Texas Winter 2010-2011

kb75007 · #4821 Postby **kb75007** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 7:52 pm

Its only going to get worse tomorrow so hopefully the schools cancel before the worst temps and precip get here

#4822 Postby **HockeyTx82** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:10 pm

Weather Breifing out of Fort Worth.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/media/fwd/013111_pm/player.html

#4823 Postby **South Texas Storms** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:14 pm

Will the 00z NAM tonight go out far enough to show the possible South Texas snow on Thursday night?

iorange55 · #4824 Postby **iorange55** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:15 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:Weather Breifing out of Fort Worth.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/media/fwd/013111_pm/player.html

Lol why do they have fort worth and dallas under a warning if they think we'll get a trace to an inch of snow and sleet?

#4825 Postby **txagwxman** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:19 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:Will the 00z NAM tonight go out far enough to show the possible South Texas snow on Thursday night?

NAM probably won't have that much precip with it...what we need is a stronger low, and warm air advection aloft...so look at the winds at 850 mb.

#4826 Postby **txagwxman** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:19 pm

iorange55 wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:Weather Breifing out of Fort Worth.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/media/fwd/013111_pm/player.html

Lol why do they have fort worth and dallas under a warning if they think we'll get a trace to an inch of snow and sleet?

ICCCCCCCCCCCCEEEEEEEE.

#4827 Postby **ColdFusion** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:20 pm

iorange55 wrote:Lol why do they have fort worth and dallas under a warning if they think we'll get a trace to an inch of snow and sleet?

Wow really! Is that all they are expecting! Well obviously that won't be much of an event for most of us DFW's. As the pro and am-mets on this board trend in one direction, the NWS trends in the other!

iorange55 · #4828 Postby **iorange55** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:22 pm

txagwxman wrote:ICCCCCCCCCCCCEEEEEEEE.

Hm I see, They didn't really specify that in their briefing. I think they did put that in the text warning portion, though. I hope our winter weather comes from mostly snow! I'll be antsy tonight.

kb75007 · #4829 Postby **kb75007** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:23 pm

Im curious to when the freezing temps are going to get here..

#4830 Postby **ColdFusion** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:24 pm

kb75007 wrote:Im curious to when the freezing temps are going to get here..

Aren't we all....

iorange55 · #4831 Postby **iorange55** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:25 pm

kb75007 wrote:Im curious to when the freezing temps are going to get here..

Between 3-5am for the Metroplex. Don't bet a bunch of money on it though. The freezing temps were never supposed to come before midnight.

#4832 Postby **South Texas Storms** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:25 pm

txagwxman wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:Will the 00z NAM tonight go out far enough to show the possible South Texas snow on Thursday night?

NAM probably won't have that much precip with it...what we need is a stronger low, and warm air advection aloft...so look at the winds at 850 mb.

Why do you think the NAM won't have much precip with it? And could I also look for a stronger low in the 500mb vorticity?

#4833 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:32 pm

iorange55 wrote:
kb75007 wrote:Im curious to when the freezing temps are going to get here..

Between 3-5am for the Metroplex. Don't bet a bunch of money on it though. The freezing temps were never supposed to come before midnight.

this is my guess as well, front is futher south than models show. Freeze line will be across FTW by 2-3am

#4834 Postby **HockeyTx82** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:37 pm

So are we waiting for a model run or something to happen? I need to run and eat.

cheezyWXguy · #4835 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:39 pm

so whos got an updating temp map for texas? Itd be great to be able to track the front as it moves through the state

downsouthman1 · #4836 Postby **downsouthman1** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:39 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:So are we waiting for a model run or something to happen? I need to run and eat.

0Z NAM, but at this point, we're getting close to transitioning from model watching to enjoying the event, however major or insignificant that may be.

#4837 Postby **johnbasham** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:40 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:
iorange55 wrote:
kb75007 wrote:Im curious to when the freezing temps are going to get here..

Between 3-5am for the Metroplex. Don't bet a bunch of money on it though. The freezing temps were never supposed to come before midnight.

this is my guess as well, front is futher south than models show. Freeze line will be across FTW by 2-3am

Latest RUC has Fort Worth at 24F by 6am

downsouthman1 · #4838 Postby **downsouthman1** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:40 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:so whos got an updating temp map for texas? Itd be great to be able to track the front as it moves through the state

Someone posted this earlier today; very helpful: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/mwmap2.php?map=zfw.

iorange55 · #4839 Postby **iorange55** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:40 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:So are we waiting for a model run or something to happen? I need to run and eat.

I'm waiting on the NAM. Really though it's all about watching everything unfold which won't happen till after midnight. I'm planning an all nighter because if I fall asleep there is no way I'm waking up at 5.

#4840 Postby **gboudx** » Mon Jan 31, 2011 8:41 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:So are we waiting for a model run or something to happen? I need to run and eat.

How far will you run?

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