Texas Winter 2025-2026
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.-
Fifty Rock
- Tropical Storm

- Posts: 121
- Joined: Mon Sep 11, 2023 10:08 am
- Location: Albany, Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Front went through here about 30 minutes ago and temp has dropped about 6 degrees. South of Albany, Texas
0 likes
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Lagreeneyes03
- Category 2

- Posts: 598
- Joined: Mon Dec 09, 2013 10:53 am
- Location: Luxurious Lake Grapevine
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Near DFW Airport I went from Grapevine to Southlake when I went into the store it was 46 came out not even an hour later 41. According to all my weather apps it wasn't supposed to hit 41 till around 6:00 p.m.
Last edited by Lagreeneyes03 on Fri Jan 23, 2026 3:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
6 likes
I'm a Princess, not a forecaster.
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Stratton23
- Category 5

- Posts: 3380
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: Katy, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
HRRR has a near 6 inch snow bullseye south of houston, first run ive seen in which the column is significantly colder , always expect surprises with winter storms….
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
DukeMu wrote:The Boston Mountains have more oomph. The altitude west of OKC is higher than the Ouchitas of Ozark Plateau (technically they aren't mountains but effect of erosion over time. There's a phase delay (slowing), but a much greater modifier is the Gulf, just like the Atlantic Ocean in NC. Shreveport is much closer to the Gulf than Dallas. By the time you reach Palestine, any Oauchita or Okark influence is gone due to decays. 2000-2500 ft isn't a large impediment.
Yeah I do agree the gulf is much more a modifier. This specific case is unique because getting cold air from Chicago to Dallas, you're climbing elevation through the Ozarks-Ouachita, even if it's not a full impediment it is a slowdown enough compared to out west. Typically it is a feature more for the Sabine River region to the east when cold is coming from the north or northwest.
Chicago- 597′
Branson MO - 965′
Mena AR - 1,171′
DFW airport - 607′
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Ralph's Weather
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 3344
- Age: 38
- Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
- Location: Lindale, TX
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton23 wrote:HRRR has a near 6 inch snow bullseye south of houston, first run ive seen in which the column is significantly colder , always expect surprises with winter storms….
Not sure what is going on with the 10: snowfall maps, but skewT shows midlevel temps are way too warm for that. Maybe a bit so sleet mixing in down there but its a freezing rain event for SE TX.
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- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met

- Posts: 23165
- Age: 68
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton23 wrote:HRRR has a near 6 inch snow bullseye south of houston, first run ive seen in which the column is significantly colder , always expect surprises with winter storms….
I'm not sure what you're looking at, but the 18Z HRRR is warmer than most models for Sunday. It has some light freezing rain across mostly north Houston Sunday morning with the temperature at 33-34 degrees.
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- ThunderSleetDreams
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 1507
- Age: 43
- Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2011 4:42 pm
- Location: S of Weimar, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
wxman57 wrote:Stratton23 wrote:HRRR has a near 6 inch snow bullseye south of houston, first run ive seen in which the column is significantly colder , always expect surprises with winter storms….
I'm not sure what you're looking at, but the 18Z HRRR is warmer than most models for Sunday. It has some light freezing rain across mostly north Houston Sunday morning with the temperature at 33-34 degrees.
He’s referring to this

