Texas Winter 2021-2022

[DFWLady]

I'm sitting at 33 degrees and a steady heavy rain in Rockwall for about the last 2 hours! Waiting for my groceries outside Walmart and so far nothing but liquid! Here we go everyone! Cheers!

I’m in northern part of the county and it’s 32. 3 area PWSs show that temp. Plus my laser temp reader shows 31.

USA and Honduras are playing a World Cup qualifying match in St. Paul, MN. 5 degrees.

Well hello neighbor! I'm by downtown Rockwall! I'm about to head home from Walmart and am a little bit nervous about the bridge but think I'll be fine! Lots of people still out surprisingly!

Um no thank you lol that's WAY to cold to play anything in except with snow!

[mcallum177]

Moderate rain and small icicles on our patio cover in Fate/Royse City.

[Brent]

It's really just now starting to get good here. Could see some blowing snow a little. Also that wind chill bites





https://streamable.com/59d45q

[Ntxw]

[bubba hotep]

Mesoscale Discussion 0113
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0711 PM CST Wed Feb 02 2022

Areas affected...portions of central into northern Texas...southeast
Oklahoma...western Arkansas

Concerning...Freezing rain

Valid 030111Z - 030515Z
SUMMARY...Freezing rain is ongoing across the region, and a few
instances of .10 inches/1 hour ice accretion rates are possible
going into the evening hours. The best chance for the heavier
freezing rain rates will be across northeast Texas into southwest
Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...Recent surface observations have noted accumulating
freezing rain across northern Texas over the past couple of hours.
Surface observations and 00Z mesoanalysis shows the surface freezing
line/web-bulb zero temperatures situated roughly from Crockett
County Texas, to areas just north of the DFW Metroplex, into the
Bryan-Le Flore County OK region. Surface-925 mb cold-air advection
is expected to gradually support the east-southeastward drift of
these near/below freezing surface temperatures with time, promoting
freezing rain (at least initially) across portions of southwest into
north-central TX, eastern OK, and western AR over the next 3-6 hours
(up to 06Z). MRMS mosaic radar imagery depicts up to 35-40 dBZ
values in close proximity to the surface freezing line in northern
Texas, which is overspread by above-freezing temperatures in the
925-700 mb layer per 00Z mesoanalysis. As such, occasionally heavier
freezing rain/ice accretion rates (perhaps up to 0.10 inch/1 hour)
may accompany heavier precipitation bands. However, deeper layers of
below-freezing temperatures are expected to usher into
central/northern TX and eastern OK through the evening, fostering a
more wintry mix (including sleet).

..Squitieri.. 02/03/2022

...Please see http://www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...MAF...

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

The view from my son’s apartment in Columbia, MO a few hours ago…




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[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

And a friend’s farm near Dumas…




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[WacoWx]

Is the second round overnight going to be of equal strength as this first round in DFW?

This has had some impressive qpf

[LearnedHat]

It says I am in freezing rain but it is still raining in Keller - no sag on trees, icicles, etc.

[cheezyWXguy]

My nearest station here in Dallas reporting 32 and a mix of rain and freezing rain. No glaze yet but that will probably change soon

[Ntxw]

Is the second round overnight going to be of equal strength as this first round in DFW?

This has had some impressive qpf

Yes if not pretty close. Modeled reflectivity dBZ is moderate at that time, with colder temperatures so more solid stuff falling then. 850s will be ~0c then vs 4-7C now.

[Lagreeneyes03]

And a friend’s farm near Dumas…

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20220203/45aea7d5ceca7b6c4eedeafb51954431.jpeg


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That's beautiful, it looks so peaceful. You'd never be able to tell what year it was, just snow and a windmill in a field.

[rwfromkansas]

Balloon info from FWD:

“The 00Z balloon didn`t make it all the way up, but did sample the
warm nose well and noted about a 3 degree drop in temperature
above the surface over the last couple of hours. Temps are still
about +3 to +5C above freezing around 850mb. This is expected to
persist for a few more hours while surface temperatures continue
to drop off to the northwest, supporting continued freezing rain.
We`ve seen ice accumulations around 1/10 of an inch so far along
the Red River and back to the west, mainly on trees and cars. As
surface temps fall further, some ice will begin to accumulate on
roads, particularly to the north and west. In the immediate
Metroplex and areas to the south, the strength of the warm nose
and the heavier precipitation falling through it have generally
helped keep surface temperatures at or a few degrees above
freezing.

