Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Stormcenter
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- Location: Houston, TX
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
Just caught some sleet in downtown New Orleans. Pretty cool as this is the 3rd straight week with winter precipitation even if it's non-accumulating. That's a first for me here.
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Pearl River
- S2K Supporter
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- Age: 65
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- Location: SELa
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
As my wife put it....."It's sleeting it's butt off in the PEARL". I'm stuck at work in NOLA, so I'm missing it in Pearl River...dang 
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aggiecutter
- Category 5
- Posts: 1743
- Joined: Thu Oct 14, 2004 9:22 pm
- Location: Texarkana
A couple weeks ago some on this forum were wondering why it was warmer in east and southeast Texas as compared to the surrounding regions. One possible cause that I mentioned was the damning of the shallow cold air against the Quachita Mountains in West-Central Arkansas and SE Oklahoma. This phenomenon has more impact in the Ark-La-Tex region, but there are downstream implications.
Another possible cause is the Ozark down slope thermal ridge effect that is mentioned in a tweet by JB below:
"Ozark downslope thermal ridge on nne wind from se ark to south Texla area
Classic pic.twitter.com/jUBBX00A6Z"
Another possible cause is the Ozark down slope thermal ridge effect that is mentioned in a tweet by JB below:
"Ozark downslope thermal ridge on nne wind from se ark to south Texla area
Classic pic.twitter.com/jUBBX00A6Z"
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
115 PM CST THU FEB 6 2014
...A MIXTURE OF WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON...
.A BAND OF RAIN...MIXED WITH SLEET AND SNOW...WAS MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL TRACK
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...BUT THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD WILL
EXTEND FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO AFFECT SOUTHERN SUMTER AND MARENGO
COUNTIES. THE PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND
SLEET...AND THEN TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW FOR AN HOUR OR TWO.
ALZ030-039-070000-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WW.Y.0003.140206T2000Z-140207T0000Z/
SUMTER-MARENGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LIVINGSTON...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN
115 PM CST THU FEB 6 2014
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6
PM CST THIS EVENING.
* TIMING...FROM 2 PM THROUGH 6 PM.
* LOCATION...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A YORK TO LINDEN LINE.
* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO ONE-HALF INCH POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND
SLEET WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
&&
$$
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
115 PM CST THU FEB 6 2014
...A MIXTURE OF WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON...
.A BAND OF RAIN...MIXED WITH SLEET AND SNOW...WAS MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL TRACK
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...BUT THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD WILL
EXTEND FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO AFFECT SOUTHERN SUMTER AND MARENGO
COUNTIES. THE PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND
SLEET...AND THEN TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW FOR AN HOUR OR TWO.
ALZ030-039-070000-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WW.Y.0003.140206T2000Z-140207T0000Z/
SUMTER-MARENGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LIVINGSTON...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN
115 PM CST THU FEB 6 2014
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6
PM CST THIS EVENING.
* TIMING...FROM 2 PM THROUGH 6 PM.
* LOCATION...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A YORK TO LINDEN LINE.
* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO ONE-HALF INCH POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND
SLEET WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
&&
$$
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Lane
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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SeGaBob
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Tstormwatcher
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- Location: New Bern, NC
Wasn't able to post yesterday but between 11pm Thursday and 3am Friday we had 1.5 inches of snow in a surprise snowfall. They were only predicting flurries. It was mostly gone by the afternoon but it was nice to see. Now we have snow in the forecast again for Tuesday/Tuesday night time frame. I say bring it on. 
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139722
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
234 PM CST SAT FEB 8 2014
...WINTER STORM POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING...
.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO THE NORTH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA
COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW FREEZING AT THE SURFACE
MONDAY EVENING MAY RESULT IN WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL ALL BE
POSSIBLE.
