Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[CYCLONE MIKE]

0z gfs showing 1.5in or more of accumulated precip for se LA is just insane. I sure as hell hope tomorrows runs show a quicker change over with more snow or this will be really bad, more like potentially catastrophic. With the last storm we had about .15-.20in of ice that shut the city down.

[BigB0882]

I am hoping it ends up more than just 0-2 inches in Baton Rouge. The QPF will be there but the NAM has a really big warm nose at 850 mb. I hope they are over doing it. The GFS is running, has anyone been able to look at its soundings?

[bella_may]

84hrs?

That's the snow expected from the NAM through 84 hours, the entire run.

Either way I'll take 2 inches! Think that's enough to build a snowman lol

[SunnyThoughts]

Local station saying about half inch ice/fr then between 1 and 4 inches of snow on top of it. Stressing really strong the fact of power outages if we get that much ice. To make plans NOW on how you plan on staying warm...because the power could be out for quite some time.

[jenmrk]

What channel did you hear that on? I did not watch the news this eve.

[SunnyThoughts]

What channel did you hear that on? I did not watch the news this eve.

Was on wkrg channel 5 but was showing forecast for all along the gulf coast.

[jenmrk]

What channel did you hear that on? I did not watch the news this eve.

Was on wkrg channel 5 but was showing forecast for all along the gulf coast.

Thank you, will check out WKRG website.

[Jag95]

As much as I would love to see some snow, I'm also ready for some warm weather. So, let's get some snow. Then I can look forward to the upper 60s next weekend.

[bella_may]

Yes local news just showed 2-4 inches all the way down to the immediate coast. So I guess the snow depth graph isn't as far off as we think.

[Brent]

This is crazy up this way too except it's likely all snow: I'm near that 6" band at the AL/GA line. Last night I wasn't getting a flake, huge shifts today. My biggest snow since 2000 is 3 1/2"

[cycloneye]

06z NAM.

24 hours.



36 hours.



48 hours.



72 hours.

[cycloneye]

06z GFS.

24 hours.



36 hours.



48 hours.



72 hours.

[seahawkjd]

So there's a second low thats throwing snow onto the east coast Wednesday night and later?

[windnrain]

Well, Baton Rouge just lost .5" of precip on that run.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
625 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2014

...Winter Storm Watch in Effect From Tuesday Evening Through Early
Wednesday Afternoon for Much of Southwest Georgia...Southeast
Alabama...and Portions of the Florida Panhandle...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...
A weak low pressure disturbance will pass through the region today,
and despite plenty of cloud cover and chances for mainly light rain
(ranging from 20 percent across almost the entire eastern half of
the CWA to up to 50 percent over the extreme western portions of the
region this afternoon), a rare warm day for this January is expected
across the area. However, because of the expected cloud cover, stuck
very close to our local CAM guidance, and did trim it back about a
degree or so for high temperatures. Therefore, although much of the
FL Big Bend and the Valdosta area in GA may approach the 70 degree
mark when all is said and done, Max temps over SE AL may be very
similar to what they were yesterday.


.Short Term [Tonight Through Wednesday night]...
The Arctic cold front will have pushed south and east of our CWA by
tonight. This front is forecast to stall across the central Gulf of
Mexico and South Florida on Tuesday with a weak frontal wave
develops and translates east-northeastward along the boundary. A
very broad upper level trough will cover most of the CONUS and
continue to amplify through the period. Deep layer moisture and
large scale ascent will stretch from southern Texas eastward along
the gulf coastal states Tuesday into early Wednesday. Much drier air
will begin to filter into the region late Wednesday as the upper
trough further amplifies and surface high pressure builds down from
the north. Short term models are still in pretty good agreement
showing a prolonged period of precipitation across the CWA and PoPs
have been adjusted up accordingly. The difficulty in this forecast
continues to be forecasting the non-liquid precip with very cold
temperatures in the boundary layer. Specifically, what form,
locations and amounts. Although model trends for temperatures have
edged up slightly, our forecast grids still support a wintry mix of
precipitation over portions of our FA for the Tuesday night and
Wednesday time frame. Also during this period, HPC has backed off
quite a bit on QPF amounts but we will use a model blend for QPF
which still shows amounts to support the Winter Storm Watch that we
have in place. Thus, we just made minor cosmetic adjustments to the
previous forecast package leaving the current outline of the Winter
Storm Watch untouched. This means we should see a gradual changeover
(from northwest to southeast Tuesday Night through Wednesday
Morning) from cold rain, to freezing rain, to sleet, to finally
snow. Places north of a line from Panama City to Tifton stand the
best chance of accumulating snow/sleet, though a dusting is still
possible farther south and east. The disconcerting part of the
forecast is the potential for significant ice accumulations. Much of
our forecast area could get between 0.05 and 0.25", with isolated
higher amounts. In a part of the country with very little
infrastructure to handle extreme cold and freezing/frozen
precipitation, this could have as much of an impact as a tropical
cyclone...perhaps more. Downed power lines & large tree limbs would
undoubtedly result in widespread power outages and impassable roads.
Those who lack properly winterized shelter and true cold weather
clothing risk hypothermia.

