Texas Winter 2020-2021

Winter Weather Discussion

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5141 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:58 am

Cerlin wrote:Woke up to a coating of snow in Norman again. Odd!

Same thing at my house too! :eek:
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5142 Postby ztshanklin » Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:58 am

Texas Snow wrote:
ztshanklin wrote:
Captmorg70 wrote:
The link on Texags probably drove up the traffic a bit lol


I just keep seeing things cross posted between forums in multiple threads



Just keep in mind visitors to take these maps with a grain of salt. There are other models that show way less that don't get posted because they are less shocking I guess. Things are however trending up a bit today across many of them.




Oh, and gig 'em!


I've been here following for 5 years or so, used to the drill.

And gig' em as well. BTHO power outages
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5143 Postby Ntxw » Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:59 am

Ukmet just solidifies the narrative. More snow and more coverage and cold.

I really do hope the NWS is considering blizzard watches or warnings along and west of I-35 From Dallas to Austin (west Texas for sure). The time and winds may not meet exactly but it's pretty close on the models and near whiteout conditions possible. People need to be kept off the roads Sunday afternoon to Monday morning for sure or they will get stranded in bitter cold.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5144 Postby ZeroGee » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:01 pm

E Plano steadily increasing light snow.

DeltaV wrote:There are some light flurries happening in N Plano. So it begins.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5145 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:01 pm

Ntxw wrote:Ukmet just solidifies the narrative. More snow and more coverage and cold.

I really do hope the NWS is considering blizzard watches or warnings along and west of I-35 From Dallas to Austin (west Texas for sure). The time and winds may not meet exactly but it's pretty close on the models and near whiteout conditions possible. People need to be kept off the roads Sunday afternoon to Monday morning for sure or they will get stranded in bitter cold.

Keep in mind that the UKMET does only 10:1 ratios on snowfall . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5146 Postby MississippiWx » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:08 pm

We are watching in envy. As usual, we are just barely on the outside looking in at all the fun! We may end up with an ice issue though. If you guys could, send a few flakes our way. Looks like you’ll have plenty to spare! :ggreen:

Seriously, though, be safe guys. This cold outbreak looks dangerous, even this far to the East.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5147 Postby Wntrwthrguy » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:09 pm

What does the UKMET show for the Austin area?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5148 Postby DeltaV » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:09 pm

I noticed some birds returning to the Dallas area last weekend. Any idea how they will fare in single digits or worse temperatures? I'm a little worried about the wildlife being unprepared for this event.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5149 Postby utpmg » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:10 pm

Ntxw wrote:Ukmet just solidifies the narrative. More snow and more coverage and cold.

I really do hope the NWS is considering blizzard watches or warnings along and west of I-35 From Dallas to Austin (west Texas for sure). The time and winds may not meet exactly but it's pretty close on the models and near whiteout conditions possible. People need to be kept off the roads Sunday afternoon to Monday morning for sure or they will get stranded in bitter cold.


San Angelo NWS is already talking about it.
https://twitter.com/NWSSanAngelo/status ... 56802?s=20
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5150 Postby South Texas Storms » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:11 pm

Wntrwthrguy wrote:What does the UKMET show for the Austin area?


3-5 inches of snow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5151 Postby WacoWx » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:11 pm

I see some light radar returns around Granbury.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5152 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:12 pm

Have they ever done preemptive road closures? If this trend continues, they may have to do so. Right now it seems like we have a situation where it trended away and as it gets closer it trends back, which has happened multiple times this winter. Even if you half the GFS amounts, that's a major hit for DFW in cold temps like this that will keep roads covered for days.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5153 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:13 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
Wntrwthrguy wrote:What does the UKMET show for the Austin area?


3-5 inches of snow.


NOTE: This is the 10:1 Snowfall Ratio, the Ratios are between 15:1 & 25:1 in Oklahoma

Image
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5154 Postby DW5522 » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:15 pm

Decent snow in Denison but nothing showing up on the radar.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5155 Postby Ntxw » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:16 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Have they ever done preemptive road closures? If this trend continues, they may have to do so. Right now it seems like we have a situation where it trended away and as it gets closer it trends back, which has happened multiple times this winter. Even if you half the GFS amounts, that's a major hit for DFW in cold temps like this that will keep roads covered for days.


The GFS has been King. It never wavered.

Ignoring the short term temp busts that is always issue short term for all guidance.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5156 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:17 pm

12z CMC

Image

24-Hour Kuchera Ratio Snowfall

Image
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5157 Postby Haris » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:19 pm

Image
Image
Image
Image


Welcome to the Arctic tundra, err Austin...

27F. Another model bust LOL
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5158 Postby orangeblood » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:19 pm

Well the Infamous "Snow Hole" over the past half-decade in and around DFW looks like it will finally be filled and to potentially historic proportions

Snowfall so far this season
Image

Coincidence it's right in the area that's seen the least ??
Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5159 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:20 pm

I don’t think there will be anything but snow during the upcoming event for the dfw area, save for a very short period of sleet showers on the front end Saturday night. The only model that showed any precip today was the HRRR, and it depicted it as freezing rain. This further leads me to believe even the hi res models are underestimating the depth of cold air
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5160 Postby Skiernic » Fri Feb 12, 2021 12:20 pm

Snow flurries in Keller!!
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