THERE ARE STILL TIMING AND PLACEMENT ISSUES WITH THE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION THAT WILL NEED TO BE WORKED OUT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. CHECK BACK OFTEN FOR REFINEMENTS TO THE FORECAST AS MONDAY
EVENING APPROACHES.
ALZ011>015-017-018-020-091200-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WS.A.0002.140211T0000Z-140211T1800Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH -CHEROKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...CENTRE
234 PM CST SAT FEB 8 2014
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* TIMING...FROM 6 PM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH NOON TUESDAY.
* LOCATION...AT THIS TIME...THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE FOR
LOCATIONS GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM MILLPORT TO ONEONTA TO
CENTRE.
* ACCUMULATIONS...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET COMBINED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...AS WELL AS UP TO
TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATION.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
234 PM CST SAT FEB 8 2014
...WINTER STORM POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING...
.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO THE NORTH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA
COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW FREEZING AT THE SURFACE
MONDAY EVENING MAY RESULT IN WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL ALL BE
POSSIBLE.
THERE ARE STILL TIMING AND PLACEMENT ISSUES WITH THE WINTRY
PRECIPITATION THAT WILL NEED TO BE WORKED OUT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. CHECK BACK OFTEN FOR REFINEMENTS TO THE FORECAST AS MONDAY
EVENING APPROACHES.
ALZ011>015-017-018-020-091200-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WS.A.0002.140211T0000Z-140211T1800Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH -CHEROKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...CENTRE
234 PM CST SAT FEB 8 2014
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* TIMING...FROM 6 PM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH NOON TUESDAY.
* LOCATION...AT THIS TIME...THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE FOR
LOCATIONS GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM MILLPORT TO ONEONTA TO
CENTRE.
* ACCUMULATIONS...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN 2 INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET COMBINED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...AS WELL AS UP TO
TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATION.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139722
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
12z GFS has Freezing rain/Snow for Atlanta.
48 hours.
60 hours.
84 hours.
48 hours.
60 hours.
84 hours.
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Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
Things seem to be trending south for the winter weather here in SC. NWS now bringing Columbia into the mix.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139722
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
247 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014
GAZ027-036>039-046>062-066>076-078>084-094-095-10 0400-
/O.NEW.KFFC.WS.A.0004.140212T0000Z-140212T1200Z/
MADISON-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-ROCKDALE- WALTON-NEWTON-
MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLA YTON-SPALDING-
HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-ME RIWETHER-PIKE-
UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-GLASC OCK-JEFFERSON-
HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-WILKINS ON-PEACH-HOUSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATHENS...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...
PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN...MILLEDGEVILLE...MACON...WARNER ROBINS
247 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* LOCATIONS...NORTH AND MUCH OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...ALONG AND NORTH
OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON...TO WARNER ROBINS...TO LOUISVILLE.
* HAZARD TYPES...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WITH FREEZING
RAIN BEING THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE.
* ACCUMULATIONS...ICING AMOUNTS GENERALLY A TENTH OF AN INCH OR
LESS.
* TIMING...BEGINNING TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA AND THEN
SPREADING INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER THIS THREAT MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO THE WEDNESDAY
DAY PERIOD WITH ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.
* IMPACTS...ICING ACCUMULATE ON ROADS MAKING TRAVEL HAZARDOUS.
ICING WILL ALSO ACCUMULATE ON TREES AND POWER LINES WHICH COULD
BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POSSIBLY SOME POWER LINES CAUSING
POWER OUTAGES.
* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE LOWER 30S.
