially when you're in a climate with frequent enough winter thaws. That's why Michigan's roads have become an internet meme for their god awful quality and massive potholes.

EDIT: The salt also causes a ton of corrosion on a vehicle's exterior, which is why used cars from that part of the country tend to be undesirable in the resale market.

Despite all of that, the reason it's used so heavily there is because Detroit just so happens to sit atop a massive natural salt mine (so the cost you mention is a non-issue).
Last edited by snownado on Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4278 Postby txtwister78 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:51 pm

Bullish signal right there also coming from Euro ENS when you're still 7 days out.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4279 Postby Stonewood Ranch » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:52 pm

Evan Andrews Fox 4 just tweeted about 20 minutes ago Ice Storm Warning for Henderson, Freestone, Anderson & Van Zandt Counties until 12pm Sunday.
Last edited by Stonewood Ranch on Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4280 Postby Stratton23 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 1:53 pm

txtwister78 yeah thats crazy! I knew changes were coming in late January once i saw models spiking that ridge in Alaska, but to say we have a winter storm in progress and now possibly a snow storm all within the next 10 days, well just say the unbelievable has become believable now lol, what an incredible pattern we are in
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