Texas Winter 2010-2011

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Portastorm
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4521 Postby Portastorm » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:37 am

vbhoutex wrote:
Kelarie wrote:Y'all already probably have this map, but if you don't it is must have. It is a map of the US with weather stations that gives info on temp, wind, etc.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap3.php?map=usa

I didn't have it. GREAT map to have!! Thanks!!!
It is very easy to follow the cold on that map. It appears to me that the cold is advancing faster than originally expected. Would not be surprised if it arrives at least a few to several hours earlier than currently progged. Make sure you get your preparations completed TODAY in all areas of TX.


BTW, that is simply an awesome map, Kelarie! Thanks for the link. Outstanding! 8-)
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4522 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:38 am

[Our forecasters are having some difficulty this morning due to a Magic 8-ball malfunction. When asked if it will snow in Austin this week, the 8-ball is stuck on the "definitely maybe" answer.[/quote]
Portastorm, this is it.[/quote]

What is "it"? I wish I could believe in the Canadian but c'mon txagwxman, you and I both know it is the fourth best scoring model at 5 and 6 days out right now. The Ukie has given the Euro a run for its money and they're basically tied for first.

It's not time yet for me to lace up the kicking shoes even though Lucy is beckoning![/quote]


Time for a new Magic 8 Ball, no?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4523 Postby WacoWx » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:39 am

Heres what I can gather from the last 10 pgs for this upcoming week for Waco: Winter Weather I-20 and points north, with a CHANCE of sleet/freezing rain for me ~noon Tuesday. COLD! Thursday/Friday: Snow up to 2-3 inches points S and E around College Station. Cold!

I can deal with you folks up in DFW getting the winter weather, I'm quite use to it (see Ntxw's old avatar :( ). But when places s and e get snow and Waco doesnt, its kinda like mother nature slapping the snot outta you and then laughing at you. :roll:

(hoping my pessimism appeals to the computer models :wink: )
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#4524 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:39 am

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/bro/rese ... orales.pdf

Also, if you guys want comparisons to the '04 event, read this excellent article by NOAA
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4525 Postby Kelarie » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:40 am

Portastorm wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:
Kelarie wrote:Y'all already probably have this map, but if you don't it is must have. It is a map of the US with weather stations that gives info on temp, wind, etc.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap3.php?map=usa

I didn't have it. GREAT map to have!! Thanks!!!
It is very easy to follow the cold on that map. It appears to me that the cold is advancing faster than originally expected. Would not be surprised if it arrives at least a few to several hours earlier than currently progged. Make sure you get your preparations completed TODAY in all areas of TX.


BTW, that is simply an awesome map, Kelarie! Thanks for the link. Outstanding! 8-)


Glad its working for y'all. Just another little tool in our winter weather chase!
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Re: Re:

#4526 Postby gboudx » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:41 am

txagwxman wrote:Good gosh --- cliffnotes please!


LOL! I would normally post a snippet followed by a link, but jeff's updates are sent via email, so that doesn't work. Here's the cliffnotes version, just for you aggiewxman. ;)

Dangerous winter weather heading for the state of Texas.

Preparations for an extended period of very cold air should be completed today.

Major winter storm to affect W and N TX tonight and Tuesday into the central plains

Winter precipitation possible across the entire TX coast (including S TX) Thursday and Friday.
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#4527 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:42 am

If this is going to be an ice storm, better for the cold air to come in quicker. Even if it is a couple hours earlier and the frozen stuff starts falling before 5 am, that is a huge difference. It would give ISD,s time to cancel school and give the parents a choice of going to work or not. Ice is bad, but if it is going to happen, earlier the better! These models and local forecasts are slowly changing towards more frozen stuff as tonight gets closer. Extreme caution for everyone! :cold: :cold: :cold:
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4528 Postby southerngale » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:43 am

Kelarie wrote:Y'all already probably have this map, but if you don't it is must have. It is a map of the US with weather stations that gives info on temp, wind, etc.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap3.php?map=usa



Bookmarked it... thanks!

College Station elevation - 318 ft
Beaumont/Port Arthur elevation - 16 ft

I had forgotten how low we sit!
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4529 Postby cctxhurricanewatcher » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:44 am

Portastorm wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Canadian has more moisture over Houston Thu/Fri but air aloft appears too "warm" for snow. Euro and GFS are colder (snow) but with less moisture. It's a delicate balance. Looking like coastal sections of Texas may well see a dusting of snow Thu nite/Fri. However, if the GFS/EC are correct, the Portastorm Weather Center may be too far north (inland) for snow, unless the Canadian is correct.