* UNCERTAINTY...THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THIS
FORECAST AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE LEADING
UP TO THE EVENT. FOLKS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA SHOULD
MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY IN THE EVENT THAT THIS WATCH IS
UPGRADED TO AN ADVISORY OR WARNING.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
247 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014
GAZ027-036>039-046>062-066>076-078>084-094-095-10 0400-
/O.NEW.KFFC.WS.A.0004.140212T0000Z-140212T1200Z/
MADISON-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-ROCKDALE- WALTON-NEWTON-
MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLA YTON-SPALDING-
HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-HANCOCK-WARREN-TROUP-ME RIWETHER-PIKE-
UPSON-LAMAR-MONROE-JONES-BALDWIN-WASHINGTON-GLASC OCK-JEFFERSON-
HARRIS-TALBOT-TAYLOR-CRAWFORD-BIBB-TWIGGS-WILKINS ON-PEACH-HOUSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATHENS...CONYERS...COVINGTON...NEWNAN...
PEACHTREE CITY...GRIFFIN...MILLEDGEVILLE...MACON...WARNER ROBINS
247 PM EST SUN FEB 9 2014
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* LOCATIONS...NORTH AND MUCH OF CENTRAL GEORGIA...ALONG AND NORTH
OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON...TO WARNER ROBINS...TO LOUISVILLE.
* HAZARD TYPES...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WITH FREEZING
RAIN BEING THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE.
* ACCUMULATIONS...ICING AMOUNTS GENERALLY A TENTH OF AN INCH OR
LESS.
* TIMING...BEGINNING TUESDAY EVENING ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA AND THEN
SPREADING INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER THIS THREAT MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO THE WEDNESDAY
DAY PERIOD WITH ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.
* IMPACTS...ICING ACCUMULATE ON ROADS MAKING TRAVEL HAZARDOUS.
ICING WILL ALSO ACCUMULATE ON TREES AND POWER LINES WHICH COULD
BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POSSIBLY SOME POWER LINES CAUSING
POWER OUTAGES.
* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE LOWER 30S.
* UNCERTAINTY...THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THIS
FORECAST AND SNOW AND ICE AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE LEADING
UP TO THE EVENT. FOLKS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA SHOULD
MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY IN THE EVENT THAT THIS WATCH IS
UPGRADED TO AN ADVISORY OR WARNING.
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SeGaBob
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37146
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
Highly unusual to see 3 days with a winter weather threat:
A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. THE RISK FOR
ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW IS INCREASING AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE ARE STILL SOME PLACEMENT
ISSUES ON WHERE THE HIGHEST TOTALS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL
FALL...BUT CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT ONE TO THREE INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET COMBINED WILL FALL ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...WITH THE BEST CHANCE NORTH OF A LINE FROM MILLPORT TO
GARDENDALE TO JACKSONVILLE. SOUTH OF THIS LINE A MIX OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALL RAIN IS
EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. CHECK BACK
OFTEN WITH THE FORECAST FOR CONTINUING REFINEMENTS.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT ANY DETAILS ON THIS POSSIBLE
SECOND WAVE.
Now there's talk of yet another accumulating snow event at the end on Wednesday! Some 36 hours later... who knows how much ice will occur before that in Birmingham-Atlanta. Crazy as we're still talking about what happened on 1/28
A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY. THE RISK FOR
ACCUMULATING FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW IS INCREASING AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THERE ARE STILL SOME PLACEMENT
ISSUES ON WHERE THE HIGHEST TOTALS OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL
FALL...BUT CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT ONE TO THREE INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET COMBINED WILL FALL ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...WITH THE BEST CHANCE NORTH OF A LINE FROM MILLPORT TO
GARDENDALE TO JACKSONVILLE. SOUTH OF THIS LINE A MIX OF
SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALL RAIN IS
EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. CHECK BACK
OFTEN WITH THE FORECAST FOR CONTINUING REFINEMENTS.
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA. IT IS TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT ANY DETAILS ON THIS POSSIBLE
SECOND WAVE.
Now there's talk of yet another accumulating snow event at the end on Wednesday! Some 36 hours later... who knows how much ice will occur before that in Birmingham-Atlanta. Crazy as we're still talking about what happened on 1/28
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#neversummer
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northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Yeah, it has been an amazing season with winter storms across the Deep South. This will be the fifth storm to affect the Deep South this season.
