Texas Winter 2021-2022

[Yukon Cornelius]

We’re already at 33° up here. Should be below freezing soon.

[cstrunk]

Winter weather advisory for Longview for up to 1/4" of sleet/snow and up to 1/10" freezing rain.

With the reports coming in that the front and freezing lines are moving faster than expected, I wouldn't be surprised if Longview gets bumped to a winter storm warning. But I don't think that will happen until tonight or early tomorrow morning.

[CaptinCrunch]

We’re already at 33° up here. Should be below freezing soon.

Bowie 35
Jacksboro 38
Graham 36
Denton 40
Gainsville 38
Fort Worth 43
DFW Airport 50
Dallas Love Field 51

[ROCK]

Temps are falling faster than forecasted. I wasn’t supposed to make below freezing until closer to evening. Now looking closer to after noon.

Abilene is 35 and I am hour away south sitting at 40 and falling.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

My official forecast in Montgomery County, Tejas, Estados Unidos, Earth now has sleet and freezing rain in it. Late tomorrow afternoon into the evening.

[dhweather]

We had FROPA in Heath about 20 minutes ago, temps dropped about 4 degrees, down to 54

[bubba hotep]

We’re already at 33° up here. Should be below freezing soon.

The Falls will be good place to watch for the next few hours. The 12z HRRR has the temp hold steady for the next few hours before starting to drop around 17z. As wxman57 pointed out, the first push of cold air is pretty shallow and modifying. It looks like the HRRR holds up the Falls until the next push of cold air.

[rwfromkansas]

Just compared the NWS timeline issued this morning to the previous version. Ice timing start similar but goes to sleet a few hours earlier. Extended snow chances longer, starting 9-10 am looks like.

Good trends.

[EnnisTx]

We’re already at 33° up here. Should be below freezing soon.

The Falls will be good place to watch for the next few hours. The 12z HRRR has the temp hold steady for the next few hours before starting to drop around 17z. As wxman57 pointed out, the first push of cold air is pretty shallow and modifying. It looks like the HRRR holds up the Falls until the next push of cold air.

Current conditions at
Wichita Falls, Sheppard Air Force Base (KSPS)
Lat: 33.98°NLon: 98.49°WElev: 1014ft.

Overcast and Breezy

32°F

0°C

Humidity 85%
Wind Speed N 23 G 30 mph
Barometer 30.00 in (1016.1 mb)
Dewpoint 28°F (-2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill 19°F (-7°C)
Last update 2 Feb 7:52 am CST

[EnnisTx]

We’re already at 33° up here. Should be below freezing soon.

Current conditions at
Wichita Falls, Sheppard Air Force Base (KSPS)
Lat: 33.98°NLon: 98.49°WElev: 1014ft.

Looks like you're there!
Overcast and Breezy

32°F

0°C

Humidity 85%
Wind Speed N 23 G 30 mph
Barometer 30.00 in (1016.1 mb)
Dewpoint 28°F (-2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill 19°F (-7°C)
Last update 2 Feb 7:52 am CST

[dhweather]

Cold air, please get here faster! FWD has all of Collin & Rockwall counties getting one quarter to one half inch of ice accumulation.

[CaptinCrunch]

Cold air, please get here faster! FWD has all of Collin & Rockwall counties getting one quarter to one half inch of ice accumulation.

https://i.ibb.co/T4kpx5c/FWD-Ice.jpg

That must mean they think a change to sleet and snow is now more evident for Tarrant and counties NW, while the ice threat is greater Dallas Co eastward.

[Yukon Cornelius]

We’re already at 33° up here. Should be below freezing soon.

Current conditions at
Wichita Falls, Sheppard Air Force Base (KSPS)
Lat: 33.98°NLon: 98.49°WElev: 1014ft.

Looks like you're there!
Overcast and Breezy

32°F

0°C

Humidity 85%
Wind Speed N 23 G 30 mph
Barometer 30.00 in (1016.1 mb)
Dewpoint 28°F (-2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill 19°F (-7°C)
Last update 2 Feb 7:52 am CST

We did it! Now just a waiting game.

[Iceresistance]

12z HRRR gives me 12-15 inches of snow for Pott. County, Tulsa gets 12-14 inches

The Mesoscale Models are showing a possible overperformance for this storm

[Brent]

12z HRRR gives me 12-15 inches of snow for Pott. County, Tulsa gets 12-14 inches

The Mesoscale Models are showing a possible overperformance for this storm

[Iceresistance]

12z HRRR gives me 12-15 inches of snow for Pott. County, Tulsa gets 12-14 inches

The Mesoscale Models are showing a possible overperformance for this storm

I've noticed that the NWS-Forecasts are mostly from the 10:1 Ratio, the 10:1 Ratio on the 12z HRRR shows 6-10 inches for Central & NE Oklahoma, mostly along I-44

[Brent]

12z HRRR gives me 12-15 inches of snow for Pott. County, Tulsa gets 12-14 inches

The Mesoscale Models are showing a possible overperformance for this storm

I've noticed that the NWS-Forecasts are mostly from the 10:1 Ratio, the 10:1 Ratio on the 12z HRRR shows 6-10 inches for Central & NE Oklahoma, mostly along I-44

That's kind of what I was thinking that the ratios will be higher once it gets going because of how cold it will be

[txtwister78]

One thing to note with the 12z Hi-Res incoming is the colder air and subsequently the freezing line is booking it further south and as a result putting more freezing rain into SC TX including SA metro. This could also have implications as mentioned for DFW where the initial wave is freezing rain (which globals sort of passed at), then significant sleet and some snow particularly across FW. Not all models show this but it's clear to me the Hi-Res are much colder quicker and in terms of depth further north. Interesting trend to watch today.

[cheezyWXguy]

WRF-ARW2 looks to have the most accurate location of the freezing line as of 9am. Make of that what you will…

[EnnisTx]

We’re already at 33° up here. Should be below freezing soon.

Current conditions at
Wichita Falls, Sheppard Air Force Base (KSPS)
Lat: 33.98°NLon: 98.49°WElev: 1014ft.

Looks like you're there!
Overcast and Breezy

32°F

0°C

Humidity 85%
Wind Speed N 23 G 30 mph
Barometer 30.00 in (1016.1 mb)
Dewpoint 28°F (-2°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill 19°F (-7°C)
Last update 2 Feb 7:52 am CST

We did it! Now just a waiting game.[/quCurrent conditions at
Wichita Falls, Sheppard Air Force Base (KSPS)
Lat: 33.98°NLon: 98.49°WElev: 1014ft.


Seems as though there's no modifying going on in the Falls
Overcast and Breezy

31°F

-1°C

Humidity 82%
Wind Speed N 23 G 30 mph
Barometer 30.05 in (1017.5 mb)
Dewpoint 26°F (-3°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill 18°F (-8°C)
Last update 2 Feb 8:52 am CST
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