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#5101 Postby invisible » Mon Apr 25, 2005 10:15 pm

What a pleasant day with a high of 72. it is supposed to be 77 F tomorrow. It will be warm tomorrow for sure.

It was too bad for some areas in Washington because they had mostly cloudy all the day with 60s temperature.

I dont think some places will be in low 30s later this week. It sounds too low for end of April. I believe that most areas will be in mid 30s-lower 40s.
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#5102 Postby W13 » Mon Apr 25, 2005 10:21 pm

Great pics Andy!

Our official high today was 61F, with an official low of 51F (so far). We also had 0.01" of rain.
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#5103 Postby andycottle » Mon Apr 25, 2005 11:02 pm

Thanks Justin! Tomorrow should hopefully be a better day for sunny weather and the possibilty of T-Storms over the Central cascades..per NWS forecast. 850MB temps for tomorrow are in the +6 to +9C with 500MB heights of 570DM. -- Andy
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#5104 Postby andycottle » Mon Apr 25, 2005 11:12 pm

Here`s a couple pics I took of the sky this evening just shortly after sunset. -- Andy
http://pg.photos.yahoo.com/ph/ajc192004 ... pg&.src=ph

http://pg.photos.yahoo.com/ph/ajc192004 ... pg&.src=ph
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#5105 Postby andycottle » Mon Apr 25, 2005 11:18 pm

Hey....looks like our weather could become interesting tomorrow evening/night as there could be some night time t-storms over the puget sound region. Let the storms rock on!!!
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#5106 Postby andycottle » Tue Apr 26, 2005 12:26 am

Viewing some the latest models tonight....it does appear that there could be some scattered T-Storms over the Cascades for late tomorrow afternoon as lifted indices are 0 to -2 and CAPE values of 300 to 400+ J/KG. Lapes rates look to be around 7 or 8. So with day time heating, should see some decent development of scattered storms over the cascades. -- Andy
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#5107 Postby Guest » Tue Apr 26, 2005 12:28 am

Yes Anthony it is the end of April and it would be unusual to get that low of lows. But who is to say something unusual won't happen... This pattern for the end of the week is more similar than you may think than the one that brought 20 some odd degree temperatures in the end of april back in the early 50's. I definately see some places getting into the upper 20's.... And I do believe temperatures will get below normal and below 60 for highs in many places.
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#5108 Postby Guest » Tue Apr 26, 2005 12:32 am

And TT, where have you been tonight? Agree with my predictions too much to debate on them? :lol: Just kidding, when you come back make sure you read the previous page... I'd like some input if you don't mind.
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#5109 Postby Guest » Tue Apr 26, 2005 3:17 pm

WOw a lot of action on here today... COMMON TT LETS SEE WHATCHA GOT FOR YOUR FORECAST?
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#5110 Postby andycottle » Tue Apr 26, 2005 3:40 pm

Yeah, not much happening on here today so far. Where is everyone?
No sunshine here as of yet. Just plain Ol` cloudy skies...though temp feels nice. I have 63 degrees right now. -- Andy
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#5111 Postby R-Dub » Tue Apr 26, 2005 4:12 pm

We had sun all morning into the early afternoon, but now there are a few clouds floating around with a temp of 65 degrees. Nothing exciting.
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#5112 Postby andrewr » Tue Apr 26, 2005 4:31 pm

It's been cloudy all day and the temp. is currently 62F. Seattle only has to average out 2F above average for each of the next 4 days to be normal for April.
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#5113 Postby weather girl » Tue Apr 26, 2005 5:21 pm

67 and fair here in Salem. It was foggy until about 1:00, though.
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#5114 Postby andycottle » Tue Apr 26, 2005 5:22 pm

Still pretty much a cloudy day here with just a sunbreak or two with in the last few minutes. Current temp at 3:29pm is 66. -- Andy
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#5115 Postby andycottle » Tue Apr 26, 2005 7:21 pm

As of about an hour ago, skies became partly cloudy and that is our current sky right now. Our high made it to 70. Current temp is 68 with DP at 55 with baro 29.77 and steady. -- Andy
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TT-SEA

#5116 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Apr 26, 2005 7:44 pm

Hey guys... I am traveling again. Back in Spokane for a few days.

It is almost hot out here today... around 80 degrees.

I have been too busy to really study the latest models. Reading the latest NWS discussion pretty much sums up what I thought.

It will continue to be pretty boring. Not too hot... not too cold. They are still saying 60's for the week and I certainly do not see any really cold air plunging into Washington.

Looking at the statistics compared to my guide on what it would take to be perfectly normal... we are a little low on highs but high on lows so we are close!! I still think we will end up ever so slightly below normal. Statistically insignificant.

We are ending a very normal April on a very normal note. Nothing dramatic AT ALL.

I just do not understand why some of you think every pattern that develops is so completely unusual. You are forecasting with blind emotion.

Its just the ebb and flow of spring in North America. Nothing more. A little perspective would do you good.
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#5117 Postby TT-SEA » Tue Apr 26, 2005 7:51 pm

In fact... at this point we are 1 degree ahead of the plan to be perfectly normal.

We were 1 degree below my plan yesterday (6 degrees above normal) and 2 degrees above my plan for today (8 degrees above normal).

We are close.
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#5118 Postby AnthonyC » Tue Apr 26, 2005 8:03 pm

Not a bad day...certainly not the mid 70s I was predicting over the weekend, but I'll take the mid 60s. The marine layer was very stubborn...it didn't burn off until 2pm. That hindered afternoon high temperatures.

As for the rest of this week, nothing too dramatic like TT-SEA said. I was hoping for warmer temperatures, but 850 mb heights and a strong marine layer do not support this consensus. Just a few days ago, I predicted some places would exceed the 80-degree mark tomorrow...I think we'll be lucky if anyone exceeds the 70-degree mark. Don't get me wrong, this is nice weather for the end of April but I was hoping for more.
And then a cold front moves down from Canada as a surface high retrogrades to 140W. If this were January or February, it could be interesting weather...but will no bottled arctic air or even "cooler" air, nothing out of the ordinary. Temperatures should cool to the upper 50s by Friday and stay that way thru the weekend. The breezes will also kick up...esp. to the entrances of the east gaps of the cascades. Wind gusts should not exceed 30 mph though.

All in all, very typical for this time of year. And Brennan, what about those 20s you were predicting for this week?! You still think so?!

Anthony
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#5119 Postby invisible » Tue Apr 26, 2005 9:13 pm

It was a beautiful day with a high of 72. I am a little surprised that Vancover, B.C. went up to 68. That place usually get 6-10 degrees cooler than here on warm sunny days. The breeze that comes from coast usally effect the region of greater Vancouver.
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#5120 Postby Guest » Wed Apr 27, 2005 12:47 am

I think 20's is still possible. This overall pattern for the end of the week isn't as cold as first shown by the GFS but still impressive...

TT i have noticed that you ignore pretty much any question i ever ask you that requires any type of thought or research... What is up with that?

It just happens to be that this upcoming pattern closely resembles April 19-20 of 1951 and that is the only date that has a closely resembled pattern for this time of year... how do you call that normal?
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