Texas Winter 2020-2021

[HockeyTx82]

Amped Up!!

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/tx/total_precip_inch/1613239200/1613649600-rU9uZ4l3snU.png

So the dry slot is not there? Why was the one model or models trying to dry slot and now this?

[katheria]

Amped Up!!

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/tx/total_precip_inch/1613239200/1613649600-rU9uZ4l3snU.png

1.92" in my area
Lets say 15:1 crap...almost 30" of snow

[Ntxw]

Amped Up!!

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/tx/total_precip_inch/1613239200/1613649600-rU9uZ4l3snU.png

So the dry slot is not there? Why was the one model or models trying to dry slot and now this?

Dry slot moved south and west on this run. It varies run to run, always has been.

[HockeyTx82]

Amped Up!!

https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gfs-deterministic/tx/total_precip_inch/1613239200/1613649600-rU9uZ4l3snU.png

So the dry slot is not there? Why was the one model or models trying to dry slot and now this?

Dry slot moved south and west on this run. It varies run to run, always has been.

Well if that holds or is cut in half at showtime I think we will all be happy

[rwfromkansas]

Friend sent me this. Anyone hear about this?

https://mobile.twitter.com/ArgylePD/sta ... 2036768768

Tweet deleted. What was it?

[Ntxw]

HGX updated to warnings for their whole region, including the cities of Houston and Galveston. Save graphic for posterity. Winter storm watch down to Brownsville.

#GalvestonBayFreeze

[Ntxw]

Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
339 PM CST Sat Feb 13 2021

...MAJOR WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY...

TXZ200-213-214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>438-140545-
/O.UPG.KHGX.WS.A.0003.210214T2100Z-210216T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KHGX.WS.A.0004.210214T0300Z-210214T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KHGX.WC.A.0001.210215T0000Z-210216T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KHGX.WS.W.0002.210214T2100Z-210216T0000Z/
Northern Liberty-Inland Harris-Chambers-Wharton-Fort Bend-
Inland Jackson-Inland Matagorda-Inland Brazoria-Inland Galveston-
Southern Liberty-Coastal Harris-Coastal Jackson-Coastal Matagorda-
Coastal Brazoria-Coastal Galveston-Matagorda Islands-
Brazoria Islands-Galveston Island and Bolivar Peninsula-
Including the cities of Liberty, Cleveland, Dayton, Houston,
Winnie, Mont Belvieu, Anahuac, Stowell, Old River-Winfree,
El Campo, Wharton, Missouri City, Mission Bend, Sugar Land,
Rosenberg, First Colony, Pecan Grove, Edna, Ganado, Bay City,
Pearland, Alvin, Angleton, League City, Friendswood, Devers,
Pasadena, Baytown, Palacios, Lake Jackson, Freeport, Clute,
Texas City, Dickinson, La Marque, Surfside Beach, and Galveston
339 PM CST Sat Feb 13 2021

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH
3 PM SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM CST MONDAY...
...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...A strong storm system will move into the area bringing
freezing rain, sleet and snow. Snowfall accumulations of 1/2 to
2 inches are expected north and west of the Highway 59 and
Interstate 69 corridor tapering down to maybe 1/10 inch along
the immediate coast. Localized higher amounts are possible. This
will be on top of a layer of ice between 1/10 to 1/4 inch
thick. Additionally, it will become extremely cold, with long
stretches of next week spent below freezing well inland. Minimum
wind chills may fall below zero well inland as well.

* WHERE...Southern parts of Southeast Texas.

* WHEN...From 9 PM today to 6 PM Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult...if not impossible
late Sunday into Monday. The extremely low wind chills as low
as 15 below zero will become life threatening to people and
animals outside without adequate warmth or shelter! The strong
winds could also result in blowing and drifting of snow
yielding near white out conditions with visibility less than
1/2 mile at times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A major winter storm is forecast to occur. Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion. Prepare for power
outages and have non-perishable food and water on hand. Do not travel
unless it is an emergency. If you must travel, keep an extra blanket,
flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case you become
stranded.

