Texas Winter 2020-2021

[Ralph's Weather]

Is there a website that shows the ensembles for the other models like College of Dupage does for GEFS? I'd like to see the ensemble members outputs for the CMC, ICON, etc.

Weather.us has the Euro ensembles

[cstrunk]

Stubborn temperatures in ETX.

At 1 PM:

Longview 34F
Gilmer 31F
Tyler 30F
Mount Pleasant 32F

The original forecasted high of 40F has been revised to 38F, which I still think is too high.

[Iceresistance]

Hey guys 10 year lurker, I’m in Pottsboro tx north of Sherman/Denison. Sitting at about 26 degree right now, we are around 61 hours below freezing so far and not even close to being done lol

Welcome to the Team!

[gpsnowman]

Hi All - need some advice. I am in Houston looking to drive to Dallas Friday morning/early afternoon and return to Houston early Sunday. It seems Houston and Dallas roads may be OK (I know there's still uncertainties) , but I am concerned with the areas in between on i-45. With what you all are seeing right now, do you think it's possible to make this trip? Any advice is appreciated!

I don't about down in Houston but the weather in DFW on Friday should be dry. Looks like a small chance for a winter mix on Saturday and then the snow on Sunday will start after morning as of now. Always risky with temps this cold because any wet spot could freeze up. Not recommending one way or the other!!

[Ralph's Weather]

Stubborn temperatures in ETX.

At 1 PM:

Longview 34F
Gilmer 31F
Tyler 30F
Mount Pleasant 32F

The original forecasted high of 40F has been revised to 38F, which I still think is too high.

That band of heavier precip is moving into southern Smith Co.

[DW5522]

Hey guys 10 year lurker, I’m in Pottsboro tx north of Sherman/Denison. Sitting at about 26 degree right now, we are around 61 hours below freezing so far and not even close to being done lol

Welcome to the Team!

Thanks man

[WinterMax]

Is there a website that shows the ensembles for the other models like College of Dupage does for GEFS? I'd like to see the ensemble members outputs for the CMC, ICON, etc.

Weather.us has the Euro ensembles

Ralph, looks like some snow developing in Henderson, at least on Radar.

[bubba hotep]

12z EPS strongly supports the op run of crazy times next week.

[Iceresistance]

12z EPS strongly supports the op run of crazy times next week.

https://i.ibb.co/M6mBjLG/IMG-20210211-135154.jpg

What is the Kuchera Ratio looking like? It's likely up to 14 inches in Central Oklahoma, the Snowfall Ratios are between 15:1 & 17.5:1 there.

[G'TownGirl]

I sure was hoping to be above freezing by now.... bouncing between 28 and 29 degrees. Would like the ice in the trees to melt.

[bubba hotep]

18z HRRR shows and extended period of on & off freezing rain/drizzle starting this evening and running into Saturday for the I-35 corridor.

[orangeblood]

12z EPS strongly supports the op run of crazy times next week.

https://i.ibb.co/M6mBjLG/IMG-20210211-135154.jpg

A further south shift, like the EPS suite is doing compared to GEFS, makes more sense given the Arctic HP location across the central US

[Iceresistance]

Still snowing outside, 19°F

[rwfromkansas]

Starting to see water freeze over in shallow areas like ditches. Temp still 28. Still don't see it getting past 29 in my part of DFW, which will be another bust low.

[gpsnowman]

18z HRRR shows and extended period of on & off freezing rain/drizzle starting this evening and running into Saturday for the I-35 corridor.

Damn I was hoping we were done with this form of winter weather, I have to go back to work tomorrow. Last thing we need is a repeat of this morning.

[captainbarbossa19]

Euro is too warm for today. It showed the temperature being around 50, but the actual temperature is around 45 at my location. Looks like it's about 5 degrees too warm in most locations.

[WacoWx]

Is that an outflow boundary moving north towards DFW from that cluster of storms down by Waco?

I'm watching this too. Such an amazing thing to see in below freezing temps.

[bubba hotep]

18z HRRR shows and extended period of on & off freezing rain/drizzle starting this evening and running into Saturday for the I-35 corridor.

Damn I was hoping we were done with this form of winter weather, I have to go back to work tomorrow. Last thing we need is a repeat of this morning.

It's not showing significant accumulation but the accident in DFW this morning shows how little qpf it takes to cause issues.

[rwfromkansas]

Could the outflow boundary increase moisture? Looks like Waco got over .50. Yikes, that's bad.

[Texas Snow]

18z HRRR shows and extended period of on & off freezing rain/drizzle starting this evening and running into Saturday for the I-35 corridor.

Damn I was hoping we were done with this form of winter weather, I have to go back to work tomorrow. Last thing we need is a repeat of this morning.

FW’s Updated short term discussion mentions drier air at lower levels that may evaporate/ sublimate any light precip that falls after this afternoon