Pacific Northwest Weather

[TT-SEA]

Yes... it is a little uncertain. But the models are definitely showing signs of ending this active period.

I am confident that the jet stream will continue to weaken and shift north and the air mass will warm up significantly.

That will be enough to get us back to (or slightly above) normal. That means highs in the 60's. If we get a true ridge like the ECMWF is showing we will definitely be into the 70's away from the water.

Either way... drier and warmer is the direction we are headed after getting soaked this weekend.

[snow_wizzard]

Hmm...There is quite a bit of activity beginning to move into south King County. Could Covington get hit with something good three days in row?

[AnthonyC]

I'm surprised by today's weather...I was expecting warmer/sunnier weather in between systems. But it's currently mostly cloudy and 48F. I guess the trough is taking its time moving east of the cascades. We had some good rainfall this morning with the PSCZ.

This weekend looks like a real soaker...esp. for the middle of April. It would be a typical system if it were the middle of February, but it's fairly powerful for the middle of April.

Snow_Wizzard...I asked TT-SEA about snowfall history because he was online at the time. You were nowhere to be seen.

And I have to agree with TT-SEA...I think another pattern change is right around the corner. I think some are forgetting that it's the middle...almost end of...April. We are transitioning to a drier/warmer period...at least for PNW standards...and you can't get good systems this time of year. I wouldn't be surprised if some places surpassed the 70F mark by the end of next week.

Anthony

[cycloneye]

Hey Guys Time out. Do all of you want this thread to be moved to the US Weatherwatch Forum as winter has gone away or you want it to stay here? Then when winter arrives it moves back to the Winter Forum.And all the moves are without losing any posts as this thread is #2 overall in the active category and in the viewed one.So all of you decide and let me know one decision or another.

[snow_wizzard]

I vote yes for moving the thread.

[W13]

I vote yes for moving the thread.

I also vote yes.

[W13]

Hmm...There is quite a bit of activity beginning to move into south King County. Could Covington get hit with something good three days in row?

We had a steady rain shower move through about 30-45 minutes ago. Also, the winds really picked up during and before the rain, in the 15-25mph range easily.

Currently at 2:50 PM it is 48 F with Mostly Cloudy skies.

[R-Dub]

I also vote yes for moving this thread

[TT-SEA]

I vote yes.

[cycloneye]

Ok the unanimous vote of yes will be implemented.From now until December 21 when winter starts this thread will be at US Weatherforum.Keep it going folks.

[R-Dub]

Currently Mostly Sunny with a temp of 50 degrees at 3:10PM here in the LK Goodwin area.

A very nice day overall, could be a little warmer though!

[TT-SEA]

The 18Z run of the GFS is coming around to reality.

What is reality you ask??

Reality is that we have one more big storm over the weekend and then its the unofficial beginning of the warm season. Next week looks increasingly nice... lots of sun with highs in the 60's by Thursday and Friday.

But after that we could get even warmer... I am thinking now that some places may touch 80 degrees by Sunday (4/24).

Here is the latest GFS for one week from Sunday. Remember... this model is going to flop around until it grasps the concept of a pattern change. The GFS will eventually prove out what I am telling you now.

It will feel like summer soon!!

[andycottle]

Snow wizzard....feel free to keep thoes pics I posted. And feel free to have them as a desk top background. Thanks for the comments BTW.

Justin...thanks for comments! -- Andy

[Guest]

Woah there I don't know if we should wait until December 21st to move this back into the Winter Section... for all we know we could be receiving several inches... or feet of snow in the month of November and the first half of December... I say we move it back on the first of November, that is when winter can really get going...

[krysof]

Now that your thread has been moved, the winter forum will be completely inactive for several months. The winter forum may already starts getting active by September if not late August.

[andrewr]

It's raining pretty hard right now, that's the second time today.

[andycottle]

Andrew....how hard is it raining? Like .25", .50" and hour?
-- Andy

[andycottle]

Viewing the latest GFS runs this afternoon, the weekend is still looking pretty wet, with a cool and showery trough hanging over us for sunday. Could be some really active weather on that day. Early to mid-week next week looks like some nicer and milder weather with dry conditions through the 29, though 12z shows a small trough sliding through here during the middle of next week. However... GEM and ECMWF also agree on the upcoming nicer weather.

-- Andy

[W13]

It's raining pretty hard right now, that's the second time today.

Mostly sunny here.

[andrewr]

It's sunny now here too. But for about 20 minutes or so it was raining pretty good. Unfortunately I have no way of telling the actual inch per hour rate, but it was hard and steady.