Deep South Winterwx Discussion 2015-2016

[Lane]

Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
230 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014

...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF WINTER WEATHER LIKELY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH ALABAMA FROM THE WEST
LATER TODAY. AT THE SAME TIME...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PUSH COLDER
AIR SOUTHWARD OVER ALABAMA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL START OUT AS
LIGHT RAIN THIS EVENING...BUT WILL BECOME MIXED WITH SNOW...
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY WEATHER NOW APPEARS LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS
SECOND ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER MAY HAVE HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW AND SLEET FOR MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THAN THE FIRST
ROUND OCCURRING TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS.

PLEASE STAY UPDATED ON THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FOR THE
THE MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION ON THIS DANGEROUS WINTER STORM.

ALZ011>015-017>024-026-111400-
/O.UPG.KBMX.WW.Y.0005.140211T0000Z-140212T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBMX.WS.W.0002.140211T0300Z-140213T0600Z/
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-
CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-ST. CLAIR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON...
FAYETTE...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN...ANNISTON...CENTRE...
HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA...BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...
PELL CITY...MOODY
230 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...THE FIRST ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS
EARLY AS 9 PM THIS EVENING FOR THE FAR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND LAST THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A SECOND
ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATION...THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS
THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A
LINE FROM ALICEVILLE TO TUSCALOOSA TO TALLADEGA TO HEFLIN. FOR
SEVERAL MILES SOUTH OF THIS LINE...ACCUMULATIONS OF FREEZING
RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS...OF ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE
LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.
FURTHER SOUTH BETWEEN ONE AND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING
RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF TUSCALOOSA...
BIRMINGHAM...AND ANNISTON. ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION NOW APPEAR LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF WINTER WEATHER WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY
HAZARDOUS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. SPORADIC POWER
OUTAGES MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE THE HIGHEST
TOTALS OF FREEZING RAIN.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

[Lane]

Going to add this again as some new counties have been added.


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
230 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014

...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF WINTER WEATHER LIKELY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH ALABAMA FROM THE WEST
LATER TODAY. AT THE SAME TIME...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PUSH COLDER
AIR SOUTHWARD OVER ALABAMA. THE PRECIPITATION WILL START OUT AS
LIGHT RAIN THIS EVENING...BUT WILL BECOME MIXED WITH SNOW...
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY WEATHER NOW APPEARS LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS
SECOND ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER MAY HAVE HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW AND SLEET FOR MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THAN THE FIRST
ROUND OCCURRING TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY. FREEZING RAIN WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS.

PLEASE STAY UPDATED ON THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FOR THE
THE MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION ON THIS DANGEROUS WINTER STORM.

ALZ025-027>032-034-111400-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WW.Y.0006.140211T0300Z-140213T0600Z/
SHELBY-TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-BIBB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PELHAM...ALABASTER...TALLADEGA...
SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...
CENTREVILLE
230 PM CST MON FEB 10 2014

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM
THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...THE FIRST ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS
EARLY AS 9 PM THIS EVENING FOR THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND LAST THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A SECOND
ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND LAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATION...FREEZING RAIN ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH TUESDAY...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
GEIGER...MOUNDVILLE...WEST BLOCKTON...ALABASTER...TALLADEGA...
WEDOWEE...AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...BETWEEN ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH OF FREEZING
RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

[WeatherGuesser]

The warnings and watches are posted. Emergencies declared, plans in place. Media watching and on alert.

Now, the waiting game to see what really happens.

[Lane]

2 products issued by NWS for: More Sharing ServicesShare | Share on facebook Share on twitter Share on email Share on gmail Share on stumbleupon

Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
309 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM LATE TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING...

.CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO OUR NORTH WILL DIRECT COLD
AIR INTO CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER
AREA OF GEORGIA. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO
WILL PUSH MOISTURE NORTHWARD. THE LOW WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD
AND BE NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WEATHER
PATTERN WILL BRING WINTER-TYPE PRECIPITATION TO OUR AREA.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF MIXED RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW NORTH AND WEST
OF COLUMBIA LATE TONIGHT. A MIX OF RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW IS
LIKELY FROM COLUMBIA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TUESDAY. HAZARDOUS
TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP.

