Texas Winter 2020-2021

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Quixotic
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5621 Postby Quixotic » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:47 pm

My below freezing streak is in jeopardy. 29 with sun right now.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5622 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:47 pm

Question- where can you find the record low temps for each city in Texas? Where I used to look, can’t locate what I’m looking for?

Same thing for record snowfall?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5623 Postby Quixotic » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:48 pm

bubba hotep wrote:Today's sun has no impact on the storm tomorrow night but it would be lame if a few hours of sun during peak heating bust the freezing streak at DFW airport lol

Ninja’d
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5624 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:49 pm

More clouds are starting to come in from the West right now . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5625 Postby benrayrog » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:50 pm

28 and cloudy here. Sky lightened briefly, but sun never popped out. Darkening again.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5626 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:50 pm

18z HRRR has a good look to the precip shield tomorrow. Widespread 0.4-0.5” qpf across the metro, no dry slot. Would likely mean 4-8” broad brushed across the area if it’s all snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5627 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:52 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:18z HRRR has a good look to the precip shield tomorrow. Widespread 0.4-0.5” qpf across the metro, no dry slot. Would likely mean 4-8” broad brushed across the area if it’s all snow


Let's go ahead and book that run. Almost everybody wins...a few inches of snow even down to Houston!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5628 Postby Haris » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:55 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:18z HRRR has a good look to the precip shield tomorrow. Widespread 0.4-0.5” qpf across the metro, no dry slot. Would likely mean 4-8” broad brushed across the area if it’s all snow


Let's go ahead and book that run. Almost everybody wins...a few inches of snow even down to Houston!



One of the best runs ever. A nice moist storm lol
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Weather geek and a storm spotter in West Austin. Not a degreed meteorologist. Big snow fan. Love rain and cold! Despise heat!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5629 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:57 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:18z HRRR has a good look to the precip shield tomorrow. Widespread 0.4-0.5” qpf across the metro, no dry slot. Would likely mean 4-8” broad brushed across the area if it’s all snow


Lock it in
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5630 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:58 pm

Clouds are thickening in Western Texas, moving east and more clouds are forming in Northern Oklahoma, moving South
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5631 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 13, 2021 2:58 pm

Quixotic wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Today's sun has no impact on the storm tomorrow night but it would be lame if a few hours of sun during peak heating bust the freezing streak at DFW airport lol

Ninja’d


DFW was at 29F just after 1:30pm. The recording site is in the shade and on higher ground so with the wind we just have to keep it from hitting 32. If it doesn't then we'll just pretend the IMBY readings never happened. No one will know when you retell the lore!

Speaking of recording site, fyi 1989 is the only time the Airport itself recorded below 0 where it is. Prior to the 1970s it was at other locations in the region. It's also on higher ground compared to the lower valleys where max lows can occur so to get it so cold there is hard.

edit: 30F now as of 2pm
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5632 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sat Feb 13, 2021 3:03 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Quixotic wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Today's sun has no impact on the storm tomorrow night but it would be lame if a few hours of sun during peak heating bust the freezing streak at DFW airport lol

Ninja’d


DFW was at 29F just after 1:30pm. The recording site is in the shade and on higher ground so with the wind we just have to keep it from hitting 32. If it doesn't then we'll just pretend the IMBY readings never happened. No one will know when you retell the lore!

Speaking of recording site, fyi 1989 is the only time the Airport itself recorded below 0 where it is. Prior to the 1970s it was at other locations in the region. It's also on higher ground compared to the lower valleys where max lows can occur so to get it so cold there is hard.

edit: 30F now as of 2pm


Quick, someone scale the fence and wrap it with ice packs!!!!

We can crowd source the bail money......

Legal Disclaimer: I'm kidding
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5633 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Feb 13, 2021 3:10 pm

I've just noticed that the Humidity in Southern Oklahoma & Northern Texas is around 40-60% . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5634 Postby WacoWx » Sat Feb 13, 2021 3:10 pm

Imagine all the street cred you’d have from the other inmates when you told them what you were in for.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5635 Postby wxman57 » Sat Feb 13, 2021 3:14 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:Question- where can you find the record low temps for each city in Texas? Where I used to look, can’t locate what I’m looking for?

Same thing for record snowfall?