[BigB0882]

Well, Baton Rouge just lost .5" of precip on that run.

Yeah. What do the ensembles look like? The operational has often been drier than it's ensembles. The NAM still looks good.

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
619 AM CST MON JAN 27 2014

.SHORT TERM [TODAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING]...TODAY A
VORT LOBE SWINGS AROUND THE BASE OF AN UPPER LOW NEAR HUDSON
BAY...PUSHING A STRONG FRONT ACROSS THE LAND PORTION OF THE FA TO
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BY SUNRISE TUESDAY. MORE UPPER ENERGY SWINGS
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE PLAINS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...PROVIDING THE
DYNAMICS FOR THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIP LATER TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AS
TODAY PROGRESSES...AM NOT EXPECTING MUCH OUT OF THE ORDINARY...
RAIN...WITH STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE MARINE PORTION OF THE FA.
THE GFS IS THE DRIEST/QUICKEST WITH THE FRONT/PRECIP MOVING SOUTH
ACROSS THE FA...WHILE THE ECMWF IS THE MOST EXPANSIVE WITH THE PRECIP
COVERAGE. HIGHEST POPS LOOK TO BE CLOSER TO THE COAST...WHERE A BIT
BETTER ISENTROPIC COMPONENT MIXES IN WITH THE PRECIP GENERATION. HAVE
LEANED TOWARDS THE WETTER NAM AND ECMWF FOR TODAY`S FORECAST.

TONIGHT IS WHERE THE FORECAST GETS INTERESTING. THE FRONT
SLOWS...BUT NOT THE ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE COMPONENT...ESPECIALLY WITH
GUIDANCE ADVERTISING THE NEXT ROUND OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY COMING INTO
PLAY. GUIDANCE SOUNDING ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT IN A DEEP NOSE OF
WARM MOIST AIR OVERRIDING THE COLD DRIER AIR MOVING OVER THE FA
TONIGHT. THE NAM IS THE MOISTEST...THUS THE WETTEST TONIGHT WITH THE
POPS. THE GFS IS THE DRIEST. LOOKING AT SOUNDINGS...BY 12Z
TUESDAY...ALL THE GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING A SATURATED
COLUMN...ENTIRELY AT OR BELOW FREEZING. FOR THE SAME TIME...AT
KDTS...THE ECMWF AND NAM ARE PRETTY MUCH SATURATED IN THE LOWEST
8-10K` OF THE ATMOSPHERE...BUT ALSO GENERALLY ABOVE FREEZING. THE
GFS HASN`T QUITE MOISTENED THE LOWEST 3-4K` ABOVE THE SURFACE...YET.
ALSO...THERE IS A SLIGHT NORTHWARD SPREAD OF THE PRECIP SHIELD AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS THE NEXT DYNAMICS APPROACH.

