Texas Winter 2025-2026

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Wthrfan
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5221 Postby Wthrfan » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:27 pm

snownado wrote:
wxman22 wrote:It wasn't a bust up here at all. Norman and the local mets were pretty on point with their forecast. I'm glad we don't have to worry about the Ozarks/Ouachita Shadow here, or the UHI affect.


Snowfall amounts along I-44 busted as well, mainly due to poor ratios. Prelimimary reports show the totals were only 7-8" in OKC and Tulsa.

But yes, areas in TX along the Red River into Southern OK seemed to do ok. That's also where the QPF bullseye appears to be.


Projections a few hours before the precip started for me showed fairly broad consensus of 12" plus with a high of 17"! Ended up with 8-9". Nothing to be upset about but your point about the models over doing the QPF seems correct. I can only recall a few storms (winter) where actual precip outperformed.
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SnowintheFalls
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5222 Postby SnowintheFalls » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:30 pm

wxman22 wrote:More snow is approaching.

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KFDR_loop.gif


I'm wondering if it will hold together enough to make it here?
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There is no day like a snow day!

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TropicalTundra
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5223 Postby TropicalTundra » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:37 pm

SnowintheFalls wrote:
wxman22 wrote:More snow is approaching.

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KFDR_loop.gif


I'm wondering if it will hold together enough to make it here?


It’s surprisingly strengthening. But hopefully I don’t jinx it.
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Snow in Texas? What’s that?

Don't use my posts as forecast; I'm not a certified meteorologist! I just endorse cold weather, alright?

All observations I note are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5224 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:43 pm

So one of y’all is saying February will be wet and another one of y’all is saying it looks to remain dry? Conflicting statements much….
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5225 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:45 pm

Cpv17 I believe orangeblood was talking about the west coast, in which they definitely do look dry for february
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5226 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:46 pm

Cpv17 wrote:So one of y’all is saying February will be wet and another one of y’all is saying it looks to remain dry? Conflicting statements much….


I know right! I think both are correct if I'm reading between the lines. +PNA can be wetter with systems digging, or at least more active, but the seasonal trend especially in the west is continued dry.
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HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5227 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:48 pm

TropicalTundra wrote:
SnowintheFalls wrote:
wxman22 wrote:More snow is approaching.

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KFDR_loop.gif


I'm wondering if it will hold together enough to make it here?


It’s surprisingly strengthening. But hopefully I don’t jinx it.


Yes I noticed my area says 80% chance of snow this afternoon, that's up from what it was this morning.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5228 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:50 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:So one of y’all is saying February will be wet and another one of y’all is saying it looks to remain dry? Conflicting statements much….


I know right! I think both are correct if I'm reading between the lines. +PNA can be wetter with systems digging, or at least more active, but the seasonal trend especially in the west is continued dry.


Let’s hope that ridge out west doesn’t poke its head into Texas.
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GeauxTigers
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5229 Postby GeauxTigers » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:50 pm

Off and on snow flurries here. A lot at times.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5230 Postby bubba hotep » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:55 pm

Some fat flakes flying around outside, just below snow shower intensity
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5231 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:57 pm

Ntxw also looks like we get a - NAO signature to develop in early february in combo with a -AO/- EPO / + PNA styled pattern , could keep the southern branch active across texas if we get a - NAO to pop off
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5232 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jan 25, 2026 12:59 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:So one of y’all is saying February will be wet and another one of y’all is saying it looks to remain dry? Conflicting statements much….


I know right! I think both are correct if I'm reading between the lines. +PNA can be wetter with systems digging, or at least more active, but the seasonal trend especially in the west is continued dry.


Let’s hope that ridge out west doesn’t poke its head into Texas.


It will have a bit of influences the first week of Feb and a mild W-Can but cross polar flow will be ending that quickly. It's truly a good looking pattern. Honestly I'd draw it up just like that for February if given the choice. I don't want the big, dry cold anymore. Give us a lower heights pattern with some cross polar air.

Feb 2010 was comparable by averages than 2021 for DFW yet the low never got below 26.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5233 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:02 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
I know right! I think both are correct if I'm reading between the lines. +PNA can be wetter with systems digging, or at least more active, but the seasonal trend especially in the west is continued dry.


Let’s hope that ridge out west doesn’t poke its head into Texas.


It will have a bit of influences the first week of Feb and a mild W-Can but cross polar flow will be ending that quickly. It's truly a good looking pattern. Honestly I'd draw it up just like that for February if given the choice. I don't want the big, dry cold anymore. Give us a lower heights pattern with some cross polar air.


We need all the precipitation we can get.I bet since late summer I’ve only had about 6-7” of rain here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5234 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:04 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Some fat flakes flying around outside, just below snow shower intensity

Went on a 45 minute walk in 17 degree weather and it was awesome. You won't see me doing that above 80. I did start to see some very small flakes falling and even at home now very light flakes are present, with some sunshine mixed in. Always cool to see snowflakes while the sun is out in Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5235 Postby Stratton23 » Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:08 pm

Looks like our next chance of winter weather will come some time in february, next weekends system looks really unimpressive now even in ensembles , too much suppression
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5236 Postby DukeMu » Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:14 pm

TomballEd wrote:Far western Harris County

 https://x.com/HCSO_TerryGarza/status/2015453804930437240



Elevated roads are going to be a problem in Houston. The warm nose mixdown is gone.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5237 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:20 pm

Futurecast radar FWIW shows about 2-3 hours of snow headed directly to DFW metro in a couple of hours
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5238 Postby DukeMu » Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:21 pm

Classic North Carolina-type ice storm in College Station Texas. 0.3 inches of freezing rain followed by 0.2 inches of sleet.

Image

https://i.postimg.cc/Kvr7zRcv/IMG-7940b.jpg

Image

https://i.postimg.cc/zX5W98C0/IMG-7952b.jpg
Last edited by DukeMu on Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5239 Postby Cpv17 » Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:22 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Looks like our next chance of winter weather will come some time in february, next weekends system looks really unimpressive now even in ensembles , too much suppression


Does it still look cold?
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5240 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Jan 25, 2026 1:23 pm

Hard to see, but some flurries flying at least.
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