We've always considered the idea of a satellite office on the coast ... perhaps now's the time to open that office in Corpus. :wink:

Our forecasters are having some difficulty this morning due to a Magic 8-ball malfunction. When asked if it will snow in Austin this week, the 8-ball is stuck on the "definitely maybe" answer.



I will gladly operate the Portastorm Corpus Christi office and change my screen name to "CCTXsnowwatcher." I rather be on the watch for snow rather than a tropical storm on any day of the week! :froze:
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#4530 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:48 am

If I am reading Kelaries new maps correctly, the front appears to be in central Kansas.
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Re:

#4531 Postby northtxboy » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:51 am

gpsnowman wrote:If I am reading Kelaries new maps correctly, the front appears to be in central Kansas.

I was thinking more like northren oklahoma
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Re: Re:

#4532 Postby gpsnowman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:55 am

northtxboy wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:If I am reading Kelaries new maps correctly, the front appears to be in central Kansas.

I was thinking more like northren oklahoma

I am sure I read it wrong. Not to far away. I get out of work at 1 a.m. and I am wondering what will be happening when I drive home.
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Re: Re:

#4533 Postby brewskymc » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:00 am

northtxboy wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:If I am reading Kelaries new maps correctly, the front appears to be in central Kansas.

I was thinking more like northren oklahoma


I may be way off... but it appears to me that the true arctic front is currently pushing through northern Colorado/South Nebraska. Maybe some of our more experienced amateurs or our pro mets can help us pinpoint it.
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Re: Re:

#4534 Postby txagwxman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:09 am

brewskymc wrote:
northtxboy wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:If I am reading Kelaries new maps correctly, the front appears to be in central Kansas.

I was thinking more like northren oklahoma


I may be way off... but it appears to me that the true arctic front is currently pushing through northern Colorado/South Nebraska. Maybe some of our more experienced amateurs or our pro mets can help us pinpoint it.

Yes that is the main push.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4535 Postby somethingfunny » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:10 am

TwisterFanatic wrote:
DougNTexas wrote:Oklahoma City is where I am going. If I leave Tyler @ 10am should I be able to drive there in time? Or what would be the latest to leave Tyler?


You should be able to make into OKC fine if you leave at 10am.


You probably already know this but be prepared to stay in OKC for a while.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4536 Postby txagwxman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:12 am

somethingfunny wrote:
TwisterFanatic wrote:
DougNTexas wrote:Oklahoma City is where I am going. If I leave Tyler @ 10am should I be able to drive there in time? Or what would be the latest to leave Tyler?


You should be able to make into OKC fine if you leave at 10am.


You probably already know this but be prepared to stay in OKC for a while.


Why ? You going to be stuck.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4537 Postby natlib » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:17 am

San Angelo Weather forecast is quite interesting......thunderstorms tonight then 3 inches of sleet and snow after midnight.

So I fully expect to wake up to sunny skies in the morning.....and dry cold weather. :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4538 Postby txagwxman » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:17 am

southerngale wrote:
Kelarie wrote:Y'all already probably have this map, but if you don't it is must have. It is a map of the US with weather stations that gives info on temp, wind, etc.

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap3.php?map=usa



Bookmarked it... thanks!

College Station elevation - 318 ft
Beaumont/Port Arthur elevation - 16 ft

I had forgotten how low we sit!

and College Station is in a valley...
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4539 Postby southerngale » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:34 am

You don't see this every day! Yep, this is BROWNSVILLE.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4540 Postby Brandon8181 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:35 am

natlib wrote:San Angelo Weather forecast is quite interesting......thunderstorms tonight then 3 inches of sleet and snow after midnight.

So I fully expect to wake up to sunny skies in the morning.....and dry cold weather. :D


Okay, If San Angelo is forecasting 3 inches ? Why is FW not on board with higher accumulation levels? I know for Grayson Co. I'm forecasting 2-5 inches of sleet, ice, and snow.

I would think that if the stronger part of the storm is to the north of San Angelo that DFW and points north would see more significant accumulations?

Why is FW not mentioning this???

To conservative?
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