Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
bigddstranny
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 32
Joined: Sat Jan 30, 2010 3:55 am
Location: Cedar Park, Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4921 Postby bigddstranny » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:15 pm

We've had very, very, light freezing drizzle for a couple of hours. Having lived in this area for close to 40 years, this seems to be a setup for one of our famous ice storms.

I hope it ends up being sleet, but I'm prepared to cut branches in the middle of the night.
1 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8282
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4922 Postby jasons2k » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:17 pm

It's crazy how it's freezing on the south shore of lake Somerville, but still 35 all around B/CS. Just those few miles have made a huge difference with the shadow effect today. It will eventually wash out but it's still pretty stubborn.
0 likes   

User avatar
SoupBone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3113
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:24 pm

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4923 Postby SoupBone » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:18 pm

Ntxw wrote:Good stuff Brent! Better than 85 degrees!
.


I disagree. I've started to become more like wxman57 over the last several years. Cycling in cold is great, but not this cold. It stinks. :lol:
4 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2947
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4924 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:20 pm

mmmmsnouts wrote:Arlington and east/SE Tarrant are getting jacked so far. I can still see the street in front of my house.


I think you are finally going to get one heading to you in a bit...
1 likes   

User avatar
txtwister78
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2092
Joined: Wed Jan 30, 2019 12:56 pm
Location: San Antonio

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4925 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:21 pm

Patchy freezing rain/drizzle moving through the area over the last hour and seeing some more returns build across the SW as we get ready for the main event to begin here in a few hours. Stay safe everyone.
3 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8282
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4926 Postby jasons2k » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:22 pm

bigddstranny wrote:
TomballEd wrote:I went to what TAMU calls texas university (sic) and I give better than I take on an SEC Facebook thread but the University of Texas dropped its met program over 50 years ago. I did audit some classes taught by Aggie grad Troy Kimmel and a professor whose name I do not recall but who had a thick German accent.

Anyway, hat tip to our Aggie friends doing a special balloon sounding helping HGX. BTW, mid 50s in the warm nose is impressive.

Modifying a special 18z sounding from Texas A&M University for colder temperatures
indicated later indicates a classic freezing rain sounding with temperatures around +12C in the inversion aloft, and a small
pocket of subfreezing air near the surface.


I'm not sure how old you are, but I took a meteorology class at Texas in the early 90's where Kimmel would teach on some days.


When I went to Tech in the 1990's, they had several undergrad Met courses but not a degree in Meteorology, just a B.S. in Geosciences, and a Master's & Ph. D. in Atmospheric Science. But no undergrad Met degree - had to go to A&M or OU for that, specifically.
0 likes   

Stonewood Ranch
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 10
Joined: Thu Jun 15, 2023 4:35 pm
Location: Midlothian TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4927 Postby Stonewood Ranch » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:23 pm

Can someone give an estimated time when the Low will be begin to pull away? It has to start soon doesn’t it? I see a sleet line all the way on radar down to Alpine. That will take overnight to reach us correct? Sorry, I’m not much of a meteorologist! LOL
1 likes   

Fifty Rock
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 143
Joined: Mon Sep 11, 2023 10:08 am
Location: Albany, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4928 Postby Fifty Rock » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:35 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Seen lots of video of it clearly snowing in Abilene. So hope that bodes well.


It’s been nothing but snow here all day off and on light snow. It never got above 13* all day and it’s 10.9* right now with light snow and heavier snow moving closer from the South.
4 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5959
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4929 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:44 pm

18z RGEM if you are looking for a juiced up model run

Image
4 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2947
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4930 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:45 pm

The NWS update posted on social media does now say "with much of north Texas transitioning to snow overnight."
7 likes   

downsouthman1
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 694
Age: 46
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 8:14 pm
Location: Rowlett, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4931 Postby downsouthman1 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:45 pm

I think DFW will have a couple rather large waves tonight. One will arrive with what's currently entering near Del Rio. The other is near El Paso currently. Merging is possible.
5 likes   
Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38651
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4932 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:52 pm

Fifty Rock wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Seen lots of video of it clearly snowing in Abilene. So hope that bodes well.


It’s been nothing but snow here all day off and on light snow. It never got above 13* all day and it’s 10.9* right now with light snow and heavier snow moving closer from the South.


I was gonna say it never stopped here either there were just moments where you had to really look :lol:

Everything looks really good overnight. That's a lot of moisture
5 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Longhornmaniac8
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 259
Joined: Thu Nov 18, 2010 2:30 am
Location: Austin, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4933 Postby Longhornmaniac8 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 6:56 pm

Things are getting pretty crunchy in SE Travis County. 27.5 outside right now.
3 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 23370
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4934 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 24, 2026 7:00 pm

Core of metroplex getting another wave, another layer.
6 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
SnowintheFalls
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 281
Age: 47
Joined: Fri Nov 22, 2013 5:06 pm
Location: Burkburnett, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4935 Postby SnowintheFalls » Sat Jan 24, 2026 7:08 pm

Local met in Wichita Falls has talked about us getting dry slotted tonight. He lowered expectations for snow totals
2 likes   
There is no day like a snow day!

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2947
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4936 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 24, 2026 7:10 pm

SnowintheFalls wrote:Local met in Wichita Falls has talked about us getting dry slotted tonight. He lowered expectations for snow totals


With more to the south and north? That stinks if so for you. Hope you don't miss out.
1 likes   

User avatar
Cerlin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1190
Age: 23
Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2016 12:06 am
Location: Norman, OK

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4937 Postby Cerlin » Sat Jan 24, 2026 7:12 pm

Man we have been in the exact wrong place here in Norman. Band after band has gone either north into OKC/Edmond or south to Purcell. Essentially had a clear slot all day--still sitting at approximately 3-4 inches which is still awesome, but easily could've been closer to 6 if we were just a bit north. Hopefully that trend doesn't continue into the "main event" tonight.
2 likes   
Graduate Meteorology Student at the University of Oklahoma!
All opinions independent of employers and the university.

Fifty Rock
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 143
Joined: Mon Sep 11, 2023 10:08 am
Location: Albany, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4938 Postby Fifty Rock » Sat Jan 24, 2026 7:13 pm

SnowintheFalls wrote:Local met in Wichita Falls has talked about us getting dry slotted tonight. He lowered expectations for snow totals


Has he looked at the radar lately?
3 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 23370
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4939 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jan 24, 2026 7:16 pm

For you LES prone peeps.

FW discussion includes tomorrow.

After this second round exits the forecast area Sunday morning,
some scattered snow showers will likely linger into the afternoon
per CAMs such as the HRRR, with potential additional light
snowfall. In addition, favorable northwest surface winds,
saturated and weakly unstable low level thermodynamic profiles,
and still-warm lake water could allow for lake effect snow near
and downwind of the larger North Texas lakes.
4 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38651
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4940 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 24, 2026 7:20 pm

An hour south of here! :double:

Image
6 likes   
#neversummer


Return to “Winter Weather”