However, this paticular system really looks to be especially dangerous widespread event because significant freezing rain and snow accumulations look to occur in a wide swath from NE TX east to the Carolinas.
However, this paticular system really looks to be especially dangerous widespread event because significant freezing rain and snow accumulations look to occur in a wide swath from NE TX east to the Carolinas.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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WeatherGuesser
- Category 5
- Posts: 2672
- Joined: Tue Jun 29, 2010 6:46 am
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georgia_tech_swagger
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 23
- Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2010 12:58 pm
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
12Z GFS drops a foot in southern Greenville-Spartanburg.
This is the classic worst case winter storm for the I-85 corridor ... cold cold air dips into the jet ... a low pumps up moisture from the gulf ... and then another low forms off the coast of Savannah/Charleston and starts back filling moisture out of the Atlantic. It can produce a foot+ (and has done so a few times in the not too distant past) almost directly along I-85.
If you are looking to fly in or out of CLT, GSP, ATL, AVL, CAE, or RDU this week ... good luck. You'll need it. Particularly for GSP and CLT.
This is the classic worst case winter storm for the I-85 corridor ... cold cold air dips into the jet ... a low pumps up moisture from the gulf ... and then another low forms off the coast of Savannah/Charleston and starts back filling moisture out of the Atlantic. It can produce a foot+ (and has done so a few times in the not too distant past) almost directly along I-85.
If you are looking to fly in or out of CLT, GSP, ATL, AVL, CAE, or RDU this week ... good luck. You'll need it. Particularly for GSP and CLT.
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georgia_tech_swagger
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 23
- Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2010 12:58 pm
NWS GSP is already openly calling for up to 8" in GSP.... up from their watch totals issued just 8 hours ago:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
411 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014
...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM LIKELY TO AFFECT THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
.THE COMBINATION OF A COLD CANADIAN AIR MASS BUILDING OVER TO THE
NORTH OF THE REGION...ALONG WITH GRADUALLY RETURNING MOISTURE
FROM LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO...WILL PRODUCE A PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED.
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ051>053-058-059-062>065-068>072-082-
507>510-SCZ001>014-019-102100-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0003.140211T1100Z-140213T1200Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...SHELBY...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...
GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...
ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
411 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET...WITH AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN IN
THE LOWER PIEDMONT.
* TIMING...MAINLY LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET SHOULD IMPACT THE REGION
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME
HEAVIER WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SLEET INCREASINGLY
MIXING IN FROM THE SOUTH...ALONG WITH FREEZING RAIN IN LOCATIONS
SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS...4 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TRACE TO ONE
TENTH OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED ALONG INTERSTATE 85...WITH
ACCUMULATIONS RANGING UP TO ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH
IN THE SOUTHEAST PIEDMONT FROM ABBEVILLE TO CHESTER TO MONROE.
* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW...SIGNIFICANT
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS. THE
ACCUMULATIONS MAY ALSO CREATE NUMEROUS POWER
OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.
* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.
&&
$$
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
411 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014
...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM LIKELY TO AFFECT THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
.THE COMBINATION OF A COLD CANADIAN AIR MASS BUILDING OVER TO THE
NORTH OF THE REGION...ALONG WITH GRADUALLY RETURNING MOISTURE
FROM LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO...WILL PRODUCE A PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECT
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND
FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED.
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ051>053-058-059-062>065-068>072-082-
507>510-SCZ001>014-019-102100-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WS.A.0003.140211T1100Z-140213T1200Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...
SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...SHELBY...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...
GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...
ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
411 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE
SOUTHERN TIER OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET...WITH AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN IN
THE LOWER PIEDMONT.