A CHANGE TO MAINLY FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM
COLUMBIA NORTHWARD TUESDAY NIGHT.

A CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH OVER THE REST OF CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CENTRAL
SAVANNAH RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE
LATEST INFORMATION SHOWS THE CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY
OCCUR IN THE COLUMBIA AND SUMTER AREAS TUESDAY EVENING. IN THE
AREA SOUTH OF COLUMBIA THE CHANGEOVER WILL LIKELY OCCUR LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

THE LATEST INFORMATION SUPPORTS SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES PLUS POSSIBLE ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 1/4 TO 3/4 OF AN
INCH IN THE AREA NORTH OF A NEWBERRY AND CAMDEN LINE. THERE IS
ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN
THROUGHOUT CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER
AREA OF GEORGIA. DANGEROUS ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 1/4 TO 3/4 OF AN
INCH ARE LIKELY.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SNOW...SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN
MEETING WARNING CRITERIA IS LIKELY. WARNING CRITERIA IS AT LEAST
2 INCHES OF SNOW OR SLEET...OR AT LEAST 1/4 OF AN INCH OF
FREEZING RAIN. AT THIS TIME...THE CHANCE OF MEETING WARNING
CRITERIA IS NEAR 80 PERCENT.

GAZ063>065-077-SCZ027>031-035>038-041-110915-
/O.CON.KCAE.WS.W.0002.140212T0000Z-140213T1700Z/
MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LEXINGTON-RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-
SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-BAMBERG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...THOMSON...MARTINEZ...EVANS...AUGUSTA...
HEPHZIBAH...WAYNESBORO...WEST COLUMBIA...CAYCE...LEXINGTON...
RED BANK...COLUMBIA...BISHOPVILLE...SAVANNAH RIVER SITE...AIKEN...
NORTH AUGUSTA...SUMTER...BARNWELL...WILLISTON...BLACKVILLE...
ORANGEBURG...ST. MATTHEWS...MANNING...SUMMERTON...BAMBERG...
DENMARK
309 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO
NOON EST THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH
RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND SLEET WITH DANGEROUS ACCUMULATIONS OF
ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
POSSIBLE IN THE AREA NORTH OF COLUMBIA. ADDITIONALLY...
DANGEROUS ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF 1/4 TO 3/4 OF AN INCH POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH
RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA.

* TIMING...THERE IS A CHANCE OF MIXED RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW
NORTH AND WEST OF COLUMBIA LATE TONIGHT. A MIX OF RAIN...SLEET
AND SNOW IS LIKELY FROM COLUMBIA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD
TUESDAY. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP. A CHANGE TO
MAINLY FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM COLUMBIA
NORTHWARD TUESDAY NIGHT. A CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING RAIN WILL
LIKELY OCCUR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH OVER THE REST OF CENTRAL
SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE LATEST INFORMATION SHOWS THE
CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN THE COLUMBIA AND
SUMTER AREAS TUESDAY EVENING. IN THE AREA SOUTH OF COLUMBIA
THE CHANGEOVER WILL LIKELY OCCUR LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...VERY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR
ONCE THE FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW BEGIN TO ACCUMULATE.
THERE MAY BE LENGTHY POWER INTERRUPTIONS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
30S FROM COLUMBIA NORTHWARD TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL
INTO THE MIDDLE 30S TO AROUND 40 SOUTH OF COLUMBIA TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S FROM COLUMBIA
NORTHWARD TUESDAY. READINGS WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER
30S SOUTH OF COLUMBIA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S
TO LOWER 30S TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SNOW...SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN
MEETING WARNING CRITERIA IS LIKELY. WARNING CRITERIA IS AT LEAST
2 INCHES OF SNOW OR SLEET...OR AT LEAST 1/4 OF AN INCH OF
FREEZING RAIN. AT THIS TIME...THE CHANCE OF MEETING WARNING
CRITERIA IS NEAR 80 PERCENT.