The main trough is still back to the west, but large scale forcing
for ascent will increase markedly over the next few hours. This
lift will act to cool that warm nose, and we should see a
quick transition to sleet. Sleet accumulations could be rather
impressive through the overnight hours before we see a transition
over to snow during the early morning hours on Thursday.
Significant impacts to roads/travel are still expected across a
large portion of the region. Freezing rain and sleet will spread
southeast early Thursday with roads becoming ice covered. All of
the precipitation should end from west to east by late Thursday,
with temperatures falling into the teens areawide. Any ice/sleet/
snow accumulation on roads will linger into Friday before
temperatures slowly climb and we gradually clear.”

[Yukon Cornelius]

Finally it’s changed to snow and it’s coming down heavy.

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

Balloon info from FWD:

“The 00Z balloon didn`t make it all the way up, but did sample the
warm nose well and noted about a 3 degree drop in temperature
above the surface over the last couple of hours. Temps are still
about +3 to +5C above freezing around 850mb. This is expected to
persist for a few more hours while surface temperatures continue
to drop off to the northwest, supporting continued freezing rain.
We`ve seen ice accumulations around 1/10 of an inch so far along
the Red River and back to the west, mainly on trees and cars. As
surface temps fall further, some ice will begin to accumulate on
roads, particularly to the north and west. In the immediate
Metroplex and areas to the south, the strength of the warm nose
and the heavier precipitation falling through it have generally
helped keep surface temperatures at or a few degrees above
freezing.

The main trough is still back to the west, but large scale forcing
for ascent will increase markedly over the next few hours. This
lift will act to cool that warm nose, and we should see a
quick transition to sleet. Sleet accumulations could be rather
impressive through the overnight hours before we see a transition
over to snow during the early morning hours on Thursday.
Significant impacts to roads/travel are still expected across a
large portion of the region. Freezing rain and sleet will spread
southeast early Thursday with roads becoming ice covered. All of
the precipitation should end from west to east by late Thursday,
with temperatures falling into the teens areawide. Any ice/sleet/
snow accumulation on roads will linger into Friday before
temperatures slowly climb and we gradually clear.”

Kinda crazy to me that we're still launching balloons. Seems we could accomplish the same thing with drone technology, but what do I know.

[bubba hotep]

Finally it’s changed to snow and it’s coming down heavy.

Was coming to ask about that. Surface reports and limited upper air data indicate that the transition to sleet line should be moving into NW DFW. It looks like the transition to snow line is b/w Denton and the Falls.

[bubba hotep]

[mcallum177]

I mean a balloon is probably significantly cheaper than a drone that can fly long enough to get to 40,000 feet.

Balloon info from FWD:

“The 00Z balloon didn`t make it all the way up, but did sample the
warm nose well and noted about a 3 degree drop in temperature
above the surface over the last couple of hours. Temps are still
about +3 to +5C above freezing around 850mb. This is expected to
persist for a few more hours while surface temperatures continue
to drop off to the northwest, supporting continued freezing rain.
We`ve seen ice accumulations around 1/10 of an inch so far along
the Red River and back to the west, mainly on trees and cars. As
surface temps fall further, some ice will begin to accumulate on
roads, particularly to the north and west. In the immediate
Metroplex and areas to the south, the strength of the warm nose
and the heavier precipitation falling through it have generally
helped keep surface temperatures at or a few degrees above
freezing.

The main trough is still back to the west, but large scale forcing
for ascent will increase markedly over the next few hours. This
lift will act to cool that warm nose, and we should see a
quick transition to sleet. Sleet accumulations could be rather
impressive through the overnight hours before we see a transition
over to snow during the early morning hours on Thursday.
Significant impacts to roads/travel are still expected across a
large portion of the region. Freezing rain and sleet will spread
southeast early Thursday with roads becoming ice covered. All of
the precipitation should end from west to east by late Thursday,
with temperatures falling into the teens areawide. Any ice/sleet/
snow accumulation on roads will linger into Friday before
temperatures slowly climb and we gradually clear.”

Kinda crazy to me that we're still launching balloons. Seems we could accomplish the same thing with drone technology, but what do I know.

[rwfromkansas]

Definite pingers now much more common.

[bubba hotep]

Freezing rain is getting old. Trees starting to sag, bushes bending, ornamental grass laying flat, I think that's enough.