* TIMING...MAINLY LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET SHOULD IMPACT THE REGION
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME
HEAVIER WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SLEET INCREASINGLY
MIXING IN FROM THE SOUTH...ALONG WITH FREEZING RAIN IN LOCATIONS
SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE
EASTERN SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS...4 TO 6 INCHES ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF THE INTERSTATE 85 CORRIDOR...AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85. ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A TRACE TO ONE
TENTH OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED ALONG INTERSTATE 85...WITH
ACCUMULATIONS RANGING UP TO ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH
IN THE SOUTHEAST PIEDMONT FROM ABBEVILLE TO CHESTER TO MONROE.
* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW...SIGNIFICANT
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS. THE
ACCUMULATIONS MAY ALSO CREATE NUMEROUS POWER
OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
* TEMPERATURES...MAINLY IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.
* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.
&&
$$
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139722
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
Here is a discussion about the upcoming event by Dr Jeff Masters.
Significant winter storm takes aim at Southern U.S.
The Southern U.S. gets its second serious winter storm of 2014 this week, as Winter Storm Pax brings a dangerous mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain. The snow and freezing rain action begins Monday night over Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southern Arkansas, and Northern Louisiana, then spreads eastwards on Tuesday into northern portions of Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina, and over much of North Carolina. Atlanta, Georgia, which was shut down by the 2.6" of snow Winter Storm Leon brought to the city on January 28, is under a Winter Storm Watch. Snow and sleet are expected to begin on Tuesday morning. After warming afternoon temperatures bring a period of plain rain on Tuesday afternoon, the rain may change to freezing rain on Tuesday night and Wednesday, making travel dangerous or impossible. The greatest accumulations of freezing rain may fall in Central South Carolina, where up to 3/4" of ice is predicted. However, this is a complex forecast, and just a slight shift in the track of the storm or atmospheric conditions could greatly alter the amount of snow and freezing rain this storm brings.
Significant winter storm takes aim at Southern U.S.
The Southern U.S. gets its second serious winter storm of 2014 this week, as Winter Storm Pax brings a dangerous mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain. The snow and freezing rain action begins Monday night over Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southern Arkansas, and Northern Louisiana, then spreads eastwards on Tuesday into northern portions of Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, and South Carolina, and over much of North Carolina. Atlanta, Georgia, which was shut down by the 2.6" of snow Winter Storm Leon brought to the city on January 28, is under a Winter Storm Watch. Snow and sleet are expected to begin on Tuesday morning. After warming afternoon temperatures bring a period of plain rain on Tuesday afternoon, the rain may change to freezing rain on Tuesday night and Wednesday, making travel dangerous or impossible. The greatest accumulations of freezing rain may fall in Central South Carolina, where up to 3/4" of ice is predicted. However, this is a complex forecast, and just a slight shift in the track of the storm or atmospheric conditions could greatly alter the amount of snow and freezing rain this storm brings.
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SeGaBob
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37146
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
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Re: Deep South Winterwx Discussion
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
147 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014
ALZ011>015-017>050-112000-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
147 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA BEGINNING TONIGHT. THE WINTRY MIX COULD BEGIN AS EARLY AS 9 PM THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE EXTREME WESTERN COUNTIES...AND THEN SPREAD EASTWARD
OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A RISK FOR ACCUMULATING AMOUNTS OF FREEZING
RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW. SEVERAL INCHES OF SLEET AND SNOW ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS GENERALLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM
ALICEVILLE...TO TUSCALOOSA...TO TALLADEGA...TO HEFLIN. FOR SEVERAL
MILES SOUTH OF THIS LINE...UP TO TWO-TENTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING
RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
MOUNDVILLE...BIRMINGHAM...ALABASTER...AND WEDOWEE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE STRONGER THAN THE FIRST
SYSTEM...AND DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR IN PLACE...THERE
IS A POTENTIAL FOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF SEVERAL ADDITIONAL
INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA.
PLEASE STAY UPDATED ON THE LATEST PRODUCTS FOR CHANGES TO THIS
DANGEROUS WINTER STORM.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE NEEDED
TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ALABAMA.
$$
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