&&

$$






Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
539 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ015-016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-111045-
LINCOLN-MCDUFFIE-COLUMBIA-RICHMOND-BURKE-LANCASTER-CHESTERFIELD-
MCCORMICK-NEWBERRY-FAIRFIELD-KERSHAW-EDGEFIELD-SALUDA-LEXINGTON-
RICHLAND-LEE-AIKEN-SUMTER-BARNWELL-ORANGEBURG-CALHOUN-CLARENDON-
BAMBERG-
539 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION TONIGHT
ACROSS THE AREA. SOME OF THIS PRECIPITATION COULD FALL AS A
MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIDLANDS. NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$

[WeatherGuesser]

But this time, it’s not just the snow. It’s the ice that has forecasters and government leaders most concerned. And the worst of the storm may not roll through until Wednesday, according to chief meteorologist Glenn Burns with Channel 2 Action News.

“Do be prepared for massive power outages as this is likely to be a massive weather event,” Burns said Monday evening.

http://www.ajc.com/news/news/local/wint ... ore/ndJgM/

[GTStorm]

And as ALWAYS happens here in savannah...latest forecasts indicate "not as bad as originally expected". Sigh. Nothing interesting ever happens here.

[cycloneye]

00z NAM at 15 hours.



39 hours.

[northjaxpro]

And as ALWAYS happens here in savannah...latest forecasts indicate "not as bad as originally expected". Sigh. Nothing interesting ever happens here.

You won't have to travel too far to get into the wintry mess. You probably will be only about 75-100 miles to your north and you will be in the wintry precip. I would still watch this closely in your area, especially Wednesday into early Thursday. NWS is currently calling for a chance of freezing rain early Thursday morning.

[SeGaBob]

Do you think there's any chance the warm nose is able to be penetrated by precipitation enough to allow for snow? Or will it probably be like NWS says with rain/freezing rain and no snow? Weather Underground says 3-5 inches of snow and ice accumulation for my area. But for contrast NWS and other websites hardly mention snow because of the warm nose. I'm leaning more towards the NWS on this one...

[northjaxpro]

:uarrow: Do you think there's any chance the warm nose is able to be penetrated by precipitation enough to allow for snow? Or will it probably be like NWS says with rain/freezing rain and no snow? Weather Underground says 3-5 inches of snow and ice accumulation for my area. But for contrast NWS and other websites hardly mention snow because of the warm nose. I'm leaning more towards the NWS on this one...

For the most part, I would think that the area just along the 1-16 corridor will mostly be rain, sleet and freezing rain as the cold air I believe will be too shallow for snow (warm nose near the surface) until you are at points north of the I-20 corridor late Tuesday into Wednesday. However, as the secondary Low develops just off the Georgia coast during Wednesday and pulls northward, partial thicknesses may lower enough on the backside of the Low on Wednesday evening before the precip ends to change over to light snow in areas south to near the I-16 corridor eastward to the I-95 corridor in South Carolina's Low Country region.

[cycloneye]

Big Ice Storm for Atlanta but snow is not far from city according to the 06z NAM.

Note=The peeps can post wxbell graphics but only from the American Models NAM,GFS and SREF.

[SeGaBob]

Thanks for answering my question northjaxpro...

[WeatherGuesser]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0081
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0720 AM CST TUE FEB 11 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NERN MS...NRN AL...NRN GA...NWRN
SC...SWRN NC

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 111320Z - 111815Z

SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 18Z WHILE GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING...AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM...ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS
TOWARDS 18Z.

DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION CONTINUES AT 13Z ACROSS MUCH
OF THE SERN U.S. TO THE NORTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS
THE N-CENTRAL/NERN GULF OF MEXICO. A WEAK SHORTWAVE OVER THE LOWER
MS VALLEY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LARGELY ZONAL FLOW CONTINUES TO
SUPPORT THE EXPANSIVE PRECIPITATION AREA. THE NRN PERIPHERY OF THIS
AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING WITHIN NEAR- OR BELOW-FREEZING
WET-BULB TEMPERATURES...AND WHERE AN EAST-WEST AXIS OF 800-700 MB
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING HAS LED TO HEAVIER BANDED PRECIPITATION.
OBSERVED AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORT A CONTINUED MIX OF FREEZING
RAIN /RATES OF 0.05 INCHES/3 HRS/ AND SLEET ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF
THE DISCUSSION AREA WITH MOSTLY SNOW ACROSS NRN PORTIONS. SNOWFALL
RATES OF ONE INCH/HR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER MESOSCALE
BANDING...PRIMARILY ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF AL/GA...NWRN SC AND FAR
SWRN NC.

