Texas Winter 2010-2011

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Ntxw
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Re:

#4861 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:12 pm

DonWrk wrote:Is the NAM showing 26 inches for Oklahoma City?


It may be overdoing it with some mesoscaling but heck, 18-20 somewhere between OKC and Tulsa is probably likely.

Final call for me on this storm.

3-6 Metro area closer to 3 SE and 6 NW (nearing a ft in Montague and Jack counties). Probably 1/2 to an inch of sleet before that. Snow will probably fall from Hillsboro over to Canton line north and west. 1 mile to half mile visibility during the snow is not out of the question.

Numbers could be more if you go under one of the thunderstorms that ride up into the cold air (thundersnow maybe).

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Last edited by Ntxw on Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:15 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#4862 Postby kb75007 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:12 pm

Seems like the rate its going so far that it'd be here way before 7 AM doesn't anyone else think so as well?
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#4863 Postby DonWrk » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:15 pm

I don't like the way the radar looks with the precip moving like that. Will precip be a problem? I'm not too worried about the cold, I'm more worried about getting some bulk precip.
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Re:

#4864 Postby downsouthman1 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:16 pm

DonWrk wrote:I don't like the way the radar looks with the precip moving like that. Will precip be a problem? I'm not too worried about the cold, I'm more worried about getting some bulk precip.


Precip will not be a problem. Watch a water vapor loop. Frontogenesis is in full swing.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4865 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:18 pm

You can see the transition happening, that's the fastest I've seen for a large area in a long long time.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4866 Postby Brandon8181 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:20 pm

I'll be working till about 2 am tonight. I have about 100 orders to ship. Preparing for s potential power outage so I want to be 100% cought up.
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4867 Postby DonWrk » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:20 pm

Ntxw wrote:You can see the transition happening, that's the fastest I've seen for a large area in a long long time.



Sweet, thank you for reassuring me, I was getting worried lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4868 Postby iorange55 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:21 pm

Well my forecast


For the Metroplex area 3-5 inches of snow.

West and North Western counties 6-9 inches of snow and in the extreme western counties perhaps over 10 inches.

and 1-2 inches just east of Dallas county.

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#4869 Postby northtxboy » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:21 pm

Does anyone think that fannin county will see anything
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#4870 Postby CaptinCrunch » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:23 pm

currently it's 33 @ SAB Wichita Falls
45 in Bridgeport
47 @ FTW mechem
54 @ Dal love

Thunderstorm Fog/Mist 41 °F
Abilene Regional Airport
Last edited by CaptinCrunch on Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#4871 Postby Turtle » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:23 pm

The 00z NAM shows the south part of the storm giving more snow to the East. If only the northern part near OK/TX border did that, I might get some snow. :lol: Hopefully the next few models will give me a last minute boost.
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#4872 Postby kb75007 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:25 pm

about 3/4 of Oklahoma is at or below freezing it looks like, so hopefully it keeps pushing quickly southeast!
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Re:

#4873 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:26 pm

northtxboy wrote:Does anyone think that fannin county will see anything


Yes, NAM actually gives you 3+ inches also.
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Re: Re:

#4874 Postby kb75007 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:27 pm

Ntxw wrote:
northtxboy wrote:Does anyone think that fannin county will see anything


Yes, NAM actually gives you 3+ inches also.

Is there anyway you can post what the NAM is showing for us?
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Re: Re:

#4875 Postby northtxboy » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:28 pm

Ntxw wrote:
northtxboy wrote:Does anyone think that fannin county will see anything


Yes, NAM actually gives you 3+ inches also.

yaaaaaaaaaaaa hoooooooooooooooo
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4876 Postby gboudx » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:28 pm

iorange55 wrote:and 1-2 inches just east of Dallas county.


Being one of those just east of Dallas county, I'm cool with this. Enough for the kids to build a snowman and do some sledding at the Middle School.

BTW, it's not showing up on radar but it's drizzling out here in Rockwall.
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Re: Re:

#4877 Postby iorange55 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:29 pm

kb75007 wrote:Is there anyway you can post what the NAM is showing for us?



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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4878 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:30 pm

It's giving Bowie 18+ lol crazy.
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#4879 Postby kb75007 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:33 pm

Is it possible that these thunderstorms to the west of Dallas could also help cool down the temps a little even before the front arrives?
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Re: Texas Winter 2010-2011

#4880 Postby iorange55 » Mon Jan 31, 2011 9:33 pm

Also getting some mist/drizzle whatever here. Feels nice out there.
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