The latest road conditions for Texas can be found at drivetexas.org.

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant snow...
sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor
the latest forecasts.

A Wind Chill Watch means the there is the potential for a combination
of very cold air and strong winds to create dangerously low wind chill
values. Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation.

[ThunderSleetDreams]

I get 2.6 qpf... if that’s all sleet and snow... my God, Montgomery County will be paralyzed

[HockeyTx82]

Friend sent me this. Anyone hear about this?

https://mobile.twitter.com/ArgylePD/sta ... 2036768768

Tweet deleted. What was it?

It was Argyle PD saying Coserv informed them of rolling blackouts tomorrow. Odd, wonder why it went away. 15 off 45 on.

Well, nevermind. Either they jumped the gun or were not supposed to say anything?

[Iceresistance]

18z GFS


24-Hour Kuchera Ratio Snowfall


Grand Total

[kassi]

HGX updated to warnings for their whole region, including the cities of Houston and Galveston. Save graphic for posterity. Winter storm watch down to Brownsville.

#GalvestonBayFreeze

https://i.imgur.com/uExnS5E.png

Lake Charles NWS is usually last, which forecasts for extreme SE TX.

[SoupBone]

Friend sent me this. Anyone hear about this?

https://mobile.twitter.com/ArgylePD/sta ... 2036768768

Tweet deleted. What was it?

It was Argyle PD saying Coserv informed them of rolling blackouts tomorrow. Odd, wonder why it went away. 15 off 45 on.

Well, nevermind. Either they jumped the gun or were not supposed to say anything?

https://www.crosstimbersgazette.com/2021/02/13/coserv-customers-can-expect-rolling-outages/

[rwfromkansas]

Friend sent me this. Anyone hear about this?

https://mobile.twitter.com/ArgylePD/sta ... 2036768768

Tweet deleted. What was it?

The ERCOT app shows the grid is fine with no need to even conserve yet. Any blackouts would not make sense.

[SoupBone]

Tweet deleted. What was it?

The ERCOT app shows the grid is fine with no need to even conserve yet. Any blackouts would not make sense.

You'd think so, but look at the link I posted. Looks like they'll be happening at some point soon.

[lrak]

Are blackouts used to prevent damage to electrical assets?

[jasons2k]

My garage is a rain forest. Ended-up digging-up a few things.

[SoupBone]

So someone explain something to me, if it's possible. The NWS message just posted mentioned sporadic, but temporary power outages due to icing, my paid weather service basically mirrored that message, but on here, it seems people are really concerned about it, enough to buy generators. I'm on the fence about a generator, and I know I can buy and return if I don't use it, but I'm trying to convince myself I need one here in NW Houston.

[Ntxw]

So someone explain something to me, if it's possible. The NWS message just posted mentioned sporadic, but temporary power outages due to icing, my paid weather service basically mirrored that message, but on here, it seems people are really concerned about it, enough to buy generators. I'm on the fence about a generator, and I know I can buy and return if I don't use it, but I'm trying to convince myself I need one here in NW Houston.

We really do not have a gauge at what is about to occur. We've had snow, we've had ice, we've had really cold but seldom all 3 modes in a historic set up. Best advice is be prepared for anything. If power does go out do you have a plan? Check your boxes. Better to be over prepared than not when you need it.

At minimum have lots of blankets, water, and car fueled up.

[Iceresistance]

18z GFS-Para


24-Hour Kuchera Ratio Snowfall


Grand Total

[Brandon8181]

So someone explain something to me, if it's possible. The NWS message just posted mentioned sporadic, but temporary power outages due to icing, my paid weather service basically mirrored that message, but on here, it seems people are really concerned about it, enough to buy generators. I'm on the fence about a generator, and I know I can buy and return if I don't use it, but I'm trying to convince myself I need one here in NW Houston.

One thing you have to keep in mind about the generators is they use gasoline. If power is out at your house and surrounding gas stations you may not be able to get gas for that generator. Particularly if the roads are so bad you can't even drive there. That is why I didn't buy one.