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#NeverSummer
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!
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Ralph's Weather
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 3344
- Age: 38
- Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
- Location: Lindale, TX
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
gpsnowman wrote:Some pinks approaching Abilene.
Abilene could def see some sleet mixing in this afternoon. Nothing should accumulate out there until early evening though.
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HockeyTx82
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 2730
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
“For the First Time in Forever… It Might Snow in Texas” (From Frozen)
(A Storm2k Winter Storm Parody)
The sky is lookin’ kinda different,
There’s a chill upon the breeze.
People runnin’ to the store now,
Buyin’ milk and bread and cheese.
The clouds are gettin’ thicker,
The wind is feelin’ bold.
My phone keeps buzzin’ warnings
’Bout the rain that might turn cold.
And now I’m pacing by the window,
Like I’m waiting for a show…
Could it be? Is this the moment?
Will we finally get some snow?
’Cause for the first time in forever,
Texas might just freeze tonight.
For the first time in forever,
We might wake to a world of white.
I don’t know if it’ll happen,
But the hype is runnin’ high…
For the first time in forever,
Winter’s knockin’ from the sky.
The roads will turn to chaos,
Drivers panicked, sliding slow.
Kids will press their faces to the glass
Just hopin’ for some snow.
And every Storm2k poster
Is refreshing every run…
We’re all ready for the magic,
Let this winter storm be fun.
’Cause for the first time in forever,
We’re all watchin’ clouds roll in.
For the first time in forever,
Let the snow games now begin.
Maybe sleet or maybe flurries,
Maybe nothing — who can say?
But for the first time in forever…
Texas winter’s here today.
(A Storm2k Winter Storm Parody)
The sky is lookin’ kinda different,
There’s a chill upon the breeze.
People runnin’ to the store now,
Buyin’ milk and bread and cheese.
The clouds are gettin’ thicker,
The wind is feelin’ bold.
My phone keeps buzzin’ warnings
’Bout the rain that might turn cold.
And now I’m pacing by the window,
Like I’m waiting for a show…
Could it be? Is this the moment?
Will we finally get some snow?
’Cause for the first time in forever,
Texas might just freeze tonight.
For the first time in forever,
We might wake to a world of white.
I don’t know if it’ll happen,
But the hype is runnin’ high…
For the first time in forever,
Winter’s knockin’ from the sky.
The roads will turn to chaos,
Drivers panicked, sliding slow.
Kids will press their faces to the glass
Just hopin’ for some snow.
And every Storm2k poster
Is refreshing every run…
We’re all ready for the magic,
Let this winter storm be fun.
’Cause for the first time in forever,
We’re all watchin’ clouds roll in.
For the first time in forever,
Let the snow games now begin.
Maybe sleet or maybe flurries,
Maybe nothing — who can say?
But for the first time in forever…
Texas winter’s here today.
6 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- wxman22
- Category 5

- Posts: 1792
- Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2006 12:39 am
- Location: Wichita Falls, TX
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
We’ve hit freezing in Wichita Falls. Right around 2 pm
Last edited by wxman22 on Fri Jan 23, 2026 3:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
8 likes
- jasons2k
- Storm2k Executive

- Posts: 8268
- Age: 52
- Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
- Location: The Woodlands, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
31 in Snyder, 32 in Wichita Falls. The freezing line should start accelerating soon.
4 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Yeah. It’s down to 40 but more importantly the DP is dropping quickly. I think we will be approaching freezing a lot sooner than midnight.
5 likes
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 5940
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
jasons2k wrote:31 in Snyder, 32 in Wichita Falls. The freezing line should start accelerating soon.
The instant-read station at Sheppard AFB has dropped from 36F to 30F in just over an hour.
5 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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WacoWx
- Category 2

- Posts: 678
- Joined: Mon Dec 28, 2009 4:14 pm
- Location: NOT Waco, TX ----> Dallas, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
WacoWx wrote:WacoWx wrote:Hourly temp forecast for Dallas via weather.com. This is my benchmark for temp watching throughout the day.
At 8a 1/23/26:
9a 50°
10a 49
11a 50 Actual = 47.1°
12p 49
1p 48
2p 47 Actual = 44.2°
3p 46
4p 43
5p 41
6p 40°
7p 38
8p 37
9p 37
10p 36
11p 36
12a 35
1:00a 34
2a 33
3a 32
4a 32
5a 31
6a 30°
2 likes
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rwfromkansas
- Category 5

- Posts: 2912
- Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
- Location: North Fort Worth
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
I am running about 3 degrees colder than the NWS hourly forecast as well. Now 39.
5 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
It’s gone from 43 to 38 IMBY here in Roanoke (southern Denton County) here in about the last hour.
7 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton23 wrote:HRRR has a near 6 inch snow bullseye south of houston, first run ive seen in which the column is significantly colder , always expect surprises with winter storms….
What??? Where did THAT come from???
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Ralph's Weather
- S2K Supporter

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- Age: 38
- Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
- Location: Lindale, TX
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Lots of instability over Deep East Texas tomorrow night. Could be some legit storms in the sub freezing air down there.
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Ralph's Weather
- S2K Supporter

- Posts: 3344
- Age: 38
- Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
- Location: Lindale, TX
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Freeze line is Abilene to Wichita Falls to Ardmore to Henryetta the due east along I-40 across Arkansas. It will approach from the NW and NE tonight. Even though NW DFW already is in mid 30s models show the freeze line slowing its progression as it approaches the DFW core.
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