WRN PORTIONS OF DISCUSSION AREA SHOULD SEE DIMINISHED PRECIP RATES
AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM IN THE 15Z-18Z TIME FRAME.

..BUNTING.. 02/11/2014


ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

[WeatherGuesser]

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Much of Georgia will be slammed with sleet, ice, snow and high winds in the hours before daybreak Wednesday, and there could be power outages that will rival the days thousands went without electricity in 2000, according to a National Weather Service briefing given to agencies based at the Georgia Emergency Management Agency’s command center just before noon Tuesday.

“This could be even worse” than the storm of 2000, said meteorologist Dan Darbe.

Also Tuesday. the President declared an emergency in the State of Georgia and ordered federal aid to supplement state and local response efforts.

http://www.ajc.com/news/news/local/only ... ng-/ndKdT/

[SeGaBob]

Two comparisons of a forecast for my area...

Wunderground: Wednesday
A wintry mix. Temps nearly steady in the mid 30s. Winds NE at 10 to 15 mph. Snow and ice accumulating 5 to 8 inches.

NWS: Wednesday
Rain and freezing rain. Highs in the upper 30s. Ice accumulation of up to one quarter of an inch. Northeast winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent

What is the other website seeing that the NWS doesn't? That seems way overdone to me.

[WeatherGuesser]

Caption under that image:

"A significant winter storm, with crippling snow and ice amounts, is expected Tuesday night into Thursday. Prepare now for this potentially catastrophic event!!"

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/graphicast.php?site=ffc&gc=6

[northjaxpro]

SeGaBob, go with the NWS.

This will be a freezing rain and sleet event primarily across the Savannah River Valley and down across Central Georgia, especially tomorrow into early tomorrow evening. Snow accumulations will stay basically along and north of I-20 corridor. the best snow accumulations I believe will be along the I-85 corridor. There is a slight chance some changeover to light snow or flurries may occur as far south as the I-16 corridor just before the precipitation ends early Thursday morning as I discussed in my earlier post last night on this page.

[SeGaBob]

:uarrow: SeGaBob, go with the NWS.

This will be a freezing rain and sleet event primarily across the Savannah River Valley and down across Central Georgia, especially tomorrow into early tomorrow evening. There is a slight chance some changeover to light snow or flurries may occur just before the precipitation ends early Thursday morning as I discussed in my earlier post last night on this page.

I am... just wanted to post those forecasts anyway.

[Brent]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
151 PM CST TUE FEB 11 2014

...WINTER WEATHER LIKELY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE SECOND ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE
AREA TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS ROUND OF PRECIPITATION WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE HIGHER ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW AND SLEET FOR MUCH OF
NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THAN THE FIRST ROUND. FREEZING RAIN WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS. LATEST MODELS
HAVE COME IN MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THE SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING

PLEASE STAY UPDATED ON THE LATEST FORECASTS AND WARNINGS FOR THE
THE MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION ON THIS DANGEROUS WINTER STORM.

ALZ025-027>029-121215-
/O.UPG.KBMX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-140213T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KBMX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-140213T1200Z/
SHELBY-TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PELHAM...ALABASTER...TALLADEGA...
SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE
151 PM CST TUE FEB 11 2014

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN ACROSS NORTHERN
ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND SPREAD
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

* LOCATION...THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM
VERNON...TO SAMANTHA...TO JEMISON...TO DADEVILLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS...FOR TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING FREEZING RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 0.2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA. MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM SULLIGENT...TO
JASPER...TO WARRIOR...TO TALLADEGA...TO ROANOKE. ON
WEDNESDAY...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
NORTH OF A LINE FROM HAMILTON...TO BIRMINGHAM...TO ROANOKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

[Tstormwatcher]

Here in New Bern, snow has been falling since early this morning. We have between 4 and 6 inches already and its still falling heavily. Local weathermen are saying we should get between 4 and 8 inches. We are loving it.