FOR THE FORECAST TONIGHT...AM EXPECTING FZRA/IP TO START APPEARING
AT THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIP SHIELD...N OF HIGHWAY 84. CLOSER
TO SUNRISE...AS THE COLDER AIR PUSHES SOUTH...THE LEADING EDGE OF
FREEZING/FROZEN PRECIP PUSHES FARTHER SOUTH..ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN
SECTIONS OF THE FA. AS ONE GOES NORTH FROM THE COAST...ALL RAIN
STARTS TO SEE FZRA MIX IN ALONG THE I65 CORRIDOR....THEN IP MIX IN
AS THE WARM AIR ABOVE THE COLD AIR COOLS OFF AND ALLOWS MORE TIME
FOR RE-FREEZING OF MELTING PRECIP...THEN SNOW OVER NORTHWESTERN-MOST
SECTIONS OF THE FA. FEEL ANY FREEZING/FROZEN ACCUMULATION LATER
TONIGHT UP UNTIL SUNRISE WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE. /16

A CHALLENGING FORECAST CONTINUES FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...AS A
POTENTIAL WINTER STORM WITH A VARIETY OF PRECIPITATION TYPES AND
TRANSITIONS IS SET TO IMPACT MUCH OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION. THE 00Z SUITE OF MODEL SOLUTIONS...INCLUDING THE WRF/GFS/
CMC AND ECMWF ARE ALL IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH SPREADING ABUNDANT
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE EASTWARD ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE
DAY TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROF PUSHING ACROSS THE MIDWESTERN
STATES AND ON THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF A POTENT 120-140 KNOT UPPER
JET PUSHING ACROSS THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEY REGIONS AND TOWARD
THE EAST COAST. SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT WITHIN THIS REGION WILL RESULT IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO
ADVECT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE DAY AS ARCTIC
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE TENNESSEE AND MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
REGIONS.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING
ACROSS MOST INLAND AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST TUESDAY AS COLD
ADVECTION CONTINUES AND SKIES REMAIN OVERCAST. THE COLD TEMPERATURES
WILL BRING A LIKELIHOOD OF A WINTRY MESS ACROSS MOST OF OUR AREA
THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY AFTER REVIEWING A VARIETY OF FORECAST
SOUNDINGS FROM THE VARIOUS SOLUTIONS OVER DIFFERENT POINTS IN OUR
FORECAST AREA. THE NAM AND GFS SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A
SIGNIFICANT WARM LAYER...WITH TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 2 AND 5 C BETWEEN
925 AND 750 MB OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA TUESDAY...WHILE
TEMPERATURES QUICKLY COOL TO NEAR TO BELOW FREEZING CLOSE TO THE
SURFACE. THIS SCENARIO WILL LEND TO THE POTENTIAL OF PRECIPITATION IN
THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN AND PERHAPS SOME SLEET DURING THE DAY
ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA...WHILE SOUNDINGS SUPPORT MORE
OF A SLEET/SNOW MIX OVER INTERIOR NORTHERN/NORTHWESTERN AREAS. PRECIP
MAY REMAIN MAINLY RAIN NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST TUESDAY.

WE HAVE CONTINUED TO TREND PRECIP TYPE GRIDS FAIRLY CLOSE TO A BLEND
OF FORECAST SOUNDINGS...WHICH ALSO LINES UP WELL WITH THE 03Z SREF
PTYPE SOLUTION. MID LEVEL COOLING GRADUALLY SHIFTS SOUTHWARD TUESDAY
EVENING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING
RAIN/SLEET/SNOW POSSIBLE ALL THE WAY TOWARD THE COAST...WHILE
PRECIPITATION MAY TRANSITION MORE FROM SLEET THEN TO SNOW OVER
INTERIOR AREAS. THERE STILL REMAINS MUCH UNCERTAINTY ON TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF THE COLDER MID LEVEL AIR...WHILE THERE WILL ALSO BE ROOM
FOR SOME WET BULBING TO OCCUR...WHICH COULD OCCUR TO A QUICKER
TRANSITION TO SNOW...AS EVIDENCED BY SOME OF THE SOUNDINGS...SO THE
LATEST FORECAST WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTED OVER THE NEXT FEW FORECAST
CYCLES. FOR NOW...WE SEE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS
BETWEEN ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH...PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF A
RICHTON...MONROEVILLE...ANDALUSIA LINE...AND NORTH OF THE IMMEDIATE
COAST. A STORM TOTAL SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATION BETWEEN 1 AND 3
INCHES COULD ALSO BE OF IMPACT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION BEFORE
PRECIPITATION ENDS. IF PRECIP IS MORE FREEZING RAIN THAN SNOW/SLEET...
POWER OUTAGES AND DOWNED TREES COULD POSE A PROBLEM OVER SOME AREAS.
TRAVEL SHOULD OTHERWISE DETERIORATE OVER THE REGION TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE LOWER THAN AVERAGE CONFIDENCE...KEPT THE
WINTER STORM WATCH INTACT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. ALSO ISSUED A HARD
FREEZE WATCH FOR NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA...WHERE TEMPS
COULD FALL BELOW 20 DEGREES. /21

