Texas Winter 2010-2011

[kb75007]

Is it possible for the arctic air and freezing temps to get here quicker than we thought and make the storm even worse?

[Ntxw]

I am not even in the WSW ,,,,can you beleave that crap!!!

Had your 8 inches earlier in Jan. Time to share the wealth to the west side

[DonWrk]

I say before 10pm we all give our best guesses for snowfall accumulations.

Sounds like a plan. That front is plunging down pretty good. In just 5 minutes a lot of places in northern Oklahoma dropped 2 degrees. My map updates every 5 minutes it's pretty cool to watch.

[LearnedHat]

Is it possible for the arctic air and freezing temps to get here quicker than we thought and make the storm even worse?

That's been the discussion but I've found that "a watched front never progresses"

[kb75007]

I say before 10pm we all give our best guesses for snowfall accumulations.

Sounds like a plan. That front is plunging down pretty good. In just 5 minutes a lot of places in northern Oklahoma dropped 2 degrees. My map updates every 5 minutes it's pretty cool to watch.

Which map do you use? Or what is a good one to use?

[northtxboy]

All I have to say is YOU WANT SNOW YOU GOT SNOW ..

I guess it was around Friday/Saturday time frame, when all the models backed off I was literally about to flip a coin.. Although I never "officially" changed my forecast - its interesting to see where we are now.

I am not even in the WSW ,,,,can you beleave that crap!!!

Dude, I'm not in anything!

I guess its just the roll of the dice,,,,I have slaved over these models for over a week and nothing

[Ntxw]

I say before 10pm we all give our best guesses for snowfall accumulations.

Sounds like a plan. That front is plunging down pretty good. In just 5 minutes a lot of places in northern Oklahoma dropped 2 degrees. My map updates every 5 minutes it's pretty cool to watch.

Which map do you use? Or what is a good one to use?

EWG posted the Oklahoma mesonet. It's movin.

http://www.mesonet.org/

[Turtle]

Currently raining and 60f. In about 20 hours it'll be 30f and raining!

Anyways NWS updated my forecast a bit:

Tuesday...Showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then showers early in the afternoon. Chance of light snow or light sleet in the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may be severe. Locally heavy rainfall possible in the morning. Snow amounts up to 1 inch. Cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Temperatures falling into the upper 20s in the afternoon. South winds 10 to 20 mph becoming northwest around 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

Only 30 MPH. Was 45 earlier.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

18z GFS about 1" of snow IAH on Friday...but given the history (aka 2004), I would suspect more with this pattern. Who knows really, still 4 days out.

I agree, not sure how the gulf, or its water temp will effect the moisture of the low. Also, will areas just south and west of the city receive more snow like in 2004? How will the bands form and which direction will they be moving. Its hard for to tell just by looking at the precip amounts. Im getting excited.

[DonWrk]

Which map do you use? Or what is a good one to use?

I'm looking at this http://www.mesonet.org/index.php/weathe ... emperature

It was posted on here earlier.

[Brandon8181]

I am not even in the WSW ,,,,can you beleave that crap!!!

Had your 8 inches earlier in Jan. Time to share the wealth to the west side

ohh..and northtxboy is livid lol

[SouthernMet]

If you want a good idea of where the front is, its droped from 62 to 33 in Lubbock, droped to 30 at Hale County Airport, and 33 in Childress. The brunt is from Enid OK, to Lubbock TX. The leading edge, where winds have picked up and temps are falling to 30's/40's is from OKC to Lawton OK to nw of Synder TX..

[newtotex]

What are the odds of UNT canceling classes tmrw!?

[johnbasham]

HERE IS OUR LATEST "BEST GUESS" TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS FORECAST MAP. THIS FORECAST DOES NOT INCLUDE SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN WHICH COULD ADD BETWEEN 1/2 AND 1 INCH OF ADDITIONAL ICE. I ALSO THINK WE WILL BE INCREASING THESE TOTALS IF THE RUC TRENDS CONTINUE TO HOLD.

[txagwxman]

What are the odds of UNT canceling classes tmrw!?

HIGH!

[downsouthman1]

Not to be overlooked. It looks like we may have to worry about some strong-severe storms in the front side of this thing. Like around San Angelo to Abilene to DFW & points South & East.

Not an official forecast! Just going by current radar trends.

[LearnedHat]

What is the thought on the eastward movement for this thing - it's going to be iffy if we have to rely on just north to south advance. It seems some eastward sliding might get it here a little quicker.

[Ntxw]

Arctic boundary is leading edge of the red line. Between Vernon and Wichita falls. 40 and 48 respectively.

[pwrdog]

Wichita Falls winds north at 22 gusting to 33 mph... It's creeping east..


It's flying down the Texas Plains as well..

As of 5:20 pm..

Snyder Texas North at 28 gust to 35mph..Temp 44.... Just south, Paint creek Texas ssw a 12 gust to 22mph... Temp 77...


The clash of the air masses..


It's into Big Springs..... 5:28 pm NNE at 25 gust to 38mph

[utweather]

If you want a good idea of where the front is, its droped from 62 to 33 in Lubbock, droped to 30 at Hale County Airport, and 33 in Childress. The brunt is from Enid OK, to Lubbock TX. The leading edge, where winds have picked up and temps are falling to 30's/40's is from OKC to Lawton OK to nw of Synder TX..

Plunging south, like a blob with a nose towards the Mexican border. Going through the front door of the Concho Valley, looks like it may hit the Edwards Plateau before Midnight? Wow! Not sure about eastward prgresssion yet and the depth of the leading edge to get to freezing in those areas. Pressures are still much higher farther north, but really that initial surge is going north to south like a river bed during a flash flood.