Texas Winter 2010-2011

[txwxwatcher]

Reports sourced to HGX (on background) say winter storm watch could be issued for entire CWA as early as tonight and that thunder snow will be possible with this system.

[South Texas Storms]

Reports sourced to HGX (on background) say winter storm watch could be issued for entire CWA as early as tonight and that thunder snow will be possible with this system.

yay! new cmc stays consistent with just a little less moisture than it has been showing (still more than gfs and nam though).

[Ntxw]

Canadian has plenty of moisture, looks much like some of the SREF. Snow southern half of DFW to AUS to HGX to TYR. There might be some warm air advection from the gulf issues per CMC at HGX but I think the low itself should bring down plenty of cold air.

[txwxwatcher]

Reports sourced to HGX (on background) say winter storm watch could be issued for entire CWA as early as tonight and that thunder snow will be possible with this system.

yay! new cmc stays consistent with just a little less moisture than it has been showing (still more than gfs and nam though).

For what it's worth, a moderator of another forum said that there is as much moisture in this run as previous ones, if not more.

[Mr. Weather]

its looking like the chances of SE Houston's chances of accumulation are going down to me is this true

[SouthernMet]

North of I-20 tonight may see some more light snow.. El Paso at Snow and visibility less than 1 mile. Lubbock snow too. Its setting up from Lubbock area down towards Midland/Odessa; the snow out towards El Paso should stay in NM and far west texas..

[Ntxw]

its looking like the chances of SE Houston's chances of accumulation are going down to me is this true

I would say they are going up. Still trending. I'd be happy with the chances right now if I was in Houston. Best set up in awhile.

[Mr. Weather]

its looking like the chances of SE Houston's chances of accumulation are going down to me is this true

I would say they are going up. Still trending. I'd be happy with the chances right now if I was in Houston. Best set up in awhile.

what is opinion on the nws forecast is it a decent one to go by

[txwxwatcher]

its looking like the chances of SE Houston's chances of accumulation are going down to me is this true

I would say they are going up. Still trending. I'd be happy with the chances right now if I was in Houston. Best set up in awhile.

what is opinion on the nws forecast is it a decent one to go by

My opinion is that they are conservative, so, in my judgment, whatever they are forecasting in the way of snow/wintry precip in your area is highly likely to occur, and it is also very likely that you could receive more.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

CMC looks like a storm for us. Looks very moist and the fun begins thurs evening. If im reading it correctly, starts out as snow, then sleet, then back to snow again? Im not sure on qpf. Again i am not a met and this is NOT a forecast.

[Ntxw]

CMC looks like a storm for us. Looks very moist and the fun begins thurs evening. If im reading it correctly, starts out as snow, then sleet, then back to snow again? Im not sure on qpf. Again i am not a met and this is NOT a forecast.

Well if you believe the CMC as to being correct, areas north and west of I-10 is probably all snow (maybe brief mixing). South of there would be freezing rain/sleet for a time before going to snow as gulf moisture and warmer air is pulled up aloft until the upper low passes by. Then precip switches over to snow before it shuts off. Verbatim.

CMC is also very interesting for the southern plains next week. Much much colder and a big storm yet again. Should have a more southerly track than this first one.

[iorange55]

Fun keeps a coming! Be pretty insane if we get another huge storm with another huge drop in temps. Metroplex would go insane.

[SouthernMet]

What are the new models showing for the DFW area and the cold and precip this thursday and into next week. It will be interesting to watch this unfold.

Latest SREF trends are becoming much more promising for snow across central into north Texas on Thursday night. The latest SREF snow probablity run shows a 75-80% chance across parts of the area.

I have no reason to believe that storm won't intensify as it rounds the base of the trough in northern Mexico. Watching a water vapor loop right now is just scary. I think the ULL will cross Mexico into TX somewhere between El Paso & Brownsville & move generally East/Northeast. I know that's a pretty big spread but I do not believe this will be a gulf system. I'm thinking more interior.

I agree, to some extent. Although for the metro(DFW) atm won't be anything major, though considering temps anything would stick like glue including streets. Looks to be more of a central, east texas based system if anything. Wouldn't be suprised if models still don't pick up on this 24 hours out. If I were in Houston area I would take what I can get. As it digs through south central tx from that east/northeast based motion it will tap into that overrunning gulf moisture.

[HockeyTx82]

My friend in Flower Mound (3040 and Gerualt) just sent me a text. His power went off a little before 11 and has been off since. Anyone else know of power issues around DFW?

[HockeyTx82]

Fun keeps a coming! Be pretty insane if we get another huge storm with another huge drop in temps. Metroplex would go insane.

What are you seeing and when?

[iorange55]

Fun keeps a coming! Be pretty insane if we get another huge storm with another huge drop in temps. Metroplex would go insane.

What are you seeing and when?

Haven't heard of any power issues. But well you know we're supposed to get another blast of cold air early next week. Maybe another storm coming with it....who knows. We'll see what the Euro shows.

[funster]

There were about 20,000 power outages at the storm's peak according to Oncor. About half were in DFW http://twitter.com/oncor

[Ntxw]

Euro is showing about 0.22 qpf for IAH Houston Friday. Surface and 850c are very very close. Probably a wet slushy 1.5-2 inches Verbatim on it. Middle 545ish thicknesses.

0.04 for AUS all snow.

[South Texas Storms]

Euro is showing about 0.22 qpf for IAH Houston Friday. Surface and 850c are very very close. Probably a wet slushy 1.5-2 inches Verbatim on it.

That's up from earlier. What is it saying for SA and KCLL?

[MississippiWx]

Euro is showing about 0.22 qpf for IAH Houston Friday. Surface and 850c are very very close. Probably a wet slushy 1.5-2 inches Verbatim on it. Middle 545ish thicknesses.

Do you mind saying what it shows for areas farther east in MS (mainly Southern MS)? If you don't want to post it in the TX thread, feel free to drop it off in our Southeast thread!