[Lane]

000
FXUS64 KBMX 271216 CCA
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
616 AM CST MON JAN 27 2014

.UPDATE...
AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SO MUCH TO DISCUSS WITH SO LITTLE TIME...SO I`LL DO MY BEST TO COVER
ALL THE SPECIFICS REGARDING THE WINTER WEATHER SITUATION. THIS
FORECAST PACKAGE WILL THEREFORE ONLY COVER THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
SPECIFICS ARE BECOMING MORE CLEAR CUT THIS MORNING IN TERMS OF THE
POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER STORM ACROSS AREAS OF THE STATE THAT AREN`T
USED TO SEEING MUCH OF THE WHITE STUFF.

FIRST...LET`S GET TO WHAT`S GOING ON RIGHT NOW THIS MORNING. THE
ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS ABSOLUTELY HAULING IT SOUTHWARD...AND IS NOW
ENTERING NORTHERN PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI. THE FRONT WILL ENTER OUR
NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA HERE SHORTLY. MEANWHILE...SHOWERS
HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES WHERE MORE MOISTURE IS
AVAILABLE OUT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AS THE FRONT PLOWS SOUTHWARD. WINDS BEHIND THE
FRONT WILL BE SCREAMING FROM THE NORTH...AND WE`LL HAVE TO WATCH OUT
FOR WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA BEING MET. WINDS HAVE PREVAILED FROM
15-20 KNOTS WITH PEAK WINDS ABOVE 30 KNOTS FOR SEVERAL OBSERVATION
SITES UPSTREAM.

THE COLD AIR WILL POUR SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY...AND
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP FOR MANY LOCATIONS. ONLY THE FAR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES COULD BE ALLOWED TO RISE INTO THE 50S FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME AROUND NOON. COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL DROP TEMPERATURES INTO THE
TEENS ACROSS THE NORTH...TO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES. THE STAGE WILL THEN BE SET FOR WHAT LOOKS LIKE A
SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FOR MANY LOCATIONS ALONG THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTHERN
GEORGIA.

AT THE ONSET OF THE EVENT TUESDAY MORNING...WE`LL HAVE TO CLOSELY
WATCH THE RADAR RETURNS THAT WILL BE SETTING UP TO OUR WEST AND
SOUTHWEST AS THE OVERRUNNING PRECIP BEGINS TO DEVELOP. MODEL
GUIDANCE USUALLY HAS A TOUGH TIME RESOLVING OVERRUNNING PRECIP
SITUATIONS...AND WE`VE ALREADY WITNESSED THAT QUITE A FEW TIMES OVER
THE PAST SEVERAL MONTHS. WITH THIS IN MIND AND A WETTER LOOK TO THE
SUITE OF GUIDANCE...I`VE DECIDED TO INCREASE POPS FURTHER NORTHWARD
TO INCLUDE CHANCE POPS AS FAR NORTH AS THE I-59 CORRIDOR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A GOOD BUFFER ZONE
BETWEEN THE HIGHEST QPF AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH AND THE POSSIBILITY OF
PRECIP MOVING A BIT FARTHER NORTH THAN GUIDANCE IS INDICATING.

CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED THIS MORNING WITH THE LATEST SUITE OF
GUIDANCE IN TERMS OF WHICH LOCATIONS WILL BE IMPACTED THE
MOST...WHICH REMAINS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE U.S. 80/I-85 CORRIDORS.
OF COURSE...IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT WHERE THE GREATEST
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL IN FACT SET UP UNTIL THE EVENT IS
ONGOING...BUT WE CURRENTLY ARE LOOKING AT THE POTENTIAL FOR A
CORRIDOR OF AT LEAST 3 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES.
COMBING THROUGH THE MODEL SOUNDINGS AND SOUNDINGS THROUGH BUFKIT
THIS MORNING...WE CAN`T RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A MIXED BAG OF
PRECIP ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES
(PIKE,BARBOUR,BULLOCK,RUSSELL) JUST BEFORE NOON AND LASTING THROUGH
THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS TUESDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS PRESENTING A
WARM NOSE DEVELOPING IN THE SOUNDINGS ALOFT DUE TO WARMER AIR BEING
ADVECTED NORTHWARD FROM A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW ALONG THE COLD
FRONT IN THE NORTHERN GULF. GUIDANCE IS ALSO HINTING AT TEMPS RISING
ABOVE FREEZING IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS
WELL. I`M NOT SURE IF I BUY THAT SOLUTION YET...AS COLD AIR
ADVECTION AT THE SURFACE WILL STILL BE IN FULL FORCE. ALSO...WITH
PRECIP FALLING THROUGH THE COLUMN IT APPEARS IT WILL BE VERY
DIFFICULT TO SEE TEMPERATURES RISE MUCH AT ALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
THEREFORE...WE`LL HAVE TO CLOSELY WATCH FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A
BRIEF WINDOW OF FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET FOR LOCATIONS SUCH AS
TROY...EUFAULA...UNION SPRINGS...AND PHENIX CITY. SOUNDINGS INDICATE
A CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY.

NEEDLESS TO SAY...IF WE DO ACHIEVE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF OVER 3
INCHES ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE U.S. 80/I-85 CORRIDORS WE WILL
LIKELY HAVE SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL IMPACTS. WE HIGHLY ENCOURAGE EVERYONE
TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE SITUATION THROUGH THE DAY TODAY BEFORE
YOU MAKE YOUR TRAVEL PLANS...AS ROADWAYS WILL COULD BECOME VERY
TREACHEROUS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING WHEN MOST OF THE SNOW WILL BE FALLING. KEEP A
CLOSE EYE ON OUR HOMEPAGE FOR THE MOST UP TO DATE INFO AND ALSO MAKE
SURE YOU VISIT ALDOT`S WEBPAGE FOR ROAD CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS
WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

SO...THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT WE WILL LIKELY SEE ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM DEMOPOLIS...TO
CLANTON...TO WEDOWEE. THIS IS ROUGHLY RIGHT ALONG THE SAME AREAS
THAT WE HAVE OUR WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS STILL ON TRACK AT
THIS TIME. WE WILL REFINE THE AREAS OF GREATEST IMPACT DURING THE
DAY SHIFT TODAY AND ISSUE THE APPROPRIATE WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES BY THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY...THE
BIRMINGHAM METRO AREA AND AREAS ALONG THE I-20/59 CORRIDORS LOOK TO
ONLY ACHIEVE A DUSTING OF SNOW AND THAT`S IF WE CAN GET MORE
OVERRUNNING TO OCCUR THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY ADVERTISED AND GET THE
PRECIP TO FALL THROUGH THE EVER INCREASING DRY AIR COMING IN FROM
THE NORTH. MOST OF THE REMAINING MOISTURE WILL PULL OFF TO OUR EAST
BY 7AM WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND ONLY A FEW FLURRIES COULD POSSIBLY
REMAIN ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES ENDING BY MIDDAY. VERY
COLD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 30S WILL EXIST AREAWIDE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. LOWS THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE QUITE
FRIGID...AND LOWER TEENS WILL BE LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20. IF
THERE IS A GOOD LAYER OF SNOW ON THE GROUND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES...TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE LOWER THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY
FORECAST DUE TO THE COOLING EFFECTS OF A SNOWPACK. YET ANOTHER HARD
FREEZE WILL BE LIKELY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE TEMPS FINALLY RISE
INTO THE 40S THURSDAY AFTERNOON...SO THE SNOW LOOKS TO BE AROUND FOR
A WHILE FOR LOCATIONS THAT ARE ABLE TO SEE ACCUMULATIONS.

[bella_may]

@JimCantore: Confidence grows on HIGH IMPACT SOUTHERN SNOW/ICE event along I-10,20,16,75,85 & 95. At >36 hours out forecast details can still be tricky.

[Syx6sic]

Wow here in norfolk they are saying from a dusting to over a foot they just not sure how much just yet