Before the NWS website revamp, many regions had a climo page with that kind of data (not sure about snow). Here's the "old" climo page from NWS Houston/Galveston: Interesting that Feb 12-16 has the records for February. 1899 - 6F, 1899 - 6F, 1899 - 10F, 1905 - 18F, and 1895 - 13F. Houston may break the record of 13F on Tuesday. My pipes are fully insulated. Will be taking our last shower tomorrow evening before filling up six HD 5-gal buckets of water and shutting off the water.

https://www.weather.gov/hgx/climate_iah_normals_feb

Here's a plot of 12Z models. All show pretty darn cold Monday and very darn cold Tue AM. The UKMET's -1F for Tuesday seems a bit extreme.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5636 Postby Texas Snowman » Sat Feb 13, 2021 3:20 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:Question- where can you find the record low temps for each city in Texas? Where I used to look, can’t locate what I’m looking for?

Same thing for record snowfall?


Before the NWS website revamp, many regions had a climo page with that kind of data (not sure about snow). Here's the "old" climo page from NWS Houston/Galveston: Interesting that Feb 12-16 has the records for February. 1899 - 6F, 1899 - 6F, 1899 - 10F, 1905 - 18F, and 1895 - 13F. Houston may break the record of 13F on Tuesday. My pipes are fully insulated. Will be taking our last shower tomorrow evening before filling up six HD 5-gal buckets of water and shutting off the water.

https://www.weather.gov/hgx/climate_iah_normals_feb

Here's a plot of 12Z models. All show pretty darn cold Monday and very darn cold Tue AM. The UKMET's -1F for Tuesday seems a bit extreme.

http://wxman57.com/images/Models12ZFeb13.JPG


Thank you sir!!!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5637 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Feb 13, 2021 3:20 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:Question- where can you find the record low temps for each city in Texas? Where I used to look, can’t locate what I’m looking for?

Same thing for record snowfall?


Before the NWS website revamp, many regions had a climo page with that kind of data (not sure about snow). Here's the "old" climo page from NWS Houston/Galveston: Interesting that Feb 12-16 has the records for February. 1899 - 6F, 1899 - 6F, 1899 - 10F, 1905 - 18F, and 1895 - 13F. Houston may break the record of 13F on Tuesday. My pipes are fully insulated. Will be taking our last shower tomorrow evening before filling up six HD 5-gal buckets of water and shutting off the water.

https://www.weather.gov/hgx/climate_iah_normals_feb

Here's a plot of 12Z models. All show pretty darn cold Monday and very darn cold Tue AM. The UKMET's -1F for Tuesday seems a bit extreme.

http://wxman57.com/images/Models12ZFeb13.JPG

Got 4 6-Gallon buckets filled with water & ready to go . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5638 Postby Quixotic » Sat Feb 13, 2021 3:22 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Quixotic wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Today's sun has no impact on the storm tomorrow night but it would be lame if a few hours of sun during peak heating bust the freezing streak at DFW airport lol

Ninja’d


DFW was at 29F just after 1:30pm. The recording site is in the shade and on higher ground so with the wind we just have to keep it from hitting 32. If it doesn't then we'll just pretend the IMBY readings never happened. No one will know when you retell the lore!

Speaking of recording site, fyi 1989 is the only time the Airport itself recorded below 0 where it is. Prior to the 1970s it was at other locations in the region. It's also on higher ground compared to the lower valleys where max lows can occur so to get it so cold there is hard.

edit: 30F now as of 2pm


Weather is why I got into statistics. I remember digging up data. Want to say it was Dallas Naval Air Station then Love field and then onto DFW. Prior to 89, we hit below zero in ‘49 and prior to that ‘31. Im too lazy on the phone to go look this all up. They were building DFW when we got here so it’s really all I know from a personal experience.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5639 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 13, 2021 3:22 pm

Midland updated their watches. SE Texas will probably go to warnings as well. All of Oklahoma and almost all of Arkansas. NW third of Louisiana, that covers just about all of the southern plains.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#5640 Postby Quixotic » Sat Feb 13, 2021 3:23 pm

WacoWx wrote:Imagine all the street cred you’d have from the other inmates when you told them what you were in for.


Yeah, I can tell you from personal experience that I would be vague “destruction of government property” lol
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